ADAADACardano$0.161300-0.06%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.1M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 46 trades would have compounded to a final value of $30,439 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 46 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+204.4%
$10,000 →
$30,439
Win Rate
87.0%
40W / 6L
Trades
46
Sharpe
11.60
Alpha vs B&H
+200.83pp
Risk / Reward
56.69×
B&H Return
+3.57%
Max Drawdown
-3.61%
Avg Drawdown
-2.38%
Sharpe Trend
-1.10
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

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▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 46-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.52%
Avg Loss
-1.13%
Best Trade
+11.54%
Worst Trade
-3.61%
Avg Bars Held
18.4h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 22 (48%) Signal flip: 14 (30%) Take-profit: 4 (9%) Short signal: 3 (7%) Trailing stop: 3 (7%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +204.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.14% on 37 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 37 86.5% +3.14% +208.68% 19h
BULL 6 83.3% +2.12% +13.00% 19h
BUBBLE 3 100.0% +1.67% +5.06% 6h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 46 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jul 2024 00:00 08 Jul 2024 12:00 $0.34 $0.38 +11.54% SIDEWAYS 13h
09 Jul 2024 07:00 09 Jul 2024 19:00 $0.37 $0.38 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 13h
10 Jul 2024 08:00 11 Jul 2024 13:00 $0.39 $0.40 +3.93% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Jul 2024 02:00 13 Jul 2024 18:00 $0.40 $0.44 +8.75% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
14 Jul 2024 13:00 14 Jul 2024 21:00 $0.43 $0.44 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 9h
15 Jul 2024 10:00 16 Jul 2024 01:00 $0.43 $0.45 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 16h
16 Jul 2024 14:00 16 Jul 2024 15:00 $0.44 $0.45 +0.35% SIDEWAYS 2h
17 Jul 2024 04:00 17 Jul 2024 09:00 $0.45 $0.45 -0.72% SIDEWAYS 6h
19 Jul 2024 01:00 20 Jul 2024 04:00 $0.42 $0.44 +3.59% BULL 1.2d
21 Jul 2024 06:00 21 Jul 2024 23:00 $0.43 $0.45 +3.43% BULL 18h
24 Jul 2024 01:00 24 Jul 2024 07:00 $0.41 $0.42 +2.55% BUBBLE 7h
25 Jul 2024 19:00 27 Jul 2024 12:00 $0.39 $0.42 +7.98% BULL 1.8d
29 Jul 2024 01:00 29 Jul 2024 02:00 $0.41 $0.42 +2.37% BUBBLE 2h
01 Aug 2024 02:00 01 Aug 2024 10:00 $0.39 $0.39 +0.08% BUBBLE 9h
01 Aug 2024 23:00 02 Aug 2024 05:00 $0.39 $0.38 -3.61% BUBBLE 7h
03 Aug 2024 01:00 03 Aug 2024 14:00 $0.36 $0.37 +0.96% BULL 14h
04 Aug 2024 17:00 04 Aug 2024 19:00 $0.34 $0.35 +2.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
05 Aug 2024 09:00 06 Aug 2024 00:00 $0.30 $0.33 +7.78% SIDEWAYS 16h
06 Aug 2024 16:00 06 Aug 2024 19:00 $0.33 $0.33 -1.39% SIDEWAYS 4h
07 Aug 2024 18:00 08 Aug 2024 21:00 $0.32 $0.35 +9.14% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
09 Aug 2024 10:00 10 Aug 2024 10:00 $0.34 $0.35 +1.07% SIDEWAYS 1d
12 Aug 2024 00:00 14 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.33 $0.34 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
14 Aug 2024 14:00 14 Aug 2024 16:00 $0.34 $0.34 -0.56% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Aug 2024 01:00 16 Aug 2024 08:00 $0.32 $0.34 +4.16% SIDEWAYS 8h
18 Aug 2024 02:00 18 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.34 $0.34 -0.14% SIDEWAYS 12h
19 Aug 2024 02:00 20 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.33 $0.35 +3.02% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
21 Aug 2024 05:00 22 Aug 2024 05:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 1d
22 Aug 2024 18:00 22 Aug 2024 22:00 $0.37 $0.38 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Aug 2024 11:00 24 Aug 2024 00:00 $0.38 $0.39 +2.76% SIDEWAYS 14h
25 Aug 2024 08:00 25 Aug 2024 14:00 $0.38 $0.39 +1.23% SIDEWAYS 7h
27 Aug 2024 23:00 28 Aug 2024 12:00 $0.35 $0.36 +2.18% SIDEWAYS 14h
29 Aug 2024 01:00 29 Aug 2024 08:00 $0.35 $0.36 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 8h
29 Aug 2024 21:00 29 Aug 2024 23:00 $0.36 $0.36 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Aug 2024 16:00 30 Aug 2024 19:00 $0.34 $0.35 +0.38% SIDEWAYS 4h
02 Sep 2024 05:00 03 Sep 2024 00:00 $0.33 $0.34 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 20h
04 Sep 2024 01:00 05 Sep 2024 11:00 $0.31 $0.33 +3.74% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
06 Sep 2024 21:00 08 Sep 2024 10:00 $0.31 $0.34 +8.12% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
10 Sep 2024 04:00 10 Sep 2024 06:00 $0.34 $0.34 -0.35% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Sep 2024 05:00 12 Sep 2024 08:00 $0.34 $0.36 +6.18% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
12 Sep 2024 21:00 13 Sep 2024 16:00 $0.35 $0.36 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 20h
16 Sep 2024 21:00 17 Sep 2024 23:00 $0.33 $0.33 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Sep 2024 12:00 20 Sep 2024 04:00 $0.33 $0.36 +8.40% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
20 Sep 2024 21:00 22 Sep 2024 01:00 $0.35 $0.36 +0.80% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
22 Sep 2024 14:00 24 Sep 2024 18:00 $0.35 $0.38 +9.22% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
26 Sep 2024 01:00 27 Sep 2024 00:00 $0.38 $0.40 +5.17% SIDEWAYS 24h
28 Sep 2024 09:00 28 Sep 2024 15:00 $0.40 $0.40 +0.37% BULL 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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87.0% Win Rate +204.4% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees