ETHETHEthereum$1,733.09+2.14%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,693.70
Volume$236.0M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 38 trades would have compounded to a final value of $28,432 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 38 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+184.3%
$10,000 →
$28,432
Win Rate
97.4%
37W / 1L
Trades
38
Sharpe
15.58
Alpha vs B&H
+181.09pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+3.22%
Max Drawdown
-0.99%
Avg Drawdown
-1.75%
Sharpe Trend
-6.50
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 38-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.40%
Avg Loss
-1.97%
Best Trade
+22.61%
Worst Trade
-1.97%
Avg Bars Held
23.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 18 (47%) Forward-pred: 18 (47%) Short signal: 2 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +184.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 97.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.43% on 24 trades, WR 96%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 24 95.8% +3.43% +120.13% 23h
BULL 8 100.0% +3.34% +29.88% 1.0d
SIDEWAYS 6 100.0% +2.48% +15.68% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 38 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2024 02:00 08 Apr 2024 19:00 $3,395.54 $3,702.80 +8.60% BUBBLE 1.8d
10 Apr 2024 01:00 11 Apr 2024 02:00 $3,495.45 $3,566.56 +1.93% BUBBLE 1.1d
12 Apr 2024 19:00 13 Apr 2024 01:00 $3,220.39 $3,160.00 -1.97% BUBBLE 7h
13 Apr 2024 21:00 14 Apr 2024 22:00 $2,921.90 $3,156.69 +7.93% BUBBLE 1.1d
15 Apr 2024 00:00 15 Apr 2024 07:00 $3,141.40 $3,242.05 +3.10% BUBBLE 8h
16 Apr 2024 05:00 16 Apr 2024 07:00 $3,035.46 $3,107.29 +2.26% BUBBLE 3h
16 Apr 2024 16:00 16 Apr 2024 21:00 $3,015.92 $3,102.49 +2.77% BUBBLE 6h
17 Apr 2024 16:00 19 Apr 2024 08:00 $2,989.37 $3,111.47 +3.98% BUBBLE 1.7d
21 Apr 2024 02:00 23 Apr 2024 01:00 $3,149.68 $3,206.37 +1.38% BULL 2d
23 Apr 2024 04:00 24 Apr 2024 01:00 $3,190.79 $3,238.97 +1.41% BUBBLE 22h
25 Apr 2024 11:00 25 Apr 2024 21:00 $3,093.04 $3,170.68 +2.41% BUBBLE 11h
27 Apr 2024 01:00 28 Apr 2024 15:00 $3,107.00 $3,321.01 +6.78% BUBBLE 1.6d
29 Apr 2024 14:00 30 Apr 2024 00:00 $3,143.60 $3,244.37 +3.10% BULL 11h
01 May 2024 09:00 01 May 2024 18:00 $2,880.21 $2,990.04 +3.71% BULL 10h
02 May 2024 07:00 04 May 2024 04:00 $2,928.00 $3,116.99 +6.35% BULL 1.9d
04 May 2024 08:00 04 May 2024 10:00 $3,104.45 $3,165.34 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 3h
05 May 2024 02:00 05 May 2024 20:00 $3,088.78 $3,137.47 +1.16% SIDEWAYS 19h
09 May 2024 01:00 09 May 2024 22:00 $2,995.00 $3,054.34 +1.88% BULL 22h
13 May 2024 03:00 14 May 2024 00:00 $2,865.39 $2,945.80 +2.70% BULL 22h
14 May 2024 18:00 16 May 2024 02:00 $2,884.19 $3,003.80 +4.04% BULL 1.4d
19 May 2024 13:00 22 May 2024 01:00 $3,077.79 $3,789.05 +22.61% BUBBLE 2.5d
22 May 2024 10:00 23 May 2024 10:00 $3,743.80 $3,828.22 +2.15% BUBBLE 1d
24 May 2024 08:00 25 May 2024 04:00 $3,659.31 $3,769.11 +2.90% BUBBLE 21h
25 May 2024 06:00 26 May 2024 14:00 $3,754.11 $3,862.40 +2.78% BUBBLE 1.4d
26 May 2024 16:00 27 May 2024 13:00 $3,847.01 $3,930.89 +2.08% BUBBLE 22h
28 May 2024 19:00 28 May 2024 21:00 $3,813.56 $3,843.43 +0.68% BUBBLE 3h
31 May 2024 08:00 31 May 2024 12:00 $3,736.31 $3,825.08 +2.27% BUBBLE 5h
04 Jun 2024 01:00 06 Jun 2024 01:00 $3,761.01 $3,861.15 +2.24% BUBBLE 2d
09 Jun 2024 01:00 09 Jun 2024 21:00 $3,682.55 $3,714.72 +0.77% BUBBLE 21h
11 Jun 2024 16:00 12 Jun 2024 12:00 $3,475.68 $3,638.40 +4.58% BUBBLE 21h
14 Jun 2024 01:00 14 Jun 2024 13:00 $3,475.03 $3,507.63 +0.84% BUBBLE 13h
14 Jun 2024 17:00 14 Jun 2024 21:00 $3,401.02 $3,504.21 +2.93% BUBBLE 5h
16 Jun 2024 04:00 16 Jun 2024 17:00 $3,551.16 $3,591.55 +0.72% BUBBLE 14h
18 Jun 2024 02:00 20 Jun 2024 05:00 $3,405.38 $3,581.16 +5.06% BUBBLE 2.2d
21 Jun 2024 08:00 22 Jun 2024 01:00 $3,482.21 $3,503.02 +0.50% BULL 18h
24 Jun 2024 10:00 25 Jun 2024 15:00 $3,318.21 $3,419.60 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Jun 2024 17:00 25 Jun 2024 18:00 $3,396.11 $3,417.77 +0.54% SIDEWAYS 2h
25 Jun 2024 20:00 28 Jun 2024 01:00 $3,412.98 $3,484.23 +1.99% SIDEWAYS 2.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
97.4% Win Rate +184.3% Return -1.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees