ADAADACardano$0.160500-0.80%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$10.3M
Updated14:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 49 trades would have compounded to a final value of $51,375 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 49 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+413.8%
$10,000 →
$51,375
Win Rate
85.7%
42W / 7L
Trades
49
Sharpe
11.94
Alpha vs B&H
+373.46pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+40.29%
Max Drawdown
-2.66%
Avg Drawdown
-3.07%
Sharpe Trend
-20.62
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

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▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 49-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.23%
Avg Loss
-0.72%
Best Trade
+26.51%
Worst Trade
-2.66%
Avg Bars Held
20.0h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 25 (51%) Forward-pred: 21 (43%) Trailing stop: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +413.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.26% on 7 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 17 88.2% +4.25% +97.56% 18h
BULL 7 100.0% +8.26% +71.75% 1.4d
SIDEWAYS 25 80.0% +1.69% +51.41% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 49 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.57 $0.59 +2.36% BULL 1.1d
07 Jul 2025 22:00 11 Jul 2025 10:00 $0.58 $0.73 +26.51% BUBBLE 3.5d
11 Jul 2025 23:00 12 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.71 $0.73 +2.36% BUBBLE 4h
12 Jul 2025 15:00 13 Jul 2025 18:00 $0.69 $0.75 +7.14% BUBBLE 1.2d
15 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 20:00 $0.72 $0.78 +6.80% BUBBLE 1.8d
17 Jul 2025 09:00 18 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.81 $0.86 +5.40% BUBBLE 16h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.83 $0.87 +4.33% BUBBLE 15h
21 Jul 2025 05:00 21 Jul 2025 12:00 $0.88 $0.92 +4.20% BUBBLE 8h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.87 $0.90 +3.28% BUBBLE 19h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.77 $0.83 +7.32% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jul 2025 03:00 25 Jul 2025 10:00 $0.80 $0.81 +1.53% BUBBLE 8h
25 Jul 2025 23:00 26 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.82 $0.82 -0.12% BUBBLE 2h
26 Jul 2025 13:00 26 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.83 $0.83 +0.05% BUBBLE 3h
27 Jul 2025 08:00 28 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.82 $0.83 +0.65% BUBBLE 18h
29 Jul 2025 03:00 29 Jul 2025 05:00 $0.79 $0.80 +0.05% BUBBLE 3h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.76 $0.78 +2.14% BUBBLE 16h
01 Aug 2025 14:00 01 Aug 2025 16:00 $0.74 $0.73 -1.72% BUBBLE 3h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 14:00 $0.71 $0.75 +4.09% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
05 Aug 2025 22:00 09 Aug 2025 09:00 $0.72 $0.82 +12.20% BULL 3.5d
10 Aug 2025 11:00 11 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.79 $0.81 +2.19% BULL 15h
12 Aug 2025 01:00 14 Aug 2025 02:00 $0.78 $0.98 +24.27% BULL 2.1d
14 Aug 2025 19:00 15 Aug 2025 22:00 $0.90 $0.96 +6.14% BULL 1.2d
17 Aug 2025 02:00 17 Aug 2025 09:00 $0.92 $0.98 +5.75% BULL 8h
18 Aug 2025 11:00 19 Aug 2025 07:00 $0.90 $0.93 +3.09% BULL 21h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 21 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.85 $0.89 +4.17% BULL 1d
22 Aug 2025 01:00 22 Aug 2025 04:00 $0.85 $0.85 -0.16% SIDEWAYS 4h
22 Aug 2025 17:00 22 Aug 2025 20:00 $0.93 $0.94 +0.45% SIDEWAYS 4h
24 Aug 2025 10:00 24 Aug 2025 17:00 $0.89 $0.92 +2.94% SIDEWAYS 8h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 27 Aug 2025 04:00 $0.83 $0.87 +4.41% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 05:00 $0.86 $0.87 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Aug 2025 20:00 28 Aug 2025 22:00 $0.85 $0.86 +1.44% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Aug 2025 19:00 29 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.82 $0.82 +0.03% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Sep 2025 00:00 01 Sep 2025 07:00 $0.81 $0.84 +3.53% SIDEWAYS 8h
01 Sep 2025 21:00 02 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.79 $0.80 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 16h
03 Sep 2025 01:00 03 Sep 2025 02:00 $0.84 $0.84 -0.14% SIDEWAYS 2h
04 Sep 2025 19:00 05 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.80 $0.84 +4.66% SIDEWAYS 18h
06 Sep 2025 09:00 06 Sep 2025 13:00 $0.82 $0.82 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Sep 2025 02:00 09 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.83 $0.87 +4.38% SIDEWAYS 2d
09 Sep 2025 16:00 11 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.86 $0.89 +2.89% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
11 Sep 2025 15:00 12 Sep 2025 06:00 $0.88 $0.90 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 16h
12 Sep 2025 19:00 12 Sep 2025 23:00 $0.91 $0.92 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 5h
15 Sep 2025 09:00 18 Sep 2025 16:00 $0.86 $0.92 +6.90% SIDEWAYS 3.3d
20 Sep 2025 02:00 20 Sep 2025 06:00 $0.90 $0.90 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 5h
21 Sep 2025 17:00 21 Sep 2025 19:00 $0.89 $0.89 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Sep 2025 19:00 22 Sep 2025 21:00 $0.82 $0.83 +1.03% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Sep 2025 04:00 24 Sep 2025 09:00 $0.81 $0.82 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 6h
25 Sep 2025 18:00 27 Sep 2025 23:00 $0.78 $0.78 +0.08% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
28 Sep 2025 02:00 29 Sep 2025 10:00 $0.77 $0.80 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
30 Sep 2025 05:00 30 Sep 2025 15:00 $0.80 $0.78 -2.66% SIDEWAYS 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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85.7% Win Rate +413.8% Return -2.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees