ADAADACardano$0.162000+0.12%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.0M
Updated15:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 53 trades would have compounded to a final value of $95,531 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 53 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+855.3%
$10,000 →
$95,531
Win Rate
86.8%
46W / 7L
Trades
53
Sharpe
13.57
Alpha vs B&H
+708.38pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+146.93%
Max Drawdown
-1.76%
Avg Drawdown
-3.30%
Sharpe Trend
-3.76
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 53-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+6.11%
Avg Loss
-1.20%
Best Trade
+48.61%
Worst Trade
-2.39%
Avg Bars Held
14.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 26 (49%) Signal flip: 24 (45%) Trailing stop: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +855.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 86.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.8%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 53 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +19.94% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 47 85.1% +4.30% +548.35% 12h
BULL 3 100.0% +19.94% +69.90% 1.6d
SIDEWAYS 3 100.0% +3.60% +11.14% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 53 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
10 Oct 2024 14:00 12 Oct 2024 13:00 $0.34 $0.36 +5.47% SIDEWAYS 2d
13 Oct 2024 16:00 14 Oct 2024 22:00 $0.35 $0.37 +4.63% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
15 Oct 2024 15:00 15 Oct 2024 17:00 $0.36 $0.36 +0.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Oct 2024 19:00 19 Oct 2024 11:00 $0.34 $0.35 +1.37% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
20 Oct 2024 14:00 21 Oct 2024 00:00 $0.36 $0.37 +1.92% BUBBLE 11h
22 Oct 2024 13:00 22 Oct 2024 21:00 $0.36 $0.36 +1.34% BUBBLE 9h
24 Oct 2024 10:00 24 Oct 2024 22:00 $0.34 $0.35 +1.08% BUBBLE 13h
26 Oct 2024 01:00 28 Oct 2024 02:00 $0.33 $0.34 +1.77% BUBBLE 2.1d
28 Oct 2024 15:00 29 Oct 2024 17:00 $0.33 $0.35 +5.47% BUBBLE 1.1d
01 Nov 2024 01:00 02 Nov 2024 00:00 $0.34 $0.36 +6.10% BUBBLE 24h
03 Nov 2024 19:00 03 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.33 $0.33 -0.11% BUBBLE 3h
04 Nov 2024 22:00 05 Nov 2024 16:00 $0.33 $0.34 +2.57% BUBBLE 19h
06 Nov 2024 05:00 08 Nov 2024 15:00 $0.36 $0.45 +24.52% BULL 2.5d
09 Nov 2024 04:00 10 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.43 $0.64 +48.61% BUBBLE 1.4d
11 Nov 2024 06:00 11 Nov 2024 08:00 $0.57 $0.58 +1.51% BUBBLE 3h
12 Nov 2024 03:00 12 Nov 2024 05:00 $0.59 $0.59 -1.48% BUBBLE 3h
13 Nov 2024 03:00 13 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.54 $0.56 +5.06% BUBBLE 11h
14 Nov 2024 15:00 15 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.55 $0.65 +18.50% BUBBLE 22h
16 Nov 2024 01:00 16 Nov 2024 09:00 $0.72 $0.75 +3.57% BULL 9h
18 Nov 2024 00:00 18 Nov 2024 05:00 $0.71 $0.76 +6.41% BUBBLE 6h
20 Nov 2024 02:00 20 Nov 2024 09:00 $0.77 $0.83 +7.84% BUBBLE 8h
21 Nov 2024 03:00 22 Nov 2024 22:00 $0.78 $1.03 +31.74% BUBBLE 1.8d
23 Nov 2024 11:00 23 Nov 2024 13:00 $1.08 $1.09 +0.13% BUBBLE 3h
24 Nov 2024 13:00 24 Nov 2024 22:00 $1.00 $1.03 +2.61% BUBBLE 10h
25 Nov 2024 22:00 26 Nov 2024 04:00 $0.96 $0.97 +0.67% BUBBLE 7h
26 Nov 2024 17:00 27 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.93 $1.01 +8.35% BUBBLE 21h
28 Nov 2024 10:00 28 Nov 2024 22:00 $0.99 $1.04 +4.73% BUBBLE 13h
29 Nov 2024 11:00 30 Nov 2024 06:00 $1.06 $1.10 +2.87% BUBBLE 20h
01 Dec 2024 02:00 02 Dec 2024 01:00 $1.04 $1.17 +12.49% BUBBLE 24h
02 Dec 2024 14:00 02 Dec 2024 16:00 $1.13 $1.21 +6.56% BUBBLE 3h
03 Dec 2024 07:00 03 Dec 2024 09:00 $1.27 $1.27 -0.57% BUBBLE 3h
04 Dec 2024 00:00 04 Dec 2024 08:00 $1.19 $1.23 +3.47% BUBBLE 9h
05 Dec 2024 01:00 05 Dec 2024 05:00 $1.13 $1.19 +5.18% BUBBLE 5h
06 Dec 2024 00:00 06 Dec 2024 22:00 $1.18 $1.24 +4.48% BUBBLE 23h
08 Dec 2024 09:00 08 Dec 2024 11:00 $1.18 $1.21 +1.88% BUBBLE 3h
10 Dec 2024 03:00 10 Dec 2024 08:00 $0.99 $1.01 +1.83% BUBBLE 6h
10 Dec 2024 21:00 10 Dec 2024 22:00 $1.01 $1.01 +0.19% BUBBLE 2h
11 Dec 2024 14:00 12 Dec 2024 05:00 $1.09 $1.17 +7.33% BUBBLE 16h
13 Dec 2024 07:00 13 Dec 2024 11:00 $1.09 $1.09 +0.25% BUBBLE 5h
14 Dec 2024 21:00 14 Dec 2024 23:00 $1.05 $1.06 +0.42% BUBBLE 3h
15 Dec 2024 02:00 15 Dec 2024 07:00 $1.07 $1.06 -1.76% BUBBLE 6h
15 Dec 2024 20:00 16 Dec 2024 00:00 $1.08 $1.11 +2.33% BUBBLE 5h
17 Dec 2024 07:00 17 Dec 2024 11:00 $1.06 $1.10 +3.24% BUBBLE 5h
19 Dec 2024 02:00 19 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.96 $0.98 +2.19% BUBBLE 4h
19 Dec 2024 21:00 19 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.89 $0.88 -1.53% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 12:00 21 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.83 $0.97 +16.78% BUBBLE 18h
22 Dec 2024 03:00 22 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.90 $0.91 +1.16% BUBBLE 7h
22 Dec 2024 22:00 23 Dec 2024 21:00 $0.89 $0.92 +3.48% BUBBLE 24h
24 Dec 2024 15:00 24 Dec 2024 17:00 $0.94 $0.94 -0.58% BUBBLE 3h
26 Dec 2024 21:00 27 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.86 $0.90 +4.22% BUBBLE 13h
28 Dec 2024 13:00 28 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.88 $0.90 +1.76% BUBBLE 10h
30 Dec 2024 01:00 30 Dec 2024 12:00 $0.89 $0.87 -2.39% BUBBLE 12h
31 Dec 2024 06:00 31 Dec 2024 13:00 $0.84 $0.87 +2.41% BUBBLE 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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86.8% Win Rate +855.3% Return -1.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees