POLPOLPolygon$0.080340+1.38%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated18:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — October 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the October 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 14 trades would have compounded to a final value of $12,906 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

POL — October 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
7.18
Alpha vs B&H
+50.76pp
Risk / Reward
5.56×
B&H Return
-21.70%
Max Drawdown
-5.22%
Avg Drawdown
-8.01%
Sharpe Trend
+0.82
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — POL — October 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+1.5
6
+3.4
7
8
+1.9
9
10
-10.5
11
12
+3.9
13
+1.7
14
15
+2.9
16
17
+1.5
18
19
20
+4.2
21
+0.8
22
23
24
25
+1.8
26
+1.7
27
28
29
+1.3
30
31

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 14-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.05%
Avg Loss
-10.45%
Best Trade
+4.18%
Worst Trade
-10.45%
Avg Bars Held
17.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 11 (79%) Forward-pred: 2 (14%) Stop-loss: 1 (7%)
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +29.1%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.00% on 8 trades, WR 100%.
  • Weakest regime: BULL — avg -3.27% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 8 100.0% +2.00% +17.10% 21h
BUBBLE 4 100.0% +1.69% +6.91% 11h
BULL 2 50.0% -3.27% -6.95% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 09:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.48% BUBBLE 8h
05 Oct 2025 11:00 05 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.01% BUBBLE 3h
06 Oct 2025 01:00 06 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.37% BUBBLE 13h
08 Oct 2025 04:00 08 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.91% BUBBLE 18h
10 Oct 2025 19:00 10 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.20 -10.45% BULL 3h
11 Oct 2025 11:00 12 Oct 2025 20:00 $0.19 $0.20 +3.91% BULL 1.4d
13 Oct 2025 01:00 13 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 14h
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 07:00 $0.20 $0.20 +2.90% SIDEWAYS 1d
16 Oct 2025 21:00 17 Oct 2025 00:00 $0.19 $0.19 +1.52% SIDEWAYS 4h
19 Oct 2025 14:00 20 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.19 $0.20 +4.18% SIDEWAYS 17h
21 Oct 2025 05:00 21 Oct 2025 11:00 $0.19 $0.20 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Oct 2025 19:00 25 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.19 $0.20 +1.83% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
26 Oct 2025 01:00 26 Oct 2025 12:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 12h
29 Oct 2025 01:00 29 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.19 $0.20 +1.34% SIDEWAYS 13h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.9% Win Rate +29.1% Return -5.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees