ADAADACardano$0.161300-0.06%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.1M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the February 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 14 trades would have compounded to a final value of $16,895 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+69.0%
$10,000 →
$16,895
Win Rate
78.6%
11W / 3L
Trades
14
Sharpe
14.39
Alpha vs B&H
+74.46pp
Risk / Reward
48.06×
B&H Return
-5.52%
Max Drawdown
-1.43%
Avg Drawdown
-3.51%
Sharpe Trend
-0.34
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-0.1
2
—
3
+1.7
4
—
5
—
6
+12.9
7
-1.4
8
—
9
+3.6
10
—
11
—
12
+4.3
13
—
14
+12.3
15
—
16
—
17
+0.7
18
—
19
+0.4
20
+6.8
21
—
22
+0.3
23
—
24
—
25
+17.2
26
+0.3
27
—
28
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 14-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.52%
Avg Loss
-0.66%
Best Trade
+17.16%
Worst Trade
-1.43%
Avg Bars Held
16.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Short signal: 5 (36%) Forward-pred: 4 (29%) Signal flip: 3 (21%) Trailing stop: 2 (14%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +69.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 78.6%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.4%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +4.19% on 14 trades, WR 79%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 14 78.6% +4.19% +74.21% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Feb 2026 02:00 01 Feb 2026 04:00 $0.30 $0.30 -0.11% BEAR 3h
02 Feb 2026 01:00 03 Feb 2026 09:00 $0.29 $0.30 +1.66% BEAR 1.4d
05 Feb 2026 23:00 06 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.25 $0.28 +12.94% BEAR 18h
07 Feb 2026 12:00 07 Feb 2026 14:00 $0.27 $0.27 -1.43% BEAR 3h
09 Feb 2026 10:00 09 Feb 2026 19:00 $0.26 $0.27 +3.60% BEAR 10h
11 Feb 2026 10:00 12 Feb 2026 12:00 $0.25 $0.27 +4.27% BEAR 1.1d
13 Feb 2026 01:00 14 Feb 2026 21:00 $0.26 $0.30 +12.26% BEAR 1.9d
16 Feb 2026 03:00 17 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.28 $0.28 +1.12% BEAR 23h
17 Feb 2026 15:00 17 Feb 2026 17:00 $0.28 $0.28 -0.44% BEAR 3h
19 Feb 2026 00:00 19 Feb 2026 04:00 $0.27 $0.27 +0.36% BEAR 5h
19 Feb 2026 17:00 20 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.27 $0.29 +6.76% BEAR 23h
22 Feb 2026 19:00 22 Feb 2026 23:00 $0.27 $0.27 +0.26% BEAR 5h
24 Feb 2026 10:00 25 Feb 2026 19:00 $0.26 $0.30 +17.16% BEAR 1.4d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 26 Feb 2026 21:00 $0.28 $0.29 +0.29% BEAR 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ADA Signals → View Plans →
78.6% Win Rate +69.0% Return -1.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees