POLPOLPolygon$0.080340+1.38%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated18:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — January 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the January 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 18 trades would have compounded to a final value of $23,066 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 18 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

POL — January 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
16.80
Alpha vs B&H
+141.85pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-11.19%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-2.77%
Sharpe Trend
-9.95
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — POL — January 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+5.3
6
+7.7
7
+3.6
8
9
+23.5
10
+16.3
11
+10.2
12
13
14
+7.8
15
16
17
+5.8
18
19
+4.3
20
21
+6.8
22
23
24
25
26
+4.5
27
28
+1.8
29
30
31

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 18-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.34%
Avg Loss
0.00%
Best Trade
+15.91%
Worst Trade
0.19%
Avg Bars Held
14.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 12 (67%) Signal flip: 5 (28%) Take-profit: 1 (6%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +130.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.34% on 18 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 18 100.0% +5.34% +151.36% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 05 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.12 $0.12 +5.30% SIDEWAYS 24h
05 Jan 2026 05:00 06 Jan 2026 11:00 $0.12 $0.13 +4.97% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
06 Jan 2026 13:00 06 Jan 2026 14:00 $0.13 $0.13 +2.63% SIDEWAYS 2h
06 Jan 2026 18:00 07 Jan 2026 08:00 $0.13 $0.13 +3.64% SIDEWAYS 15h
07 Jan 2026 10:00 09 Jan 2026 06:00 $0.13 $0.15 +15.67% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
09 Jan 2026 12:00 09 Jan 2026 13:00 $0.14 $0.15 +6.76% SIDEWAYS 2h
09 Jan 2026 20:00 10 Jan 2026 12:00 $0.15 $0.18 +15.91% SIDEWAYS 17h
10 Jan 2026 14:00 10 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.17 $0.18 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Jan 2026 03:00 11 Jan 2026 04:00 $0.17 $0.18 +6.85% SIDEWAYS 2h
11 Jan 2026 15:00 11 Jan 2026 17:00 $0.16 $0.17 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Jan 2026 01:00 14 Jan 2026 05:00 $0.15 $0.16 +7.83% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
16 Jan 2026 16:00 17 Jan 2026 10:00 $0.14 $0.15 +5.79% SIDEWAYS 19h
19 Jan 2026 01:00 19 Jan 2026 03:00 $0.13 $0.14 +3.00% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Jan 2026 14:00 19 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.13 $0.14 +1.22% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Jan 2026 18:00 21 Jan 2026 15:00 $0.13 $0.14 +6.76% SIDEWAYS 22h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 26 Jan 2026 13:00 $0.12 $0.12 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 18h
27 Jan 2026 11:00 28 Jan 2026 10:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 24h
28 Jan 2026 17:00 28 Jan 2026 19:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.19% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +130.7% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees