Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — November 2025 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — November 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 18 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — November 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
9.56
Alpha vs B&H
+80.00pp
Risk / Reward
49.57×
B&H Return
-31.66%
Max Drawdown
-0.98%
Avg Drawdown
-2.94%
Sharpe Trend
-6.81
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — November 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+0.4
3
+0.8
4
5
+7.1
6
7
+8.6
8
-0.4
9
10
+5.9
11
12
-0.1
13
+4.0
14
15
-1.0
16
17
18
+3.6
19
20
+4.7
21
-0.6
22
23
+2.8
24
+4.4
25
26
+2.3
27
-0.3
28
29
+0.0
30
+0.4
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +48.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 72.2%.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.67% on 10 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 80.0% +2.67% +29.49% 12h
BEAR 8 62.5% +1.98% +16.80% 15h

Trade Log

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +0.39% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.75% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.10% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.58% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.93% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.12% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.04% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.98% BEAR 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.58% BEAR 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.72% BEAR 20h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.60% BEAR 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.80% BEAR 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.35% BEAR 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.31% BEAR 20h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.32% BEAR 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

72.2% Win Rate +48.4% Return -1.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees