ETHETHEthereum$1,733.09+2.14%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,693.70
Volume$236.0M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 52 trades would have compounded to a final value of $52,689 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 52 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+426.9%
$10,000 →
$52,689
Win Rate
96.2%
50W / 2L
Trades
52
Sharpe
16.80
Alpha vs B&H
+390.41pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+36.49%
Max Drawdown
-0.16%
Avg Drawdown
-2.48%
Sharpe Trend
+3.51
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 52-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.32%
Avg Loss
-0.13%
Best Trade
+20.43%
Worst Trade
-0.16%
Avg Bars Held
18.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 35 (67%) Signal flip: 14 (27%) Take-profit: 2 (4%) Short signal: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +426.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 96.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.2%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 52 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.63% on 18 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 19 89.5% +4.42% +124.11% 18h
BULL 18 100.0% +4.63% +121.96% 21h
BUBBLE 15 100.0% +3.24% +60.86% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 52 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 08:00 $1,445.89 $1,495.94 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Apr 2025 10:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $1,503.22 $1,569.62 +4.31% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $1,425.32 $1,673.63 +17.30% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 11 Apr 2025 23:00 $1,499.60 $1,566.85 +4.38% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Apr 2025 01:00 12 Apr 2025 09:00 $1,561.46 $1,597.50 +2.21% SIDEWAYS 9h
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 10:00 $1,607.90 $1,678.83 +4.31% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Apr 2025 10:00 17 Apr 2025 17:00 $1,573.33 $1,610.04 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
17 Apr 2025 21:00 19 Apr 2025 18:00 $1,586.09 $1,615.19 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
20 Apr 2025 11:00 21 Apr 2025 07:00 $1,579.01 $1,645.92 +3.81% SIDEWAYS 21h
22 Apr 2025 00:00 22 Apr 2025 23:00 $1,575.99 $1,756.26 +11.33% SIDEWAYS 24h
23 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 04:00 $1,775.93 $1,817.01 +2.21% SIDEWAYS 4h
23 Apr 2025 06:00 23 Apr 2025 11:00 $1,797.11 $1,797.23 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 6h
24 Apr 2025 08:00 25 Apr 2025 14:00 $1,751.42 $1,808.34 +3.15% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Apr 2025 18:00 27 Apr 2025 00:00 $1,792.44 $1,842.03 +2.66% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Apr 2025 01:00 28 Apr 2025 10:00 $1,775.85 $1,815.39 +2.12% BULL 10h
28 Apr 2025 23:00 29 Apr 2025 08:00 $1,798.51 $1,832.50 +1.79% BULL 10h
30 Apr 2025 14:00 01 May 2025 12:00 $1,753.09 $1,849.29 +5.38% BULL 23h
05 May 2025 02:00 05 May 2025 10:00 $1,792.44 $1,804.76 +0.28% BULL 9h
06 May 2025 14:00 07 May 2025 09:00 $1,768.27 $1,844.04 +4.18% BULL 20h
07 May 2025 22:00 08 May 2025 20:00 $1,812.50 $2,185.00 +20.43% BULL 23h
09 May 2025 15:00 10 May 2025 22:00 $2,317.49 $2,577.22 +11.10% BULL 1.3d
11 May 2025 16:00 12 May 2025 08:00 $2,455.28 $2,577.55 +4.87% BULL 17h
13 May 2025 01:00 13 May 2025 18:00 $2,465.63 $2,669.95 +8.18% BULL 18h
15 May 2025 15:00 16 May 2025 09:00 $2,512.61 $2,611.29 +3.82% BULL 19h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 14:00 $2,483.99 $2,557.93 +2.56% BUBBLE 13h
18 May 2025 20:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $2,368.62 $2,497.78 +5.35% BUBBLE 4h
19 May 2025 03:00 19 May 2025 23:00 $2,386.10 $2,528.14 +5.85% BUBBLE 21h
20 May 2025 01:00 20 May 2025 02:00 $2,518.65 $2,567.00 +1.82% BUBBLE 2h
20 May 2025 15:00 21 May 2025 05:00 $2,477.39 $2,593.61 +4.59% BUBBLE 15h
21 May 2025 08:00 21 May 2025 14:00 $2,560.53 $2,580.50 +0.68% BUBBLE 7h
21 May 2025 18:00 23 May 2025 01:00 $2,481.84 $2,675.62 +7.70% BUBBLE 1.3d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 11:00 $2,519.71 $2,563.31 +1.63% BUBBLE 11h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 04:00 $2,487.89 $2,517.50 +1.09% BUBBLE 4h
25 May 2025 08:00 26 May 2025 00:00 $2,483.70 $2,571.70 +3.44% BUBBLE 17h
26 May 2025 02:00 27 May 2025 17:00 $2,554.51 $2,695.74 +5.42% BUBBLE 1.7d
27 May 2025 19:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $2,681.86 $2,721.50 +1.38% BUBBLE 1.3d
31 May 2025 02:00 31 May 2025 07:00 $2,510.58 $2,521.11 +0.32% BUBBLE 6h
01 Jun 2025 10:00 03 Jun 2025 00:00 $2,494.42 $2,621.91 +4.68% BUBBLE 1.6d
03 Jun 2025 22:00 04 Jun 2025 08:00 $2,596.30 $2,640.99 +1.62% BULL 11h
06 Jun 2025 01:00 07 Jun 2025 22:00 $2,426.14 $2,535.40 +4.40% BULL 1.9d
09 Jun 2025 01:00 10 Jun 2025 01:00 $2,500.01 $2,708.37 +8.23% BULL 1d
10 Jun 2025 03:00 11 Jun 2025 01:00 $2,681.18 $2,784.70 +3.76% SIDEWAYS 23h
13 Jun 2025 03:00 13 Jun 2025 22:00 $2,493.71 $2,571.90 +3.03% BUBBLE 20h
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 08:00 $2,535.50 $2,630.29 +3.31% BULL 1.3d
18 Jun 2025 19:00 19 Jun 2025 02:00 $2,505.49 $2,514.49 +0.26% BULL 8h
22 Jun 2025 14:00 22 Jun 2025 22:00 $2,190.41 $2,233.81 +1.88% SIDEWAYS 9h
23 Jun 2025 00:00 24 Jun 2025 05:00 $2,227.99 $2,420.01 +8.51% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Jun 2025 07:00 24 Jun 2025 16:00 $2,418.86 $2,478.91 +2.38% SIDEWAYS 10h
24 Jun 2025 18:00 24 Jun 2025 21:00 $2,446.65 $2,445.24 -0.16% SIDEWAYS 4h
25 Jun 2025 16:00 26 Jun 2025 07:00 $2,411.31 $2,489.89 +3.16% SIDEWAYS 16h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 29 Jun 2025 22:00 $2,427.01 $2,501.72 +2.66% BULL 21h
30 Jun 2025 15:00 30 Jun 2025 23:00 $2,445.79 $2,485.47 +1.52% BULL 9h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
96.2% Win Rate +426.9% Return -0.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees