LTCLTCLitecoin$44.2300-0.16%
24h High$44.43
24h Low$43.73
Volume$7.2M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 55 trades would have compounded to a final value of $58,790 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 55 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.76
Alpha vs B&H
+426.44pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+61.46%
Max Drawdown
-1.76%
Avg Drawdown
-2.71%
Sharpe Trend
-1.61
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — LTC — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 55-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.94%
Avg Loss
-0.98%
Best Trade
+19.93%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Bars Held
19.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 34 (62%) Signal flip: 15 (27%) Trailing stop: 3 (5%) Short signal: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +487.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 96.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.8%.
  • Robust sample: 55 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.30% on 42 trades, WR 95%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 42 95.2% +4.30% +464.98% 17h
BULL 6 100.0% +2.58% +16.40% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 7 100.0% +1.60% +11.74% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 55 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jan 2024 01:00 08 Jan 2024 21:00 $64.06 $67.40 +4.78% BUBBLE 21h
09 Jan 2024 13:00 11 Jan 2024 12:00 $65.32 $73.69 +12.60% BUBBLE 2d
18 Jan 2024 13:00 20 Jan 2024 01:00 $68.35 $71.79 +4.87% BULL 1.5d
21 Jan 2024 17:00 21 Jan 2024 23:00 $70.71 $71.75 +1.06% BULL 7h
23 Jan 2024 13:00 27 Jan 2024 06:00 $64.46 $66.65 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 3.8d
27 Jan 2024 08:00 28 Jan 2024 05:00 $66.51 $68.32 +2.56% SIDEWAYS 22h
28 Jan 2024 13:00 29 Jan 2024 00:00 $67.52 $68.14 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 12h
29 Jan 2024 06:00 30 Jan 2024 01:00 $67.77 $68.43 +0.84% SIDEWAYS 20h
30 Jan 2024 14:00 30 Jan 2024 16:00 $67.68 $68.35 +0.89% SIDEWAYS 3h
31 Jan 2024 00:00 31 Jan 2024 03:00 $67.35 $67.97 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 4h
31 Jan 2024 07:00 31 Jan 2024 08:00 $67.92 $69.45 +2.15% SIDEWAYS 2h
01 Feb 2024 01:00 01 Feb 2024 20:00 $66.44 $67.95 +2.17% BULL 20h
02 Feb 2024 09:00 03 Feb 2024 22:00 $67.83 $69.05 +1.70% BULL 1.6d
04 Feb 2024 23:00 07 Feb 2024 11:00 $66.82 $67.92 +1.12% BULL 2.5d
08 Feb 2024 00:00 09 Feb 2024 02:00 $68.54 $71.76 +4.53% BULL 1.1d
10 Feb 2024 07:00 11 Feb 2024 05:00 $70.49 $72.42 +2.60% BULL 23h
12 Feb 2024 03:00 12 Feb 2024 20:00 $71.02 $72.98 +2.63% BUBBLE 18h
14 Feb 2024 01:00 14 Feb 2024 13:00 $68.72 $70.34 +2.26% BUBBLE 13h
14 Feb 2024 18:00 14 Feb 2024 21:00 $69.03 $69.87 +1.12% BUBBLE 4h
16 Feb 2024 01:00 16 Feb 2024 10:00 $69.81 $70.87 +1.42% BUBBLE 10h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 19 Feb 2024 19:00 $70.28 $71.29 +1.02% BUBBLE 1.8d
21 Feb 2024 15:00 22 Feb 2024 10:00 $68.00 $69.65 +2.26% BUBBLE 20h
22 Feb 2024 12:00 22 Feb 2024 14:00 $69.28 $69.54 +0.24% BUBBLE 3h
22 Feb 2024 16:00 22 Feb 2024 18:00 $69.60 $69.55 -0.20% BUBBLE 3h
22 Feb 2024 20:00 25 Feb 2024 05:00 $69.03 $69.92 +1.15% BUBBLE 2.4d
26 Feb 2024 01:00 27 Feb 2024 08:00 $70.15 $75.87 +8.05% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 Feb 2024 16:00 28 Feb 2024 09:00 $73.15 $75.34 +2.89% BUBBLE 18h
28 Feb 2024 18:00 29 Feb 2024 13:00 $73.17 $83.22 +13.62% BUBBLE 20h
29 Feb 2024 23:00 01 Mar 2024 02:00 $79.60 $84.35 +5.86% BUBBLE 4h
01 Mar 2024 04:00 01 Mar 2024 06:00 $83.24 $86.13 +3.37% BUBBLE 3h
01 Mar 2024 08:00 02 Mar 2024 22:00 $84.22 $91.80 +8.89% BUBBLE 1.6d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 03 Mar 2024 13:00 $87.72 $91.59 +3.98% BUBBLE 6h
05 Mar 2024 20:00 05 Mar 2024 23:00 $79.07 $81.93 +3.45% BULL 4h
06 Mar 2024 01:00 06 Mar 2024 07:00 $81.26 $85.90 +5.57% BUBBLE 7h
06 Mar 2024 10:00 07 Mar 2024 00:00 $84.98 $86.48 +1.63% BUBBLE 15h
07 Mar 2024 02:00 07 Mar 2024 19:00 $86.35 $88.79 +2.72% BUBBLE 18h
07 Mar 2024 21:00 09 Mar 2024 00:00 $88.51 $89.25 +0.74% BUBBLE 1.2d
09 Mar 2024 02:00 09 Mar 2024 22:00 $88.86 $90.24 +1.45% BUBBLE 21h
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 16:00 $86.57 $103.93 +19.93% BUBBLE 18h
11 Mar 2024 18:00 11 Mar 2024 20:00 $104.73 $105.31 +0.45% BUBBLE 3h
12 Mar 2024 15:00 13 Mar 2024 09:00 $97.33 $98.25 +0.84% BUBBLE 19h
13 Mar 2024 14:00 13 Mar 2024 19:00 $95.89 $96.51 +0.55% BUBBLE 6h
14 Mar 2024 19:00 15 Mar 2024 00:00 $92.49 $94.60 +2.18% BULL 6h
15 Mar 2024 09:00 15 Mar 2024 13:00 $84.41 $88.77 +5.06% BUBBLE 5h
15 Mar 2024 16:00 15 Mar 2024 18:00 $87.58 $90.96 +3.76% BUBBLE 3h
17 Mar 2024 06:00 17 Mar 2024 17:00 $84.61 $86.68 +2.03% BUBBLE 12h
18 Mar 2024 01:00 18 Mar 2024 05:00 $84.32 $86.37 +2.27% BUBBLE 5h
18 Mar 2024 14:00 18 Mar 2024 23:00 $83.57 $86.77 +3.69% BUBBLE 10h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 21 Mar 2024 16:00 $79.59 $86.32 +8.35% BUBBLE 1.7d
22 Mar 2024 14:00 23 Mar 2024 14:00 $80.98 $86.95 +7.26% BUBBLE 1d
24 Mar 2024 00:00 25 Mar 2024 04:00 $85.45 $90.41 +5.70% BUBBLE 1.2d
25 Mar 2024 12:00 27 Mar 2024 00:00 $88.92 $96.40 +8.30% BUBBLE 1.5d
29 Mar 2024 03:00 29 Mar 2024 22:00 $94.37 $107.49 +13.79% BUBBLE 20h
31 Mar 2024 02:00 31 Mar 2024 08:00 $103.51 $102.22 -1.76% BUBBLE 7h
31 Mar 2024 10:00 31 Mar 2024 20:00 $101.62 $105.76 +3.91% BUBBLE 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

96.4% Win Rate +487.9% Return -1.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees