MOVRMOVRMoonriver$1.2800-0.78%
24h High$1.31
24h Low$1.24
Volume$440,350
Updated17:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for MOVR - Moonriver. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the December 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 19 trades would have compounded to a final value of $14,178 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 19 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+41.8%
$10,000 →
$14,178
Win Rate
84.2%
16W / 3L
Trades
19
Sharpe
11.66
Alpha vs B&H
+57.51pp
Risk / Reward
18.53×
B&H Return
-15.73%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-2.77%
Sharpe Trend
-8.78
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — MOVR — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+5.1
8
+8.0
9
+0.9
10
+2.2
11
—
12
+3.0
13
-0.3
14
—
15
+2.3
16
+1.6
17
—
18
+4.2
19
—
20
+7.2
21
—
22
—
23
+1.4
24
—
25
+5.5
26
+1.5
27
-0.5
28
—
29
+0.6
30
—
31
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for MOVR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 19-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.86%
Avg Loss
-1.04%
Best Trade
+7.96%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
13.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 8 (42%) Forward-pred: 5 (26%) Short signal: 3 (16%) Trailing stop: 2 (11%) Stop-loss: 1 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +41.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 84.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +3.20% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 80.0% +1.99% +33.68% 11h
BEAR 4 100.0% +3.20% +13.36% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 19 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Dec 2025 02:00 07 Dec 2025 10:00 $2.95 $2.90 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 9h
07 Dec 2025 12:00 07 Dec 2025 15:00 $2.91 $3.15 +7.52% SIDEWAYS 4h
07 Dec 2025 22:00 08 Dec 2025 07:00 $2.97 $3.22 +7.96% SIDEWAYS 10h
09 Dec 2025 02:00 09 Dec 2025 21:00 $3.04 $3.07 +0.87% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Dec 2025 11:00 10 Dec 2025 13:00 $3.00 $3.07 +2.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 10:00 12 Dec 2025 02:00 $2.90 $2.99 +2.54% SIDEWAYS 17h
12 Dec 2025 17:00 12 Dec 2025 23:00 $2.88 $2.90 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 7h
13 Dec 2025 15:00 13 Dec 2025 23:00 $2.88 $2.88 -0.32% SIDEWAYS 9h
15 Dec 2025 18:00 15 Dec 2025 22:00 $2.55 $2.61 +2.26% SIDEWAYS 5h
16 Dec 2025 14:00 16 Dec 2025 15:00 $2.59 $2.64 +1.56% SIDEWAYS 2h
18 Dec 2025 05:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $2.36 $2.46 +4.24% BEAR 9h
18 Dec 2025 20:00 20 Dec 2025 04:00 $2.34 $2.48 +5.62% BEAR 1.4d
20 Dec 2025 06:00 20 Dec 2025 21:00 $2.50 $2.54 +1.53% BEAR 16h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 23 Dec 2025 04:00 $2.45 $2.49 +1.41% BEAR 1.6d
23 Dec 2025 07:00 25 Dec 2025 06:00 $2.46 $2.61 +5.54% BEAR 2d
26 Dec 2025 01:00 26 Dec 2025 06:00 $2.54 $2.56 +0.42% SIDEWAYS 6h
26 Dec 2025 19:00 26 Dec 2025 23:00 $2.52 $2.55 +1.08% SIDEWAYS 5h
27 Dec 2025 01:00 27 Dec 2025 13:00 $2.55 $2.54 -0.54% SIDEWAYS 13h
28 Dec 2025 21:00 29 Dec 2025 01:00 $2.50 $2.52 +0.61% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
84.2% Win Rate +41.8% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees