MOVRMOVRMoonriver$1.2800-0.78%
24h High$1.31
24h Low$1.24
Volume$440,350
Updated17:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for MOVR - Moonriver. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 56 trades would have compounded to a final value of $77,902 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 56 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

MOVR — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.18
Alpha vs B&H
+716.07pp
Risk / Reward
64.95×
B&H Return
-37.05%
Max Drawdown
-10.45%
Avg Drawdown
-6.44%
Sharpe Trend
-2.20
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — MOVR — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for MOVR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 56-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.48%
Avg Loss
-4.55%
Best Trade
+21.05%
Worst Trade
-17.18%
Avg Bars Held
17.0h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 28 (50%) Forward-pred: 21 (38%) Short signal: 4 (7%) Trailing stop: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +679.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 87.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 56 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +7.85% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 39 82.1% +3.01% +193.92% 15h
BULL 11 100.0% +6.59% +99.64% 21h
SIDEWAYS 6 100.0% +7.85% +56.44% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 56 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2024 02:00 08 Apr 2024 17:00 $19.05 $19.74 +3.23% BUBBLE 1.7d
10 Apr 2024 03:00 10 Apr 2024 05:00 $17.92 $18.26 +1.61% BUBBLE 3h
10 Apr 2024 11:00 11 Apr 2024 06:00 $18.08 $18.34 +1.28% BUBBLE 20h
11 Apr 2024 08:00 11 Apr 2024 10:00 $18.44 $18.16 -1.66% BUBBLE 3h
11 Apr 2024 12:00 11 Apr 2024 14:00 $17.84 $17.80 -0.38% BUBBLE 3h
12 Apr 2024 17:00 12 Apr 2024 18:00 $16.74 $13.90 -17.18% BUBBLE 2h
12 Apr 2024 20:00 13 Apr 2024 04:00 $13.49 $13.52 +0.05% BUBBLE 9h
13 Apr 2024 21:00 15 Apr 2024 02:00 $10.58 $12.55 +18.37% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Apr 2024 19:00 16 Apr 2024 09:00 $12.17 $12.55 +3.03% BUBBLE 15h
16 Apr 2024 16:00 16 Apr 2024 21:00 $12.08 $12.83 +6.04% BUBBLE 6h
17 Apr 2024 13:00 17 Apr 2024 18:00 $12.03 $12.42 +3.18% BUBBLE 6h
17 Apr 2024 22:00 20 Apr 2024 21:00 $12.33 $14.09 +14.12% BUBBLE 3d
21 Apr 2024 15:00 23 Apr 2024 00:00 $13.73 $14.20 +3.03% BULL 1.4d
23 Apr 2024 13:00 23 Apr 2024 19:00 $13.75 $13.95 +1.16% BUBBLE 7h
23 Apr 2024 23:00 24 Apr 2024 06:00 $13.66 $14.08 +2.89% BUBBLE 8h
25 Apr 2024 02:00 25 Apr 2024 21:00 $12.92 $13.52 +4.38% BUBBLE 20h
26 Apr 2024 23:00 28 Apr 2024 02:00 $12.80 $13.58 +5.98% BUBBLE 1.2d
29 Apr 2024 11:00 29 Apr 2024 22:00 $12.55 $12.91 +2.73% BULL 12h
30 Apr 2024 16:00 01 May 2024 00:00 $11.65 $11.92 +2.13% BULL 9h
01 May 2024 13:00 03 May 2024 15:00 $11.80 $13.74 +16.26% BULL 2.1d
03 May 2024 18:00 03 May 2024 23:00 $13.77 $15.06 +9.20% SIDEWAYS 6h
05 May 2024 02:00 06 May 2024 09:00 $13.52 $14.72 +8.38% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
08 May 2024 07:00 08 May 2024 18:00 $13.09 $14.39 +9.63% BULL 12h
09 May 2024 08:00 09 May 2024 15:00 $14.59 $16.23 +11.01% BULL 8h
10 May 2024 15:00 11 May 2024 06:00 $14.22 $16.26 +14.13% BULL 16h
12 May 2024 00:00 12 May 2024 06:00 $16.23 $16.37 +0.68% BULL 7h
13 May 2024 16:00 14 May 2024 02:00 $15.01 $15.38 +2.32% BULL 11h
15 May 2024 09:00 15 May 2024 19:00 $14.21 $15.23 +6.96% BULL 11h
16 May 2024 15:00 18 May 2024 07:00 $14.19 $14.62 +2.80% BULL 1.7d
19 May 2024 22:00 21 May 2024 13:00 $13.96 $15.88 +13.25% BUBBLE 1.7d
22 May 2024 13:00 22 May 2024 15:00 $15.20 $15.63 +2.52% BUBBLE 3h
23 May 2024 14:00 25 May 2024 01:00 $15.06 $15.77 +4.41% BUBBLE 1.5d
26 May 2024 13:00 26 May 2024 15:00 $15.16 $15.33 +0.94% BUBBLE 3h
27 May 2024 06:00 27 May 2024 16:00 $15.15 $15.77 +3.92% BUBBLE 11h
27 May 2024 18:00 28 May 2024 00:00 $15.61 $15.31 -2.08% BUBBLE 7h
28 May 2024 04:00 29 May 2024 09:00 $15.01 $15.66 +4.17% BUBBLE 1.3d
30 May 2024 07:00 30 May 2024 18:00 $14.93 $15.34 +2.59% BUBBLE 12h
30 May 2024 22:00 31 May 2024 04:00 $15.03 $14.91 -0.92% BUBBLE 7h
02 Jun 2024 09:00 02 Jun 2024 17:00 $14.34 $14.47 +0.48% BUBBLE 9h
03 Jun 2024 01:00 03 Jun 2024 03:00 $14.40 $14.65 +1.43% BUBBLE 3h
04 Jun 2024 01:00 06 Jun 2024 10:00 $14.27 $17.18 +20.16% BUBBLE 2.4d
07 Jun 2024 18:00 08 Jun 2024 08:00 $14.25 $17.28 +21.05% BUBBLE 15h
08 Jun 2024 10:00 08 Jun 2024 15:00 $16.96 $16.49 -2.96% BUBBLE 6h
08 Jun 2024 23:00 09 Jun 2024 15:00 $15.96 $16.34 +2.24% BUBBLE 17h
11 Jun 2024 17:00 11 Jun 2024 19:00 $13.36 $13.65 +2.02% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jun 2024 01:00 12 Jun 2024 16:00 $13.23 $14.37 +8.40% BUBBLE 16h
12 Jun 2024 20:00 12 Jun 2024 22:00 $13.96 $14.10 +0.80% BUBBLE 3h
14 Jun 2024 17:00 15 Jun 2024 23:00 $12.37 $12.61 +1.79% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Jun 2024 02:00 16 Jun 2024 17:00 $12.57 $12.82 +1.52% BUBBLE 16h
17 Jun 2024 14:00 17 Jun 2024 18:00 $11.99 $12.33 +2.65% BUBBLE 5h
18 Jun 2024 00:00 18 Jun 2024 04:00 $11.88 $11.11 -6.64% BUBBLE 5h
18 Jun 2024 13:00 19 Jun 2024 21:00 $10.70 $11.15 +4.07% BUBBLE 1.4d
20 Jun 2024 03:00 20 Jun 2024 09:00 $11.41 $11.71 +2.43% BUBBLE 7h
23 Jun 2024 23:00 25 Jun 2024 13:00 $10.69 $11.47 +7.08% BULL 1.6d
27 Jun 2024 07:00 27 Jun 2024 13:00 $11.02 $11.66 +5.63% SIDEWAYS 7h
27 Jun 2024 15:00 27 Jun 2024 23:00 $11.46 $11.53 +0.52% SIDEWAYS 9h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

87.5% Win Rate +679.0% Return -10.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees