Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — June 2025 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — June 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 11 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — June 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
9.93
Alpha vs B&H
+52.20pp
Risk / Reward
84.23×
B&H Return
-16.50%
Max Drawdown
-0.42%
Avg Drawdown
-3.37%
Sharpe Trend
-1.68
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+36.77%
▼ -1.07
Win Rate
90.0%
▲ +0.91
Sharpe
9.93
Alpha vs B&H
+53.27pp
▼ -1.07
Max DD
-0.42%
Avg DD
-3.37%
Risk / Reward
86.68×
Trades
10
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+32.99%
▲ +2.71
Win Rate
94.4%
▼ -3.49
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.93
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +52.20
Max DD
-3.50%
▲ +3.08
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.37
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 (THEROS) THIS PAGE
Return
+35.70%
Win Rate
90.9%
Sharpe
9.93
Alpha vs B&H
+52.20pp
Max DD
-0.42%
Avg DD
-3.37%
Risk / Reward
84.23×
Trades
11

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — June 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+1.0
3
4
+1.1
5
+0.5
6
7
+4.9
8
9
10
+6.6
11
+1.7
12
13
-0.8
14
15
16
+2.4
17
18
19
+0.3
20
21
22
23
24
+9.1
25
26
27
28
29
30
+3.9
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +35.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 90.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.4%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +7.84% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 2 100.0% +7.84% +16.28% 1.6d
BULL 7 100.0% +2.01% +14.85% 1.1d
BUBBLE 2 50.0% +0.45% +0.88% 7h

Trade Log

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +0.97% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.10% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.48% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.93% BULL 2.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.58% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.74% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.85% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.36% BULL 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.31% BULL 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.10% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.93% BULL 1.8d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

90.9% Win Rate +35.7% Return -0.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees