Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q3 2024 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — Q3 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 46 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — Q3 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
11.60
Alpha vs B&H
+200.83pp
Risk / Reward
56.69×
B&H Return
+3.57%
Max Drawdown
-3.61%
Avg Drawdown
-2.38%
Sharpe Trend
-1.10
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — Q3 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +204.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 87.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.14% on 37 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 37 86.5% +3.14% +208.68% 19h
BULL 6 83.3% +2.12% +13.00% 19h
BUBBLE 3 100.0% +1.67% +5.06% 6h

Trade Log

All 46 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +11.54% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.93% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.75% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.35% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.72% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.59% BULL 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.43% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.55% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.98% BULL 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.37% BUBBLE 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.08% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 -3.61% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.96% BULL 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.78% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.39% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.14% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.07% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.56% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.16% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.14% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.02% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.76% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.23% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.18% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.38% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.74% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.12% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.35% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.18% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.40% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.80% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +9.22% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.17% SIDEWAYS 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.37% BULL 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

87.0% Win Rate +204.4% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees