LTCLTCLitecoin$44.2300-0.16%
24h High$44.43
24h Low$43.73
Volume$7.2M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 53 trades would have compounded to a final value of $43,900 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 53 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
17.20
Alpha vs B&H
+336.29pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+2.70%
Max Drawdown
-0.76%
Avg Drawdown
-2.47%
Sharpe Trend
+5.41
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — LTC — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 53-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.66%
Avg Loss
-0.84%
Best Trade
+14.43%
Worst Trade
-1.53%
Avg Bars Held
19.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 30 (57%) Signal flip: 18 (34%) Short signal: 4 (8%) Take-profit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +339.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 92.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.8%.
  • Robust sample: 53 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.08% on 18 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 18 100.0% +4.08% +103.17% 1.0d
SIDEWAYS 24 83.3% +2.72% +87.74% 16h
BUBBLE 11 100.0% +3.39% +44.00% 20h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 53 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 07 Apr 2025 13:00 $70.79 $70.26 -1.15% SIDEWAYS 13h
07 Apr 2025 15:00 07 Apr 2025 17:00 $70.15 $71.24 +1.36% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Apr 2025 19:00 07 Apr 2025 20:00 $70.75 $71.61 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Apr 2025 22:00 08 Apr 2025 04:00 $72.03 $72.84 +0.99% SIDEWAYS 7h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 17:00 $67.41 $77.24 +14.43% SIDEWAYS 17h
09 Apr 2025 23:00 10 Apr 2025 01:00 $76.31 $75.22 -1.53% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Apr 2025 17:00 11 Apr 2025 10:00 $71.42 $77.22 +8.01% SIDEWAYS 18h
11 Apr 2025 12:00 13 Apr 2025 08:00 $76.00 $78.57 +3.28% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 01:00 $78.63 $78.38 -0.42% SIDEWAYS 6h
16 Apr 2025 13:00 17 Apr 2025 17:00 $74.01 $76.26 +2.94% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Apr 2025 00:00 18 Apr 2025 18:00 $74.85 $77.00 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 19h
20 Apr 2025 02:00 21 Apr 2025 01:00 $76.29 $79.35 +3.59% SIDEWAYS 24h
21 Apr 2025 23:00 22 Apr 2025 21:00 $77.64 $84.46 +8.61% SIDEWAYS 23h
22 Apr 2025 23:00 23 Apr 2025 04:00 $83.88 $85.18 +1.42% SIDEWAYS 6h
23 Apr 2025 06:00 23 Apr 2025 08:00 $84.19 $85.12 +0.97% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Apr 2025 10:00 24 Apr 2025 01:00 $83.93 $83.79 -0.27% SIDEWAYS 16h
24 Apr 2025 03:00 26 Apr 2025 01:00 $82.84 $87.88 +5.98% SIDEWAYS 2d
26 Apr 2025 14:00 27 Apr 2025 14:00 $85.81 $86.97 +1.25% BULL 1d
28 Apr 2025 03:00 28 Apr 2025 10:00 $84.61 $87.12 +2.86% BULL 8h
30 Apr 2025 14:00 01 May 2025 20:00 $82.73 $90.24 +8.97% BULL 1.3d
05 May 2025 00:00 05 May 2025 08:00 $85.35 $88.47 +3.23% BULL 9h
06 May 2025 01:00 06 May 2025 23:00 $83.12 $91.60 +10.03% BULL 23h
07 May 2025 17:00 09 May 2025 13:00 $87.83 $100.02 +13.73% BULL 1.9d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 08:00 $99.41 $102.96 +3.44% BULL 19h
12 May 2025 21:00 13 May 2025 11:00 $101.88 $102.95 +0.95% BULL 15h
14 May 2025 00:00 14 May 2025 06:00 $103.13 $104.15 +0.89% BULL 7h
15 May 2025 08:00 16 May 2025 03:00 $96.66 $100.90 +4.28% BULL 20h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $96.96 $101.82 +4.58% BUBBLE 14h
18 May 2025 18:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $98.98 $100.94 +1.82% BUBBLE 6h
19 May 2025 07:00 20 May 2025 01:00 $95.23 $99.14 +3.97% BUBBLE 19h
20 May 2025 13:00 22 May 2025 23:00 $93.00 $100.26 +7.70% BUBBLE 2.5d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 11:00 $95.78 $97.23 +1.41% BUBBLE 11h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 03:00 $94.02 $96.17 +2.18% BUBBLE 12h
26 May 2025 23:00 28 May 2025 11:00 $94.73 $97.25 +2.56% BUBBLE 1.5d
28 May 2025 16:00 29 May 2025 02:00 $94.73 $98.33 +3.70% BUBBLE 11h
31 May 2025 01:00 31 May 2025 21:00 $84.69 $87.82 +3.59% BUBBLE 21h
01 Jun 2025 02:00 03 Jun 2025 00:00 $86.20 $90.09 +4.09% BUBBLE 2d
03 Jun 2025 13:00 03 Jun 2025 19:00 $89.26 $90.34 +1.05% BULL 7h
05 Jun 2025 21:00 08 Jun 2025 02:00 $81.99 $88.24 +7.48% BULL 2.3d
08 Jun 2025 15:00 10 Jun 2025 01:00 $88.14 $91.44 +3.61% BULL 1.5d
10 Jun 2025 03:00 10 Jun 2025 23:00 $90.72 $93.33 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 21h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 13 Jun 2025 22:00 $81.72 $85.95 +5.07% BUBBLE 22h
14 Jun 2025 00:00 14 Jun 2025 08:00 $86.16 $86.83 +0.68% BUBBLE 9h
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 12:00 $85.73 $87.33 +1.45% BULL 1.5d
17 Jun 2025 18:00 19 Jun 2025 01:00 $83.27 $84.69 +1.54% BULL 1.3d
22 Jun 2025 02:00 22 Jun 2025 11:00 $80.32 $81.04 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 10h
22 Jun 2025 15:00 24 Jun 2025 00:00 $78.30 $84.99 +8.40% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
24 Jun 2025 02:00 24 Jun 2025 05:00 $84.63 $85.14 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 4h
24 Jun 2025 08:00 25 Jun 2025 07:00 $84.33 $85.18 +0.91% SIDEWAYS 24h
25 Jun 2025 12:00 26 Jun 2025 10:00 $84.22 $85.38 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 23h
26 Jun 2025 14:00 26 Jun 2025 19:00 $84.06 $84.99 +1.01% SIDEWAYS 6h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 29 Jun 2025 15:00 $85.94 $86.63 +0.39% BULL 14h
30 Jun 2025 15:00 30 Jun 2025 21:00 $85.18 $86.86 +1.81% BULL 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.5% Win Rate +339.0% Return -0.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees