Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q4 2025 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — Q4 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) • 49 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q4 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+191.6%
€10,000 →
€29,159
Win Rate
75.5%
37W / 12L
Trades
49
Sharpe
12.03
Alpha vs B&H
+250.82pp
Risk / Reward
41.94×
B&H Return
-59.23%
Max Drawdown
-4.57%
Avg Drawdown
-3.61%
Sharpe Trend
+11.39
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
View →
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +84.8%
16t
 		+98.0%
15t
 		+34.6%
19t
 		+46.5%
15t
 		+39.6%
20t
 		+41.0%
14t
 		+1,320.2%
2026
—
—
—
 +18.6%
8t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — Q4 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +191.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 75.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.02% on 30 trades, WR 87%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BULL — avg -1.34% on 4 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 30 86.7% +3.02% +140.39% 13h
BEAR 13 53.8% +1.58% +22.16% 13h
BUBBLE 2 100.0% +2.94% +5.95% 13h
BULL 4 50.0% -1.34% -5.48% 15h

Trade Log

All 49 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.72% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.16% BUBBLE 20h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.95% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.71% BULL 12h
$0.00 $0.00 -6.71% BULL 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.61% BULL 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.45% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.70% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.73% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.53% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.83% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.39% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.75% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.10% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.58% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.93% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.12% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.04% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.98% BEAR 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.58% BEAR 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.72% BEAR 20h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.60% BEAR 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.80% BEAR 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.35% BEAR 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.31% BEAR 20h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.32% BEAR 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +12.87% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +11.19% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.76% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.54% BEAR 6h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.31% BEAR 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.63% BEAR 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.14% BEAR 1d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.30% BEAR 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.04% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.62% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.64% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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75.5% Win Rate +191.6% Return -4.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees