ETHETHEthereum$1,733.09+2.14%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,693.70
Volume$236.0M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the YTD 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 69 trades would have compounded to a final value of $56,178 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 69 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — year-to-date paper-trade 2026-01-01 → 2026-05-01, single OOS window, model trained on data up to 2025-12-31. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

YTD Return
+461.8%
$10,000 →
$56,178
Win Rate
87.0%
60W / 9L
Trades
69
Sharpe
13.97
Alpha vs B&H
+487.47pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-25.69%
Max Drawdown
-4.52%
Avg Drawdown
-2.90%
Sharpe Trend
-3.30
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 69-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.38%
Avg Loss
-1.05%
Best Trade
+13.41%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Bars Held
18.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 35 (51%) Signal flip: 16 (23%) Short signal: 13 (19%) Trailing stop: 3 (4%) Stop-loss: 2 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +461.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 69 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +3.32% on 46 trades, WR 89%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 46 89.1% +3.32% +337.55% 19h
SIDEWAYS 23 82.6% +1.75% +48.36% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 69 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 05 Jan 2026 23:00 $3,142.24 $3,224.99 +2.21% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
06 Jan 2026 01:00 06 Jan 2026 14:00 $3,223.38 $3,278.09 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 14h
06 Jan 2026 18:00 06 Jan 2026 22:00 $3,216.42 $3,277.63 +1.80% SIDEWAYS 5h
08 Jan 2026 13:00 09 Jan 2026 16:00 $3,095.49 $3,133.13 +1.11% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
09 Jan 2026 19:00 12 Jan 2026 01:00 $3,084.89 $3,124.90 +1.20% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
12 Jan 2026 11:00 12 Jan 2026 16:00 $3,111.64 $3,130.88 +0.52% SIDEWAYS 6h
12 Jan 2026 21:00 13 Jan 2026 22:00 $3,103.77 $3,331.18 +7.22% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
14 Jan 2026 00:00 14 Jan 2026 01:00 $3,332.38 $3,336.70 +0.03% SIDEWAYS 2h
14 Jan 2026 12:00 14 Jan 2026 15:00 $3,296.32 $3,345.81 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Jan 2026 04:00 15 Jan 2026 06:00 $3,294.16 $3,315.99 +0.56% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Jan 2026 19:00 15 Jan 2026 23:00 $3,290.26 $3,318.69 +0.76% SIDEWAYS 5h
16 Jan 2026 16:00 17 Jan 2026 15:00 $3,272.29 $3,329.95 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 24h
21 Jan 2026 01:00 21 Jan 2026 19:00 $2,967.33 $3,055.56 +2.55% SIDEWAYS 19h
25 Jan 2026 21:00 27 Jan 2026 10:00 $2,817.55 $2,905.21 +2.97% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
27 Jan 2026 12:00 28 Jan 2026 10:00 $2,920.79 $3,025.86 +3.49% SIDEWAYS 23h
31 Jan 2026 20:00 31 Jan 2026 23:00 $2,366.96 $2,451.95 +3.49% SIDEWAYS 4h
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 13:00 $2,258.72 $2,327.93 +2.64% BEAR 13h
03 Feb 2026 17:00 03 Feb 2026 18:00 $2,222.01 $2,124.62 -4.52% BEAR 2h
03 Feb 2026 20:00 04 Feb 2026 00:00 $2,193.21 $2,241.02 +2.08% BEAR 5h
04 Feb 2026 18:00 04 Feb 2026 19:00 $2,090.02 $2,188.27 +4.60% BEAR 2h
06 Feb 2026 00:00 06 Feb 2026 05:00 $1,769.49 $1,958.69 +10.58% BEAR 6h
06 Feb 2026 07:00 07 Feb 2026 02:00 $1,898.87 $2,059.39 +8.35% BEAR 20h
07 Feb 2026 10:00 07 Feb 2026 20:00 $2,008.32 $2,105.32 +4.73% BEAR 11h
07 Feb 2026 22:00 08 Feb 2026 11:00 $2,100.48 $2,132.35 +1.42% BEAR 14h
09 Feb 2026 10:00 09 Feb 2026 17:00 $2,039.78 $2,127.33 +4.19% BEAR 8h
09 Feb 2026 19:00 09 Feb 2026 20:00 $2,125.85 $2,124.86 -0.15% BEAR 2h
12 Feb 2026 01:00 12 Feb 2026 09:00 $1,968.40 $1,982.43 +0.61% BEAR 9h
12 Feb 2026 17:00 14 Feb 2026 09:00 $1,909.36 $2,078.24 +8.74% BEAR 1.7d
16 Feb 2026 01:00 16 Feb 2026 12:00 $1,972.52 $2,006.24 +1.29% BEAR 12h
16 Feb 2026 14:00 17 Feb 2026 01:00 $1,967.89 $1,991.82 +1.11% BEAR 12h
17 Feb 2026 13:00 17 Feb 2026 22:00 $1,980.25 $1,993.92 +0.59% BEAR 10h
18 Feb 2026 20:00 19 Feb 2026 03:00 $1,939.01 $1,972.33 +1.62% BEAR 8h
19 Feb 2026 14:00 21 Feb 2026 02:00 $1,930.23 $1,965.69 +1.74% BEAR 1.5d
24 Feb 2026 07:00 25 Feb 2026 20:00 $1,827.74 $2,075.00 +13.41% BEAR 1.6d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 26 Feb 2026 23:00 $1,989.56 $2,027.68 +1.81% BEAR 7h
27 Feb 2026 22:00 28 Feb 2026 01:00 $1,919.22 $1,924.61 +0.18% BEAR 4h
28 Feb 2026 07:00 28 Feb 2026 20:00 $1,862.91 $1,965.96 +5.43% BEAR 14h
01 Mar 2026 20:00 02 Mar 2026 16:00 $1,933.87 $2,064.33 +6.31% BEAR 21h
02 Mar 2026 18:00 02 Mar 2026 22:00 $2,038.85 $2,053.82 +0.63% BEAR 5h
03 Mar 2026 13:00 04 Mar 2026 18:00 $1,950.35 $2,163.18 +10.80% BEAR 1.3d
06 Mar 2026 18:00 06 Mar 2026 23:00 $1,978.69 $1,978.68 -0.10% BEAR 6h
08 Mar 2026 18:00 09 Mar 2026 16:00 $1,932.52 $2,027.53 +4.81% BEAR 23h
09 Mar 2026 18:00 09 Mar 2026 19:00 $2,012.46 $2,033.91 +0.96% BEAR 2h
09 Mar 2026 21:00 10 Mar 2026 15:00 $2,031.39 $2,079.35 +2.26% BEAR 19h
10 Mar 2026 19:00 13 Mar 2026 03:00 $2,035.90 $2,118.85 +3.97% BEAR 2.4d
13 Mar 2026 07:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $2,099.86 $2,146.63 +2.13% BEAR 6h
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 18:00 $2,096.19 $2,321.46 +10.29% BEAR 1.7d
22 Mar 2026 22:00 24 Mar 2026 00:00 $2,043.10 $2,150.46 +5.11% BEAR 1.1d
24 Mar 2026 02:00 25 Mar 2026 09:00 $2,135.76 $2,186.64 +2.28% BEAR 1.3d
27 Mar 2026 14:00 27 Mar 2026 19:00 $1,986.87 $1,991.71 +0.14% BEAR 6h
29 Mar 2026 23:00 30 Mar 2026 12:00 $1,986.29 $2,074.54 +4.02% BEAR 14h
30 Mar 2026 14:00 30 Mar 2026 19:00 $2,068.19 $2,024.43 -2.25% BEAR 6h
30 Mar 2026 21:00 01 Apr 2026 12:00 $2,038.64 $2,130.82 +4.42% BEAR 1.7d
01 Apr 2026 14:00 01 Apr 2026 16:00 $2,121.58 $2,146.09 +1.05% BEAR 3h
02 Apr 2026 11:00 03 Apr 2026 13:00 $2,032.18 $2,049.05 +0.69% BEAR 1.1d
03 Apr 2026 15:00 06 Apr 2026 11:00 $2,056.00 $2,151.53 +4.54% BEAR 2.9d
06 Apr 2026 23:00 08 Apr 2026 08:00 $2,098.32 $2,256.48 +7.43% BEAR 1.4d
08 Apr 2026 15:00 09 Apr 2026 17:00 $2,204.94 $2,222.75 +0.71% BEAR 1.1d
09 Apr 2026 19:00 10 Apr 2026 20:00 $2,215.07 $2,255.33 +1.72% BEAR 1.1d
10 Apr 2026 22:00 11 Apr 2026 13:00 $2,252.72 $2,239.76 -0.67% BEAR 16h
12 Apr 2026 15:00 14 Apr 2026 08:00 $2,184.28 $2,387.61 +8.86% BEAR 1.8d
14 Apr 2026 19:00 15 Apr 2026 19:00 $2,317.68 $2,375.05 +2.37% BEAR 1d
15 Apr 2026 21:00 16 Apr 2026 04:00 $2,353.78 $2,354.13 -0.09% BEAR 8h
16 Apr 2026 09:00 17 Apr 2026 14:00 $2,343.64 $2,447.25 +4.32% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
19 Apr 2026 21:00 20 Apr 2026 18:00 $2,285.51 $2,334.23 +2.03% SIDEWAYS 22h
20 Apr 2026 20:00 22 Apr 2026 12:00 $2,331.99 $2,404.92 +3.02% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
22 Apr 2026 14:00 22 Apr 2026 18:00 $2,423.05 $2,396.91 -1.18% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Apr 2026 00:00 23 Apr 2026 02:00 $2,360.38 $2,351.96 -0.46% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Apr 2026 04:00 23 Apr 2026 07:00 $2,343.50 $2,344.43 -0.06% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
87.0% Win Rate +461.8% Return -4.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees