LTCLTCLitecoin$44.2300-0.16%
24h High$44.43
24h Low$43.73
Volume$7.2M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 112 trades would have compounded to a final value of $255,593 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 112 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.74
Alpha vs B&H
+2,464.02pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-8.09%
Max Drawdown
-5.97%
Avg Drawdown
-3.26%
Sharpe Trend
-6.28
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — LTC — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 112-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.49%
Avg Loss
-1.90%
Best Trade
+18.34%
Worst Trade
-11.94%
Avg Bars Held
18.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 69 (62%) Signal flip: 33 (29%) Take-profit: 3 (3%) Regime exit: 3 (3%) Short signal: 2 (2%) Trailing stop: 2 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +2,455.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 92.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 112 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.79% on 18 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 64 93.8% +3.28% +665.29% 19h
BUBBLE 18 100.0% +3.79% +94.01% 22h
BULL 12 91.7% +2.78% +36.65% 18h
BEAR 18 77.8% +1.75% +36.24% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 112 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jul 2025 17:00 11 Jul 2025 01:00 $85.79 $94.95 +10.22% BUBBLE 3.4d
12 Jul 2025 14:00 13 Jul 2025 17:00 $92.99 $96.14 +3.22% BUBBLE 1.2d
13 Jul 2025 22:00 14 Jul 2025 08:00 $94.34 $96.33 +1.98% BUBBLE 11h
15 Jul 2025 03:00 16 Jul 2025 09:00 $91.89 $97.59 +6.07% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Jul 2025 11:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $97.33 $99.28 +1.90% BUBBLE 7h
16 Jul 2025 19:00 18 Jul 2025 03:00 $98.48 $107.79 +9.34% BUBBLE 1.4d
18 Jul 2025 05:00 18 Jul 2025 08:00 $108.28 $108.64 +0.23% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 08:00 $110.81 $119.16 +7.10% BUBBLE 7h
20 Jul 2025 10:00 21 Jul 2025 06:00 $117.72 $120.70 +2.37% BUBBLE 21h
22 Jul 2025 01:00 22 Jul 2025 23:00 $113.41 $119.65 +5.37% BUBBLE 23h
24 Jul 2025 05:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $110.15 $114.83 +4.14% BUBBLE 10h
24 Jul 2025 20:00 25 Jul 2025 09:00 $113.44 $114.54 +0.87% BUBBLE 14h
25 Jul 2025 15:00 27 Jul 2025 02:00 $111.43 $115.21 +3.29% BUBBLE 1.5d
27 Jul 2025 09:00 28 Jul 2025 01:00 $112.93 $114.09 +0.93% BUBBLE 17h
29 Jul 2025 03:00 29 Jul 2025 06:00 $108.97 $110.15 +0.98% BUBBLE 4h
30 Jul 2025 01:00 31 Jul 2025 00:00 $108.10 $111.16 +2.73% BUBBLE 24h
01 Aug 2025 08:00 02 Aug 2025 07:00 $103.92 $108.34 +4.15% BUBBLE 24h
03 Aug 2025 11:00 04 Aug 2025 19:00 $109.35 $119.82 +9.13% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
04 Aug 2025 21:00 05 Aug 2025 05:00 $120.52 $124.06 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 9h
06 Aug 2025 09:00 07 Aug 2025 04:00 $117.60 $121.23 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 20h
07 Aug 2025 17:00 08 Aug 2025 13:00 $121.60 $123.59 +1.53% BULL 21h
10 Aug 2025 01:00 11 Aug 2025 03:00 $120.98 $125.89 +3.95% BULL 1.1d
12 Aug 2025 01:00 13 Aug 2025 00:00 $120.31 $130.91 +8.70% BULL 24h
15 Aug 2025 14:00 16 Aug 2025 00:00 $119.61 $120.71 +0.82% BULL 11h
17 Aug 2025 02:00 17 Aug 2025 09:00 $119.91 $122.21 +1.50% BULL 8h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 21 Aug 2025 01:00 $113.38 $116.98 +3.01% BULL 1d
21 Aug 2025 14:00 23 Aug 2025 06:00 $115.63 $122.45 +5.76% BULL 1.7d
23 Aug 2025 16:00 24 Aug 2025 00:00 $120.42 $121.86 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 9h
24 Aug 2025 13:00 24 Aug 2025 17:00 $119.09 $121.59 +2.00% SIDEWAYS 5h
24 Aug 2025 21:00 24 Aug 2025 23:00 $119.00 $118.19 -0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 27 Aug 2025 03:00 $107.29 $114.31 +6.44% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 04:00 $112.88 $113.99 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 4h
28 Aug 2025 06:00 28 Aug 2025 09:00 $113.29 $113.30 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 4h
28 Aug 2025 17:00 28 Aug 2025 23:00 $112.25 $113.64 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 7h
30 Aug 2025 01:00 30 Aug 2025 16:00 $109.94 $110.37 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 16h
01 Sep 2025 03:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $107.62 $111.26 +2.96% SIDEWAYS 6h
01 Sep 2025 16:00 04 Sep 2025 01:00 $109.26 $112.94 +3.20% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
04 Sep 2025 14:00 05 Sep 2025 09:00 $110.08 $113.33 +2.82% SIDEWAYS 20h
05 Sep 2025 11:00 05 Sep 2025 12:00 $112.98 $114.09 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 2h
05 Sep 2025 15:00 05 Sep 2025 19:00 $112.53 $113.24 +0.53% SIDEWAYS 5h
05 Sep 2025 22:00 08 Sep 2025 01:00 $112.15 $113.95 +1.50% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
08 Sep 2025 07:00 08 Sep 2025 15:00 $112.84 $113.45 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 9h
08 Sep 2025 18:00 09 Sep 2025 08:00 $112.73 $114.36 +1.34% SIDEWAYS 15h
09 Sep 2025 16:00 11 Sep 2025 07:00 $111.32 $117.25 +5.22% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
11 Sep 2025 15:00 13 Sep 2025 09:00 $113.88 $120.11 +5.37% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
14 Sep 2025 15:00 14 Sep 2025 18:00 $114.35 $115.03 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Sep 2025 13:00 18 Sep 2025 01:00 $113.30 $117.37 +3.43% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
18 Sep 2025 03:00 19 Sep 2025 00:00 $117.77 $119.16 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 22h
22 Sep 2025 13:00 24 Sep 2025 01:00 $106.41 $107.54 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
24 Sep 2025 04:00 24 Sep 2025 06:00 $105.35 $106.92 +1.39% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Sep 2025 02:00 29 Sep 2025 02:00 $103.84 $106.79 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 1d
29 Sep 2025 04:00 30 Sep 2025 01:00 $106.44 $106.95 +0.32% SIDEWAYS 22h
30 Sep 2025 10:00 01 Oct 2025 22:00 $105.38 $114.85 +8.84% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
02 Oct 2025 00:00 02 Oct 2025 01:00 $116.69 $121.33 +3.87% SIDEWAYS 2h
03 Oct 2025 04:00 03 Oct 2025 18:00 $117.76 $123.37 +4.66% SIDEWAYS 15h
03 Oct 2025 22:00 04 Oct 2025 01:00 $121.43 $119.69 -1.53% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Oct 2025 11:00 05 Oct 2025 01:00 $118.03 $122.02 +3.28% SIDEWAYS 15h
07 Oct 2025 15:00 09 Oct 2025 04:00 $115.95 $119.31 +2.79% BUBBLE 1.6d
09 Oct 2025 17:00 10 Oct 2025 00:00 $116.78 $128.44 +9.87% BULL 8h
10 Oct 2025 21:00 11 Oct 2025 04:00 $114.12 $100.59 -11.94% BULL 8h
12 Oct 2025 02:00 12 Oct 2025 17:00 $92.19 $99.41 +7.39% BULL 16h
13 Oct 2025 10:00 13 Oct 2025 20:00 $98.14 $101.20 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 11h
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 07:00 $93.79 $98.16 +4.52% SIDEWAYS 1d
16 Oct 2025 21:00 17 Oct 2025 00:00 $90.52 $92.34 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Oct 2025 08:00 18 Oct 2025 19:00 $85.04 $91.95 +8.02% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
18 Oct 2025 21:00 20 Oct 2025 07:00 $91.81 $95.10 +3.48% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
21 Oct 2025 02:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $93.24 $95.44 +2.26% SIDEWAYS 13h
26 Oct 2025 08:00 27 Oct 2025 01:00 $97.49 $100.54 +2.71% SIDEWAYS 18h
27 Oct 2025 10:00 27 Oct 2025 15:00 $99.08 $102.04 +2.82% SIDEWAYS 6h
27 Oct 2025 23:00 28 Oct 2025 06:00 $99.03 $105.52 +6.42% SIDEWAYS 8h
29 Oct 2025 01:00 30 Oct 2025 01:00 $96.51 $98.94 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 1d
30 Oct 2025 17:00 31 Oct 2025 19:00 $91.90 $96.12 +4.49% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
31 Oct 2025 21:00 01 Nov 2025 20:00 $95.60 $100.09 +4.59% SIDEWAYS 24h
03 Nov 2025 23:00 04 Nov 2025 01:00 $86.81 $89.28 +2.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Nov 2025 19:00 06 Nov 2025 01:00 $84.55 $88.41 +4.46% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
06 Nov 2025 07:00 06 Nov 2025 11:00 $86.99 $87.40 +0.37% SIDEWAYS 5h
06 Nov 2025 13:00 07 Nov 2025 16:00 $87.23 $103.33 +18.34% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
08 Nov 2025 07:00 08 Nov 2025 23:00 $100.04 $106.95 +6.80% SIDEWAYS 17h
09 Nov 2025 04:00 09 Nov 2025 22:00 $100.45 $111.47 +10.52% SIDEWAYS 19h
11 Nov 2025 21:00 12 Nov 2025 09:00 $99.84 $101.83 +1.83% SIDEWAYS 13h
12 Nov 2025 17:00 13 Nov 2025 12:00 $96.10 $101.00 +4.96% SIDEWAYS 20h
14 Nov 2025 02:00 14 Nov 2025 19:00 $96.48 $99.97 +3.48% SIDEWAYS 18h
14 Nov 2025 21:00 15 Nov 2025 00:00 $99.01 $98.40 -0.76% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Nov 2025 02:00 15 Nov 2025 12:00 $101.90 $106.72 +4.63% BEAR 11h
17 Nov 2025 22:00 18 Nov 2025 15:00 $92.00 $96.36 +4.63% BEAR 18h
18 Nov 2025 19:00 18 Nov 2025 21:00 $94.95 $94.77 -0.29% BEAR 3h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 20 Nov 2025 01:00 $91.89 $93.40 +1.54% BEAR 10h
21 Nov 2025 13:00 21 Nov 2025 14:00 $83.06 $83.84 +0.84% BEAR 2h
23 Nov 2025 02:00 23 Nov 2025 04:00 $83.11 $83.98 +0.63% BEAR 3h
23 Nov 2025 06:00 23 Nov 2025 21:00 $83.50 $84.35 +0.86% BEAR 16h
24 Nov 2025 01:00 24 Nov 2025 20:00 $83.01 $86.97 +4.63% BEAR 20h
25 Nov 2025 00:00 26 Nov 2025 09:00 $85.86 $84.85 -1.28% BEAR 1.4d
26 Nov 2025 13:00 27 Nov 2025 00:00 $83.85 $86.67 +3.26% BEAR 12h
01 Dec 2025 13:00 02 Dec 2025 22:00 $76.96 $83.28 +8.10% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
03 Dec 2025 00:00 03 Dec 2025 17:00 $82.96 $85.50 +2.96% SIDEWAYS 18h
07 Dec 2025 02:00 07 Dec 2025 06:00 $82.11 $82.69 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Dec 2025 08:00 07 Dec 2025 17:00 $82.07 $83.04 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 10h
07 Dec 2025 22:00 08 Dec 2025 21:00 $80.91 $84.32 +4.08% SIDEWAYS 24h
09 Dec 2025 06:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $82.85 $87.06 +4.94% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Dec 2025 09:00 12 Dec 2025 03:00 $80.86 $82.93 +2.46% SIDEWAYS 19h
14 Dec 2025 22:00 15 Dec 2025 05:00 $78.59 $81.16 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 8h
15 Dec 2025 07:00 15 Dec 2025 09:00 $80.83 $81.02 +0.13% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Dec 2025 17:00 16 Dec 2025 15:00 $76.84 $79.44 +3.24% SIDEWAYS 23h
16 Dec 2025 17:00 17 Dec 2025 00:00 $79.28 $79.14 -0.32% SIDEWAYS 8h
18 Dec 2025 20:00 20 Dec 2025 03:00 $73.51 $77.08 +4.71% BEAR 1.3d
20 Dec 2025 05:00 20 Dec 2025 17:00 $76.46 $77.00 +0.57% BEAR 13h
20 Dec 2025 20:00 20 Dec 2025 22:00 $77.37 $78.39 +1.22% BEAR 3h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 22 Dec 2025 13:00 $75.99 $78.11 +2.37% BEAR 24h
23 Dec 2025 15:00 23 Dec 2025 19:00 $76.29 $77.23 +1.04% BEAR 5h
24 Dec 2025 16:00 25 Dec 2025 18:00 $75.92 $77.35 +1.72% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
25 Dec 2025 23:00 27 Dec 2025 23:00 $76.24 $80.33 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 2d
30 Dec 2025 15:00 31 Dec 2025 00:00 $78.10 $78.10 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.0% Win Rate +2,455.9% Return -6.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees