Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — December 2025 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — December 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — December 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.89
Alpha vs B&H
+53.13pp
Risk / Reward
46.61×
B&H Return
-19.77%
Max Drawdown
-0.72%
Avg Drawdown
-2.08%
Sharpe Trend
+3.88
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — December 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+2.0
8
9
+11.2
10
11
+2.4
12
13
14
15
+0.7
16
-0.2
17
-0.5
18
19
+6.2
20
21
22
+4.1
23
-0.3
24
25
26
+3.5
27
28
+5.7
29
+2.4
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +33.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 75.0%.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.7%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.46% on 8 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 8 87.5% +3.46% +30.69% 13h
BEAR 4 50.0% +2.37% +9.66% 15h

Trade Log

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +2.01% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +11.19% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.54% BEAR 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.19% BEAR 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.14% BEAR 1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.30% BEAR 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.45% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.73% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.38% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

75.0% Win Rate +33.4% Return -0.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees