MOVRMOVRMoonriver$1.2800-0.78%
24h High$1.31
24h Low$1.24
Volume$440,350
Updated17:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for MOVR - Moonriver. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 68 trades would have compounded to a final value of $95,365 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 68 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+853.7%
$10,000 →
$95,365
Win Rate
85.3%
58W / 10L
Trades
68
Sharpe
11.37
Alpha vs B&H
+913.75pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-60.10%
Max Drawdown
-5.09%
Avg Drawdown
-5.11%
Sharpe Trend
-12.09
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — MOVR — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for MOVR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 68-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.82%
Avg Loss
-1.20%
Best Trade
+25.82%
Worst Trade
-5.09%
Avg Bars Held
15.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 31 (46%) Forward-pred: 30 (44%) Short signal: 3 (4%) Take-profit: 2 (3%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%) Regime exit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +853.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 68 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +5.05% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 41 87.8% +3.33% +272.90% 15h
BUBBLE 21 76.2% +4.28% +133.15% 14h
BEAR 5 100.0% +5.05% +27.65% 17h
BULL 1 100.0% +15.71% +15.71% 2.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 68 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jan 2025 02:00 06 Jan 2025 16:00 $13.91 $14.27 +2.21% BUBBLE 15h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $11.80 $11.78 -0.41% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 17:00 08 Jan 2025 23:00 $11.25 $11.68 +3.62% BUBBLE 7h
09 Jan 2025 09:00 09 Jan 2025 11:00 $11.52 $11.50 -0.30% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 13:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $11.34 $11.62 +2.31% BUBBLE 4h
09 Jan 2025 20:00 10 Jan 2025 07:00 $11.14 $11.60 +3.92% BUBBLE 12h
10 Jan 2025 17:00 10 Jan 2025 19:00 $11.04 $11.49 +3.97% BUBBLE 3h
13 Jan 2025 09:00 15 Jan 2025 22:00 $10.36 $12.00 +15.71% BULL 2.6d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 18 Jan 2025 00:00 $11.59 $12.70 +9.46% BULL 1.4d
19 Jan 2025 10:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $10.69 $11.20 +4.28% BUBBLE 5h
20 Jan 2025 01:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $9.79 $10.77 +9.63% BUBBLE 8h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $9.87 $10.56 +6.73% BUBBLE 17h
21 Jan 2025 19:00 22 Jan 2025 01:00 $10.39 $10.34 -0.67% BUBBLE 7h
23 Jan 2025 10:00 24 Jan 2025 11:00 $9.76 $10.12 +3.46% BUBBLE 1.1d
25 Jan 2025 00:00 26 Jan 2025 07:00 $9.60 $10.35 +7.67% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 Jan 2025 02:00 27 Jan 2025 07:00 $9.40 $8.94 -5.09% BUBBLE 6h
27 Jan 2025 09:00 27 Jan 2025 20:00 $8.99 $9.48 +5.31% BUBBLE 12h
27 Jan 2025 22:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $9.57 $9.47 -1.21% BUBBLE 4h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 30 Jan 2025 16:00 $8.98 $9.61 +6.95% BUBBLE 1.8d
30 Jan 2025 18:00 31 Jan 2025 11:00 $9.49 $9.68 +1.82% BUBBLE 18h
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $6.14 $7.75 +25.82% BULL 24h
04 Feb 2025 06:00 04 Feb 2025 11:00 $7.14 $7.19 +0.32% BUBBLE 6h
05 Feb 2025 12:00 05 Feb 2025 13:00 $7.26 $7.32 +0.49% SIDEWAYS 2h
05 Feb 2025 18:00 05 Feb 2025 20:00 $6.98 $7.04 +0.59% SIDEWAYS 3h
05 Feb 2025 23:00 06 Feb 2025 01:00 $6.98 $7.08 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 16:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $6.73 $7.21 +6.91% SIDEWAYS 22h
07 Feb 2025 21:00 09 Feb 2025 07:00 $6.73 $7.45 +10.39% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
09 Feb 2025 15:00 09 Feb 2025 17:00 $7.15 $7.12 -0.59% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Feb 2025 19:00 10 Feb 2025 00:00 $7.14 $7.19 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 6h
10 Feb 2025 02:00 11 Feb 2025 03:00 $6.83 $7.57 +10.67% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
11 Feb 2025 05:00 11 Feb 2025 06:00 $7.79 $8.07 +3.41% SIDEWAYS 2h
11 Feb 2025 14:00 11 Feb 2025 16:00 $7.54 $7.61 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Feb 2025 20:00 11 Feb 2025 22:00 $7.46 $7.55 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Feb 2025 15:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $7.38 $8.27 +11.94% SIDEWAYS 11h
13 Feb 2025 13:00 14 Feb 2025 19:00 $7.77 $8.34 +7.11% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 08:00 $7.95 $8.19 +2.60% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Feb 2025 10:00 16 Feb 2025 12:00 $8.04 $8.01 -0.68% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Feb 2025 01:00 18 Feb 2025 01:00 $7.78 $8.00 +2.56% SIDEWAYS 1d
18 Feb 2025 03:00 18 Feb 2025 13:00 $8.02 $8.17 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 11h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 19 Feb 2025 07:00 $7.87 $8.30 +5.27% SIDEWAYS 16h
19 Feb 2025 10:00 19 Feb 2025 12:00 $8.06 $8.04 -0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Feb 2025 15:00 21 Feb 2025 06:00 $7.88 $8.70 +10.27% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 23 Feb 2025 07:00 $8.14 $8.30 +1.79% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
23 Feb 2025 16:00 23 Feb 2025 18:00 $8.04 $8.06 +0.09% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Feb 2025 23:00 25 Feb 2025 20:00 $7.06 $7.52 +6.35% SIDEWAYS 22h
25 Feb 2025 22:00 26 Feb 2025 01:00 $7.53 $7.44 -1.31% SIDEWAYS 4h
26 Feb 2025 13:00 27 Feb 2025 07:00 $7.11 $7.43 +4.31% SIDEWAYS 19h
27 Feb 2025 17:00 28 Feb 2025 00:00 $7.14 $7.17 +0.26% SIDEWAYS 8h
28 Feb 2025 02:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $6.96 $7.24 +3.85% SIDEWAYS 23h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 17:00 $7.07 $7.67 +7.93% BEAR 16h
02 Mar 2025 19:00 03 Mar 2025 01:00 $7.54 $7.59 +0.31% BEAR 7h
04 Mar 2025 09:00 05 Mar 2025 03:00 $6.33 $6.91 +8.84% BEAR 19h
05 Mar 2025 05:00 06 Mar 2025 10:00 $6.78 $6.94 +2.13% BEAR 1.3d
06 Mar 2025 21:00 07 Mar 2025 18:00 $6.60 $6.80 +2.70% SIDEWAYS 22h
07 Mar 2025 23:00 08 Mar 2025 03:00 $6.52 $6.58 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Mar 2025 00:00 10 Mar 2025 11:00 $5.75 $6.00 +4.24% SIDEWAYS 12h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 11:00 $4.95 $5.72 +15.32% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
13 Mar 2025 14:00 15 Mar 2025 06:00 $5.67 $6.13 +8.04% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
15 Mar 2025 12:00 15 Mar 2025 16:00 $6.00 $6.12 +1.74% SIDEWAYS 5h
16 Mar 2025 14:00 16 Mar 2025 16:00 $5.87 $6.01 +1.83% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Mar 2025 20:00 17 Mar 2025 20:00 $5.92 $6.23 +5.03% SIDEWAYS 1d
18 Mar 2025 13:00 20 Mar 2025 01:00 $6.06 $6.25 +2.75% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
21 Mar 2025 12:00 23 Mar 2025 01:00 $6.10 $6.40 +4.71% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
23 Mar 2025 17:00 24 Mar 2025 13:00 $6.42 $6.61 +2.67% SIDEWAYS 21h
27 Mar 2025 12:00 27 Mar 2025 14:00 $6.41 $6.52 +1.65% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 18:00 27 Mar 2025 20:00 $6.42 $6.45 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 08:00 $5.63 $5.72 +1.15% SIDEWAYS 7h
31 Mar 2025 01:00 31 Mar 2025 03:00 $5.55 $5.50 -1.19% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
85.3% Win Rate +853.7% Return -5.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees