ETHETHEthereum$1,714.40+0.44%
24h High$1,733.89
24h Low$1,693.70
Volume$206.8M
Updated14:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 58 trades would have compounded to a final value of $37,290 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 58 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+272.9%
$10,000 →
$37,290
Win Rate
87.9%
51W / 7L
Trades
58
Sharpe
14.11
Alpha vs B&H
+305.83pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-32.94%
Max Drawdown
-1.25%
Avg Drawdown
-2.32%
Sharpe Trend
-1.38
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 58-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.07%
Avg Loss
-0.79%
Best Trade
+12.64%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Bars Held
16.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 28 (48%) Signal flip: 17 (29%) Short signal: 7 (12%) Trailing stop: 3 (5%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%) Take-profit: 1 (2%) Regime exit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +272.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.3%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 58 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.05% on 33 trades, WR 94%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 33 93.9% +3.05% +166.08% 18h
BEAR 20 90.0% +2.32% +57.44% 16h
BUBBLE 4 50.0% +1.20% +4.74% 15h
BULL 1 0.0% -0.64% -0.64% 7h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 58 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 03:00 05 Oct 2025 19:00 $4,553.78 $4,497.14 -1.76% BUBBLE 17h
05 Oct 2025 21:00 06 Oct 2025 19:00 $4,496.00 $4,722.62 +4.94% BUBBLE 23h
07 Oct 2025 00:00 07 Oct 2025 02:00 $4,682.41 $4,686.41 -0.01% BUBBLE 3h
08 Oct 2025 01:00 08 Oct 2025 17:00 $4,462.12 $4,538.46 +1.61% BUBBLE 17h
08 Oct 2025 19:00 09 Oct 2025 01:00 $4,503.29 $4,478.99 -0.64% BUBBLE 7h
11 Oct 2025 21:00 13 Oct 2025 00:00 $3,671.57 $4,139.80 +12.64% BULL 1.2d
13 Oct 2025 05:00 13 Oct 2025 16:00 $4,132.85 $4,165.01 +0.68% SIDEWAYS 12h
14 Oct 2025 09:00 15 Oct 2025 02:00 $3,996.28 $4,118.54 +2.96% SIDEWAYS 18h
17 Oct 2025 08:00 18 Oct 2025 23:00 $3,742.80 $3,889.21 +3.81% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
19 Oct 2025 03:00 19 Oct 2025 14:00 $3,869.01 $3,989.31 +2.69% SIDEWAYS 12h
20 Oct 2025 01:00 20 Oct 2025 04:00 $3,943.40 $4,054.40 +2.71% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Oct 2025 05:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $3,856.11 $4,021.24 +4.18% SIDEWAYS 10h
22 Oct 2025 21:00 23 Oct 2025 16:00 $3,743.35 $3,918.26 +4.57% SIDEWAYS 20h
23 Oct 2025 18:00 25 Oct 2025 03:00 $3,894.47 $3,928.77 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
25 Oct 2025 10:00 26 Oct 2025 13:00 $3,934.50 $4,083.52 +3.68% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
30 Oct 2025 14:00 01 Nov 2025 16:00 $3,794.62 $3,892.23 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
05 Nov 2025 01:00 05 Nov 2025 16:00 $3,224.93 $3,437.93 +6.17% SIDEWAYS 16h
07 Nov 2025 11:00 07 Nov 2025 20:00 $3,254.40 $3,465.25 +6.37% SIDEWAYS 10h
07 Nov 2025 22:00 08 Nov 2025 22:00 $3,449.34 $3,409.50 -1.25% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Nov 2025 01:00 09 Nov 2025 20:00 $3,392.90 $3,579.17 +5.38% SIDEWAYS 20h
11 Nov 2025 21:00 12 Nov 2025 10:00 $3,442.58 $3,534.51 +2.57% SIDEWAYS 14h
12 Nov 2025 17:00 12 Nov 2025 19:00 $3,402.44 $3,407.99 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Nov 2025 00:00 13 Nov 2025 02:00 $3,416.07 $3,434.19 +0.43% SIDEWAYS 3h
14 Nov 2025 13:00 14 Nov 2025 14:00 $3,119.67 $3,199.50 +2.46% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Nov 2025 01:00 15 Nov 2025 09:00 $3,146.88 $3,152.99 +0.09% BEAR 9h
16 Nov 2025 17:00 17 Nov 2025 10:00 $3,061.09 $3,196.72 +4.00% BEAR 18h
18 Nov 2025 01:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $3,036.24 $3,152.18 +3.71% BEAR 16h
18 Nov 2025 18:00 18 Nov 2025 20:00 $3,151.79 $3,123.20 -1.01% BEAR 3h
19 Nov 2025 06:00 19 Nov 2025 08:00 $3,030.22 $3,080.21 +1.55% BEAR 3h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 20 Nov 2025 01:00 $2,980.07 $3,047.51 +2.16% BEAR 10h
21 Nov 2025 10:00 21 Nov 2025 14:00 $2,693.21 $2,770.35 +2.76% BEAR 5h
21 Nov 2025 16:00 22 Nov 2025 20:00 $2,699.10 $2,748.35 +1.68% BEAR 1.2d
22 Nov 2025 23:00 23 Nov 2025 20:00 $2,783.31 $2,828.55 +1.52% BEAR 22h
24 Nov 2025 01:00 25 Nov 2025 02:00 $2,789.64 $2,931.25 +4.93% BEAR 1.1d
25 Nov 2025 04:00 25 Nov 2025 22:00 $2,924.32 $2,970.42 +1.47% BEAR 19h
26 Nov 2025 12:00 27 Nov 2025 00:00 $2,892.73 $3,035.59 +4.83% BEAR 13h
27 Nov 2025 02:00 27 Nov 2025 11:00 $3,047.75 $3,028.54 -0.73% BEAR 10h
27 Nov 2025 13:00 27 Nov 2025 18:00 $2,997.96 $3,037.90 +1.23% BEAR 6h
28 Nov 2025 01:00 28 Nov 2025 08:00 $2,999.20 $3,065.24 +2.10% BEAR 8h
29 Nov 2025 18:00 29 Nov 2025 20:00 $2,974.99 $2,997.42 +0.65% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Dec 2025 17:00 02 Dec 2025 17:00 $2,732.60 $3,015.83 +9.91% SIDEWAYS 1d
02 Dec 2025 19:00 02 Dec 2025 22:00 $3,019.50 $3,017.55 -0.16% SIDEWAYS 4h
03 Dec 2025 00:00 03 Dec 2025 13:00 $2,998.77 $3,090.27 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 14h
07 Dec 2025 15:00 07 Dec 2025 17:00 $2,961.58 $3,112.96 +5.01% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Dec 2025 19:00 07 Dec 2025 20:00 $3,130.32 $3,141.19 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Dec 2025 22:00 08 Dec 2025 09:00 $3,043.62 $3,158.69 +3.68% SIDEWAYS 12h
08 Dec 2025 11:00 10 Dec 2025 09:00 $3,159.98 $3,347.89 +5.84% SIDEWAYS 2d
11 Dec 2025 15:00 11 Dec 2025 21:00 $3,180.17 $3,249.41 +2.08% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Dec 2025 10:00 17 Dec 2025 00:00 $2,928.71 $2,949.68 +0.19% SIDEWAYS 15h
17 Dec 2025 19:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $2,799.55 $2,964.10 +5.77% BEAR 19h
18 Dec 2025 20:00 19 Dec 2025 20:00 $2,805.00 $2,995.52 +6.69% BEAR 1d
19 Dec 2025 22:00 22 Dec 2025 09:00 $2,986.10 $3,041.67 +1.76% BEAR 2.5d
23 Dec 2025 15:00 23 Dec 2025 23:00 $2,914.99 $2,965.02 +1.61% BEAR 9h
24 Dec 2025 09:00 25 Dec 2025 18:00 $2,930.01 $2,959.20 +0.90% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
25 Dec 2025 23:00 26 Dec 2025 13:00 $2,923.50 $2,984.57 +1.99% SIDEWAYS 15h
28 Dec 2025 02:00 29 Dec 2025 03:00 $2,943.59 $3,043.75 +2.98% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
29 Dec 2025 10:00 30 Dec 2025 14:00 $2,975.50 $2,996.22 +0.60% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
30 Dec 2025 16:00 31 Dec 2025 11:00 $2,981.15 $3,002.20 +0.61% SIDEWAYS 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
87.9% Win Rate +272.9% Return -1.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees