ADAADACardano$0.161300-0.06%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.1M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 45 trades would have compounded to a final value of $48,983 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 45 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+389.8%
$10,000 →
$48,983
Win Rate
88.9%
40W / 5L
Trades
45
Sharpe
15.06
Alpha vs B&H
+364.05pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+25.78%
Max Drawdown
-3.08%
Avg Drawdown
-2.94%
Sharpe Trend
-7.37
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 45-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.87%
Avg Loss
-1.03%
Best Trade
+19.87%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Bars Held
19.4h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 29 (64%) Signal flip: 13 (29%) Short signal: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +389.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.82% on 31 trades, WR 90%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 31 90.3% +4.82% +314.14% 20h
BULL 9 77.8% +2.90% +28.54% 19h
SIDEWAYS 5 100.0% +2.78% +14.56% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 45 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jan 2024 01:00 08 Jan 2024 18:00 $0.49 $0.54 +10.42% BUBBLE 18h
09 Jan 2024 21:00 09 Jan 2024 23:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.15% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2024 14:00 11 Jan 2024 10:00 $0.49 $0.59 +19.87% BUBBLE 21h
13 Jan 2024 01:00 13 Jan 2024 22:00 $0.54 $0.55 +1.25% BUBBLE 22h
15 Jan 2024 01:00 15 Jan 2024 09:00 $0.53 $0.54 +0.39% BUBBLE 9h
16 Jan 2024 01:00 16 Jan 2024 12:00 $0.53 $0.54 +1.50% BULL 12h
19 Jan 2024 02:00 19 Jan 2024 23:00 $0.49 $0.50 +2.02% BULL 22h
20 Jan 2024 12:00 20 Jan 2024 23:00 $0.52 $0.52 -0.27% BULL 12h
23 Jan 2024 10:00 24 Jan 2024 09:00 $0.46 $0.47 +3.32% SIDEWAYS 24h
25 Jan 2024 00:00 25 Jan 2024 11:00 $0.48 $0.48 +0.34% SIDEWAYS 12h
26 Jan 2024 10:00 26 Jan 2024 16:00 $0.48 $0.49 +1.67% SIDEWAYS 7h
27 Jan 2024 06:00 27 Jan 2024 20:00 $0.48 $0.49 +1.33% SIDEWAYS 15h
28 Jan 2024 20:00 29 Jan 2024 20:00 $0.49 $0.53 +7.26% SIDEWAYS 1d
01 Feb 2024 00:00 02 Feb 2024 10:00 $0.50 $0.52 +4.52% BULL 1.5d
02 Feb 2024 23:00 03 Feb 2024 07:00 $0.51 $0.52 +0.07% BULL 9h
05 Feb 2024 01:00 05 Feb 2024 10:00 $0.49 $0.50 +1.90% BULL 10h
06 Feb 2024 20:00 07 Feb 2024 02:00 $0.50 $0.50 -0.95% BULL 7h
07 Feb 2024 15:00 09 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.48 $0.55 +12.92% BULL 2.3d
10 Feb 2024 10:00 11 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.53 $0.56 +4.95% BULL 15h
12 Feb 2024 03:00 12 Feb 2024 17:00 $0.54 $0.56 +3.92% BUBBLE 15h
13 Feb 2024 15:00 16 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.54 $0.60 +11.40% BUBBLE 2.5d
18 Feb 2024 02:00 20 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.62 $0.63 +1.32% BUBBLE 2d
20 Feb 2024 18:00 20 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.60 $0.63 +3.18% BUBBLE 4h
21 Feb 2024 15:00 22 Feb 2024 08:00 $0.59 $0.61 +2.53% BUBBLE 18h
23 Feb 2024 13:00 23 Feb 2024 19:00 $0.58 $0.59 +0.96% BUBBLE 7h
24 Feb 2024 08:00 27 Feb 2024 14:00 $0.58 $0.62 +6.32% BUBBLE 3.3d
28 Feb 2024 04:00 28 Feb 2024 08:00 $0.62 $0.64 +2.11% BUBBLE 5h
28 Feb 2024 21:00 29 Feb 2024 10:00 $0.63 $0.70 +11.57% BUBBLE 14h
29 Feb 2024 23:00 02 Mar 2024 00:00 $0.65 $0.75 +13.69% BUBBLE 1.1d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 04 Mar 2024 09:00 $0.73 $0.80 +9.10% BUBBLE 1.1d
05 Mar 2024 19:00 06 Mar 2024 07:00 $0.63 $0.74 +15.81% BULL 13h
07 Mar 2024 01:00 07 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.75 $0.75 -0.83% BUBBLE 17h
09 Mar 2024 01:00 09 Mar 2024 16:00 $0.73 $0.74 +1.54% BUBBLE 16h
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 21:00 $0.72 $0.78 +8.44% BUBBLE 23h
12 Mar 2024 15:00 13 Mar 2024 08:00 $0.75 $0.77 +2.54% BUBBLE 18h
13 Mar 2024 21:00 14 Mar 2024 08:00 $0.75 $0.79 +4.41% BUBBLE 12h
15 Mar 2024 05:00 15 Mar 2024 07:00 $0.71 $0.72 +1.42% BUBBLE 3h
15 Mar 2024 21:00 16 Mar 2024 01:00 $0.71 $0.72 +1.30% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $0.67 $0.66 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
18 Mar 2024 05:00 18 Mar 2024 07:00 $0.69 $0.69 -1.34% BUBBLE 3h
19 Mar 2024 09:00 19 Mar 2024 12:00 $0.62 $0.62 +0.16% BUBBLE 4h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 21 Mar 2024 01:00 $0.59 $0.64 +8.38% BUBBLE 1d
22 Mar 2024 14:00 23 Mar 2024 14:00 $0.61 $0.64 +4.73% BUBBLE 1d
24 Mar 2024 03:00 24 Mar 2024 14:00 $0.63 $0.64 +1.35% BUBBLE 12h
27 Mar 2024 16:00 29 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.64 $0.66 +3.55% BUBBLE 2.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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88.9% Win Rate +389.8% Return -3.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees