ADAADACardano$0.161300-0.06%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.1M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 42 trades would have compounded to a final value of $46,918 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 42 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+369.2%
$10,000 →
$46,918
Win Rate
90.5%
38W / 4L
Trades
42
Sharpe
11.61
Alpha vs B&H
+381.72pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-12.54%
Max Drawdown
-1.69%
Avg Drawdown
-3.90%
Sharpe Trend
+0.81
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 42-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.55%
Avg Loss
-0.96%
Best Trade
+18.02%
Worst Trade
-1.69%
Avg Bars Held
19.4h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 20 (48%) Signal flip: 14 (33%) Short signal: 5 (12%) Take-profit: 2 (5%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +369.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.34% on 13 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 92.3% +5.34% +94.72% 21h
BULL 17 94.1% +3.73% +83.76% 22h
BUBBLE 12 83.3% +3.01% +42.32% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 42 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 04:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $0.56 $0.58 +3.93% SIDEWAYS 11h
08 Apr 2025 03:00 08 Apr 2025 04:00 $0.59 $0.60 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 2h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $0.56 $0.64 +14.93% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 11 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.59 $0.63 +5.49% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Apr 2025 10:00 12 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.63 $0.66 +3.12% SIDEWAYS 12h
16 Apr 2025 01:00 16 Apr 2025 03:00 $0.61 $0.61 -0.94% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Apr 2025 16:00 17 Apr 2025 16:00 $0.61 $0.63 +2.32% SIDEWAYS 1d
18 Apr 2025 05:00 19 Apr 2025 13:00 $0.62 $0.63 +1.65% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
20 Apr 2025 11:00 21 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.62 $0.65 +4.93% SIDEWAYS 23h
22 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 04:00 $0.63 $0.70 +10.70% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
24 Apr 2025 03:00 24 Apr 2025 16:00 $0.68 $0.73 +7.14% SIDEWAYS 14h
27 Apr 2025 16:00 28 Apr 2025 07:00 $0.69 $0.73 +3.93% BULL 16h
30 Apr 2025 14:00 02 May 2025 01:00 $0.68 $0.71 +4.23% BULL 1.5d
02 May 2025 20:00 03 May 2025 04:00 $0.70 $0.70 +0.39% BULL 9h
05 May 2025 15:00 05 May 2025 21:00 $0.66 $0.66 +0.27% BULL 7h
06 May 2025 10:00 07 May 2025 09:00 $0.65 $0.69 +4.83% BULL 24h
07 May 2025 22:00 09 May 2025 07:00 $0.67 $0.79 +18.02% BULL 1.4d
10 May 2025 01:00 10 May 2025 23:00 $0.78 $0.84 +7.70% BULL 23h
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 12:00 $0.79 $0.84 +5.96% BULL 23h
13 May 2025 02:00 13 May 2025 19:00 $0.79 $0.83 +5.71% BULL 18h
15 May 2025 11:00 15 May 2025 18:00 $0.77 $0.76 -1.69% BULL 8h
17 May 2025 01:00 17 May 2025 07:00 $0.74 $0.78 +4.33% BUBBLE 7h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 14:00 $0.74 $0.77 +3.63% BUBBLE 13h
19 May 2025 06:00 20 May 2025 01:00 $0.71 $0.75 +4.86% BUBBLE 20h
20 May 2025 14:00 21 May 2025 06:00 $0.73 $0.76 +4.76% BUBBLE 17h
21 May 2025 19:00 23 May 2025 00:00 $0.76 $0.81 +6.09% BUBBLE 1.3d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 04:00 $0.75 $0.76 +1.72% BUBBLE 4h
25 May 2025 01:00 26 May 2025 07:00 $0.74 $0.78 +4.75% BUBBLE 1.3d
28 May 2025 07:00 28 May 2025 09:00 $0.75 $0.75 -0.36% BUBBLE 3h
28 May 2025 22:00 29 May 2025 01:00 $0.74 $0.76 +1.47% BUBBLE 4h
31 May 2025 03:00 31 May 2025 20:00 $0.66 $0.69 +3.94% BUBBLE 18h
01 Jun 2025 09:00 02 Jun 2025 11:00 $0.66 $0.67 +0.97% BUBBLE 1.1d
03 Jun 2025 22:00 04 Jun 2025 04:00 $0.69 $0.70 +1.10% BULL 7h
05 Jun 2025 00:00 05 Jun 2025 06:00 $0.67 $0.68 +0.48% BULL 7h
05 Jun 2025 21:00 07 Jun 2025 23:00 $0.63 $0.66 +4.93% BULL 2.1d
08 Jun 2025 12:00 10 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.67 $0.71 +6.58% BULL 1.5d
10 Jun 2025 15:00 11 Jun 2025 01:00 $0.70 $0.71 +1.74% SIDEWAYS 11h
13 Jun 2025 03:00 13 Jun 2025 05:00 $0.63 $0.63 -0.85% BUBBLE 3h
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 12:00 $0.63 $0.64 +2.36% BULL 1.5d
18 Jun 2025 17:00 19 Jun 2025 02:00 $0.60 $0.60 +0.31% BULL 10h
22 Jun 2025 14:00 24 Jun 2025 04:00 $0.53 $0.58 +9.10% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 19:00 $0.57 $0.59 +3.93% BULL 1.8d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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90.5% Win Rate +369.2% Return -1.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees