MOVRMOVRMoonriver$1.2800-0.78%
24h High$1.31
24h Low$1.24
Volume$440,350
Updated17:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — November 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for MOVR - Moonriver. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the November 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 36 trades would have compounded to a final value of $33,844 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 36 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — November 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+238.4%
$10,000 →
$33,844
Win Rate
86.1%
31W / 5L
Trades
36
Sharpe
18.11
Alpha vs B&H
+245.45pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-7.01%
Max Drawdown
-1.90%
Avg Drawdown
-4.35%
Sharpe Trend
+1.42
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — MOVR — November 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+3.8
3
+1.4
4
+12.9
5
+7.7
6
+14.7
7
+27.1
8
+6.6
9
+0.9
10
+2.2
11
+6.1
12
+1.5
13
+6.7
14
+5.4
15
-0.7
16
—
17
+2.1
18
+2.4
19
—
20
+7.5
21
+4.2
22
+2.1
23
—
24
—
25
+3.5
26
+3.1
27
+16.0
28
—
29
—
30
+0.8

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for MOVR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 36-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.52%
Avg Loss
-0.92%
Best Trade
+14.13%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Bars Held
9.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 17 (47%) Signal flip: 9 (25%) Short signal: 6 (17%) Trailing stop: 3 (8%) Regime exit: 1 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +238.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 86.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.9%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.16% on 23 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 23 87.0% +4.16% +150.61% 8h
BEAR 13 84.6% +3.06% +46.75% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 36 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Nov 2025 02:00 02 Nov 2025 06:00 $3.42 $3.48 +1.34% SIDEWAYS 5h
02 Nov 2025 15:00 02 Nov 2025 18:00 $3.42 $3.51 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 4h
02 Nov 2025 22:00 03 Nov 2025 00:00 $3.44 $3.43 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
03 Nov 2025 05:00 03 Nov 2025 14:00 $3.18 $3.26 +2.20% SIDEWAYS 10h
03 Nov 2025 16:00 04 Nov 2025 03:00 $3.09 $3.52 +13.39% SIDEWAYS 12h
04 Nov 2025 05:00 04 Nov 2025 09:00 $3.69 $3.68 -0.47% SIDEWAYS 5h
04 Nov 2025 21:00 05 Nov 2025 22:00 $3.16 $3.41 +7.75% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
06 Nov 2025 01:00 06 Nov 2025 07:00 $3.37 $3.70 +9.53% SIDEWAYS 7h
06 Nov 2025 09:00 06 Nov 2025 13:00 $3.53 $3.71 +4.75% SIDEWAYS 5h
06 Nov 2025 17:00 07 Nov 2025 03:00 $3.46 $3.88 +11.71% SIDEWAYS 11h
07 Nov 2025 08:00 07 Nov 2025 18:00 $3.78 $4.31 +13.82% SIDEWAYS 11h
07 Nov 2025 21:00 08 Nov 2025 02:00 $4.17 $4.15 -0.72% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Nov 2025 09:00 08 Nov 2025 10:00 $3.97 $4.19 +5.52% SIDEWAYS 2h
08 Nov 2025 17:00 08 Nov 2025 22:00 $3.80 $3.88 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 6h
09 Nov 2025 02:00 09 Nov 2025 15:00 $3.81 $3.85 +0.91% SIDEWAYS 14h
09 Nov 2025 23:00 10 Nov 2025 04:00 $3.78 $3.83 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 6h
10 Nov 2025 17:00 10 Nov 2025 19:00 $3.69 $3.74 +1.00% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Nov 2025 22:00 11 Nov 2025 22:00 $3.68 $3.91 +6.11% SIDEWAYS 1d
12 Nov 2025 01:00 12 Nov 2025 03:00 $3.71 $3.77 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Nov 2025 17:00 13 Nov 2025 10:00 $3.58 $3.83 +6.72% SIDEWAYS 18h
14 Nov 2025 05:00 14 Nov 2025 07:00 $3.47 $3.55 +2.11% SIDEWAYS 3h
14 Nov 2025 13:00 14 Nov 2025 15:00 $3.45 $3.57 +3.20% SIDEWAYS 3h
14 Nov 2025 21:00 15 Nov 2025 00:00 $3.47 $3.45 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 4h
16 Nov 2025 22:00 17 Nov 2025 00:00 $3.26 $3.34 +2.07% BEAR 3h
18 Nov 2025 03:00 18 Nov 2025 18:00 $3.16 $3.25 +2.40% BEAR 16h
19 Nov 2025 05:00 20 Nov 2025 07:00 $3.12 $3.20 +2.27% BEAR 1.1d
20 Nov 2025 09:00 20 Nov 2025 12:00 $3.26 $3.33 +1.65% BEAR 4h
20 Nov 2025 17:00 20 Nov 2025 23:00 $3.08 $3.20 +3.41% BEAR 7h
21 Nov 2025 12:00 21 Nov 2025 17:00 $2.94 $3.07 +4.16% BEAR 6h
21 Nov 2025 19:00 22 Nov 2025 04:00 $3.07 $3.02 -1.91% BEAR 10h
22 Nov 2025 06:00 22 Nov 2025 22:00 $2.98 $3.11 +4.10% BEAR 17h
24 Nov 2025 12:00 25 Nov 2025 01:00 $3.00 $3.12 +3.50% BEAR 14h
25 Nov 2025 03:00 26 Nov 2025 06:00 $3.11 $3.22 +3.08% BEAR 1.2d
26 Nov 2025 12:00 27 Nov 2025 12:00 $3.12 $3.18 +1.60% BEAR 1d
27 Nov 2025 14:00 27 Nov 2025 17:00 $3.19 $3.65 +14.13% BEAR 4h
30 Nov 2025 11:00 30 Nov 2025 13:00 $3.15 $3.18 +0.76% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
86.1% Win Rate +238.4% Return -1.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees