Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q2 2025 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — Q2 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 42 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — Q2 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
11.61
Alpha vs B&H
+381.72pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-12.54%
Max Drawdown
-1.69%
Avg Drawdown
-3.90%
Sharpe Trend
+0.81
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — Q2 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +369.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 90.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.7%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.34% on 13 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 92.3% +5.34% +94.72% 21h
BULL 17 94.1% +3.73% +83.76% 22h
BUBBLE 12 83.3% +3.01% +42.32% 13h

Trade Log

All 42 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +3.93% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +14.93% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.49% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.12% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.94% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.32% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.65% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.93% SIDEWAYS 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.70% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.14% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.93% BULL 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.23% BULL 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.39% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.27% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.83% BULL 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +18.02% BULL 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.70% BULL 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.96% BULL 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.71% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.69% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.33% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.63% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.86% BUBBLE 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.76% BUBBLE 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.09% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.72% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.75% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.36% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.47% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.94% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.97% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.10% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.48% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.93% BULL 2.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.58% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.74% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.85% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.36% BULL 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.31% BULL 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.10% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.93% BULL 1.8d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

90.5% Win Rate +369.2% Return -1.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees