LTCLTCLitecoin$44.2300-0.16%
24h High$44.43
24h Low$43.73
Volume$7.2M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 57 trades would have compounded to a final value of $31,629 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 57 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LTC Signals →

LTC — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+216.3%
$10,000 →
$31,629
Win Rate
93.0%
53W / 4L
Trades
57
Sharpe
13.58
Alpha vs B&H
+250.45pp
Risk / Reward
49.79×
B&H Return
-34.16%
Max Drawdown
-4.34%
Avg Drawdown
-2.67%
Sharpe Trend
-5.42
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — LTC — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 57-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.63%
Avg Loss
-1.91%
Best Trade
+15.61%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Bars Held
16.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 28 (49%) Forward-pred: 21 (37%) Trailing stop: 4 (7%) Stop-loss: 3 (5%) Short signal: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +216.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 93.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 57 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +2.66% on 37 trades, WR 89%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 37 89.2% +2.66% +159.34% 17h
SIDEWAYS 20 100.0% +1.65% +38.42% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 57 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 04 Jan 2026 13:00 $82.20 $82.68 +0.17% SIDEWAYS 12h
04 Jan 2026 15:00 04 Jan 2026 17:00 $82.46 $82.92 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Jan 2026 22:00 06 Jan 2026 12:00 $81.94 $84.24 +2.67% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
06 Jan 2026 17:00 06 Jan 2026 22:00 $82.68 $83.64 +1.03% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Jan 2026 07:00 09 Jan 2026 04:00 $80.71 $81.59 +0.99% SIDEWAYS 22h
09 Jan 2026 09:00 09 Jan 2026 11:00 $81.11 $81.20 +0.01% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Jan 2026 13:00 09 Jan 2026 17:00 $81.26 $81.84 +0.61% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Jan 2026 14:00 12 Jan 2026 16:00 $76.47 $76.86 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Jan 2026 01:00 14 Jan 2026 03:00 $75.94 $79.32 +4.35% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
15 Jan 2026 16:00 16 Jan 2026 21:00 $72.21 $75.06 +3.84% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
19 Jan 2026 00:00 19 Jan 2026 18:00 $69.33 $71.33 +2.46% SIDEWAYS 19h
20 Jan 2026 21:00 22 Jan 2026 01:00 $67.35 $69.50 +3.00% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
22 Jan 2026 16:00 24 Jan 2026 07:00 $67.93 $68.56 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
24 Jan 2026 20:00 24 Jan 2026 22:00 $68.02 $68.19 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 27 Jan 2026 00:00 $66.11 $69.97 +5.70% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
27 Jan 2026 07:00 27 Jan 2026 16:00 $69.25 $70.15 +1.20% SIDEWAYS 10h
30 Jan 2026 09:00 31 Jan 2026 01:00 $64.11 $65.18 +1.57% SIDEWAYS 17h
01 Feb 2026 04:00 01 Feb 2026 10:00 $59.81 $58.77 -2.25% BEAR 7h
01 Feb 2026 12:00 02 Feb 2026 04:00 $59.18 $58.04 -2.14% BEAR 17h
02 Feb 2026 06:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $57.22 $61.06 +6.54% BEAR 10h
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $57.92 $61.02 +5.22% BEAR 3h
06 Feb 2026 01:00 06 Feb 2026 16:00 $50.22 $55.30 +9.97% BEAR 16h
07 Feb 2026 07:00 07 Feb 2026 18:00 $53.26 $55.77 +4.61% BEAR 12h
09 Feb 2026 09:00 09 Feb 2026 19:00 $53.40 $54.98 +2.86% BEAR 11h
11 Feb 2026 16:00 12 Feb 2026 10:00 $51.92 $53.74 +3.40% BEAR 19h
12 Feb 2026 12:00 12 Feb 2026 17:00 $53.28 $51.67 -3.16% BEAR 6h
12 Feb 2026 19:00 14 Feb 2026 15:00 $51.96 $56.11 +7.88% BEAR 1.9d
15 Feb 2026 14:00 15 Feb 2026 16:00 $54.75 $55.18 +0.37% BEAR 3h
16 Feb 2026 06:00 16 Feb 2026 09:00 $53.91 $54.55 +1.00% BEAR 4h
16 Feb 2026 12:00 16 Feb 2026 21:00 $53.86 $55.51 +2.90% BEAR 10h
16 Feb 2026 23:00 17 Feb 2026 06:00 $55.11 $55.42 +0.43% BEAR 8h
19 Feb 2026 13:00 20 Feb 2026 12:00 $52.31 $53.54 +2.18% BEAR 24h
20 Feb 2026 14:00 21 Feb 2026 01:00 $53.34 $55.08 +3.13% BEAR 12h
24 Feb 2026 06:00 25 Feb 2026 17:00 $50.44 $58.37 +15.61% BEAR 1.5d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 27 Feb 2026 00:00 $54.73 $55.55 +1.40% BEAR 8h
27 Feb 2026 20:00 28 Feb 2026 00:00 $54.16 $54.78 +1.04% BEAR 5h
28 Feb 2026 07:00 28 Feb 2026 20:00 $52.53 $54.76 +4.14% BEAR 14h
01 Mar 2026 20:00 03 Mar 2026 03:00 $52.85 $54.33 +2.26% BEAR 1.3d
03 Mar 2026 05:00 04 Mar 2026 19:00 $54.19 $57.57 +6.07% BEAR 1.6d
06 Mar 2026 18:00 06 Mar 2026 22:00 $53.66 $54.04 +0.55% BEAR 5h
07 Mar 2026 07:00 07 Mar 2026 09:00 $53.58 $54.03 +0.71% BEAR 3h
08 Mar 2026 17:00 10 Mar 2026 14:00 $52.59 $54.89 +4.24% BEAR 1.9d
10 Mar 2026 19:00 12 Mar 2026 01:00 $53.85 $54.65 +1.38% BEAR 1.3d
12 Mar 2026 03:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $54.25 $56.25 +3.58% BEAR 1.4d
13 Mar 2026 23:00 14 Mar 2026 02:00 $55.23 $55.59 +0.55% BEAR 4h
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 19:00 $55.15 $58.43 +5.51% BEAR 1.8d
17 Mar 2026 13:00 17 Mar 2026 15:00 $57.50 $58.07 +0.83% BEAR 3h
18 Mar 2026 17:00 19 Mar 2026 00:00 $55.53 $55.82 +0.36% SIDEWAYS 8h
19 Mar 2026 08:00 19 Mar 2026 10:00 $55.12 $55.41 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Mar 2026 13:00 21 Mar 2026 00:00 $54.68 $56.41 +3.03% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
22 Mar 2026 13:00 24 Mar 2026 13:00 $54.28 $55.51 +2.12% BEAR 2d
24 Mar 2026 15:00 25 Mar 2026 13:00 $55.62 $56.61 +1.68% BEAR 23h
25 Mar 2026 16:00 25 Mar 2026 22:00 $56.10 $56.67 +0.92% BEAR 7h
26 Mar 2026 20:00 26 Mar 2026 22:00 $54.76 $54.76 -0.10% BEAR 3h
27 Mar 2026 11:00 27 Mar 2026 14:00 $53.84 $54.06 +0.31% BEAR 4h
28 Mar 2026 01:00 28 Mar 2026 13:00 $53.45 $54.61 +2.07% BEAR 13h
29 Mar 2026 23:00 30 Mar 2026 09:00 $53.26 $53.90 +0.79% BEAR 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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93.0% Win Rate +216.3% Return -4.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees