BTCBTCBitcoin$64,008.84+1.65%
24h High$64,388.00
24h Low$62,866.99
Volume$688.4M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for BTC - Bitcoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the February 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 15 trades would have compounded to a final value of $13,365 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+33.7%
$10,000 →
$13,365
Win Rate
86.7%
13W / 2L
Trades
15
Sharpe
15.27
Alpha vs B&H
+48.71pp
Risk / Reward
14.92×
B&H Return
-15.06%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-2.12%
Sharpe Trend
-4.13
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — BTC — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-2.3
2
+4.3
3
+2.0
4
—
5
—
6
+7.5
7
—
8
+3.9
9
+1.8
10
+0.8
11
+1.8
12
—
13
—
14
+7.4
15
—
16
+0.4
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+2.0
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
+2.1
25
+5.6
26
+0.9
27
-1.1
28
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for BTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 15-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.13%
Avg Loss
-1.65%
Best Trade
+7.53%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
14.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 11 (73%) Short signal: 3 (20%) Stop-loss: 1 (7%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +33.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 86.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +2.49% on 15 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 15 86.7% +2.49% +43.89% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Feb 2026 02:00 01 Feb 2026 16:00 $78,900.01 $77,523.05 -2.25% BEAR 15h
02 Feb 2026 05:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $75,502.10 $78,850.06 +4.33% BEAR 11h
03 Feb 2026 19:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $74,935.00 $76,475.52 +1.95% BEAR 2h
06 Feb 2026 01:00 06 Feb 2026 19:00 $65,714.96 $70,731.46 +7.53% BEAR 19h
07 Feb 2026 08:00 08 Feb 2026 12:00 $68,495.01 $71,249.95 +3.92% BEAR 1.2d
09 Feb 2026 14:00 09 Feb 2026 17:00 $69,272.00 $70,612.29 +1.83% BEAR 4h
10 Feb 2026 15:00 10 Feb 2026 17:00 $69,293.37 $69,925.31 +0.81% BEAR 3h
11 Feb 2026 17:00 11 Feb 2026 21:00 $66,518.26 $67,811.17 +1.84% BEAR 5h
12 Feb 2026 18:00 14 Feb 2026 11:00 $65,590.95 $70,505.74 +7.39% BEAR 1.8d
16 Feb 2026 03:00 16 Feb 2026 09:00 $68,424.82 $68,992.71 +0.42% BEAR 7h
18 Feb 2026 23:00 20 Feb 2026 08:00 $66,461.00 $67,879.99 +2.03% BEAR 1.4d
24 Feb 2026 06:00 24 Feb 2026 20:00 $63,082.79 $64,472.90 +2.10% BEAR 15h
25 Feb 2026 09:00 25 Feb 2026 18:00 $65,558.71 $69,328.07 +5.64% BEAR 10h
26 Feb 2026 17:00 26 Feb 2026 23:00 $66,826.80 $67,485.18 +0.88% BEAR 7h
27 Feb 2026 13:00 27 Feb 2026 22:00 $66,270.55 $65,637.99 -1.05% BEAR 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
86.7% Win Rate +33.7% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees