BTCBTCBitcoin$64,008.84+1.65%
24h High$64,388.00
24h Low$62,866.99
Volume$688.4M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — September 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for BTC - Bitcoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the September 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 13 trades would have compounded to a final value of $11,602 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — September 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+16.0%
$10,000 →
$11,602
Win Rate
100.0%
13W / 0L
Trades
13
Sharpe
15.47
Alpha vs B&H
+12.65pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+3.37%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-0.91%
Sharpe Trend
-0.17
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — BTC — September 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+0.4
10
—
11
—
12
+4.3
13
+0.4
14
+0.2
15
+1.2
16
—
17
+1.5
18
+2.2
19
—
20
+0.2
21
—
22
—
23
+0.6
24
+1.0
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
+2.2
29
—
30
+3.1

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for BTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 13-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+1.32%
Avg Loss
0.00%
Best Trade
+4.28%
Worst Trade
0.20%
Avg Bars Held
24.4h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 9 (69%) Trailing stop: 2 (15%) Signal flip: 2 (15%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +16.0%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +1.32% on 13 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 100.0% +1.32% +18.54% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Sep 2025 02:00 09 Sep 2025 00:00 $110,666.24 $111,704.50 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 2d
09 Sep 2025 16:00 12 Sep 2025 00:00 $110,975.99 $115,840.69 +4.28% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
12 Sep 2025 13:00 13 Sep 2025 04:00 $115,166.45 $115,752.85 +0.37% SIDEWAYS 16h
13 Sep 2025 17:00 14 Sep 2025 01:00 $115,571.78 $115,962.93 +0.24% SIDEWAYS 9h
15 Sep 2025 00:00 15 Sep 2025 05:00 $115,071.32 $116,520.00 +1.16% SIDEWAYS 6h
15 Sep 2025 18:00 17 Sep 2025 05:00 $115,307.79 $117,108.30 +1.46% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
17 Sep 2025 18:00 18 Sep 2025 18:00 $115,226.93 $117,822.97 +2.15% SIDEWAYS 1d
20 Sep 2025 04:00 20 Sep 2025 13:00 $115,568.41 $115,915.80 +0.20% SIDEWAYS 10h
23 Sep 2025 02:00 23 Sep 2025 06:00 $111,811.88 $112,974.96 +0.63% SIDEWAYS 5h
24 Sep 2025 01:00 24 Sep 2025 14:00 $112,451.26 $113,720.64 +1.03% SIDEWAYS 14h
26 Sep 2025 01:00 28 Sep 2025 23:00 $109,680.40 $112,163.95 +2.16% SIDEWAYS 3d
29 Sep 2025 12:00 30 Sep 2025 00:00 $112,022.16 $114,525.97 +2.13% SIDEWAYS 13h
30 Sep 2025 13:00 30 Sep 2025 20:00 $113,404.53 $114,626.36 +0.98% SIDEWAYS 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +16.0% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees