POLPOLPolygon$0.080340+1.38%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated18:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 116 trades would have compounded to a final value of $424,017 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 116 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

POL — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.84
Alpha vs B&H
+4,150.35pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-10.19%
Max Drawdown
-4.52%
Avg Drawdown
-4.01%
Sharpe Trend
+3.53
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — POL — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 116-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.21%
Avg Loss
-1.03%
Best Trade
+29.27%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Bars Held
16.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 56 (48%) Forward-pred: 41 (35%) Trailing stop: 10 (9%) Short signal: 5 (4%) Take-profit: 3 (3%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +4,140.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 87.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 116 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.62% on 11 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 52 86.5% +3.89% +599.05% 13h
SIDEWAYS 53 86.8% +2.44% +247.78% 19h
BULL 11 100.0% +7.62% +116.27% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 116 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jul 2024 23:00 09 Jul 2024 17:00 $0.48 $0.50 +2.44% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
10 Jul 2024 06:00 11 Jul 2024 01:00 $0.51 $0.52 +1.18% SIDEWAYS 20h
12 Jul 2024 01:00 14 Jul 2024 10:00 $0.50 $0.53 +5.44% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
14 Jul 2024 12:00 15 Jul 2024 11:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 24h
15 Jul 2024 13:00 16 Jul 2024 01:00 $0.54 $0.55 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 13h
16 Jul 2024 07:00 17 Jul 2024 10:00 $0.53 $0.55 +3.49% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Jul 2024 00:00 18 Jul 2024 06:00 $0.54 $0.55 +1.47% BULL 7h
21 Jul 2024 02:00 22 Jul 2024 00:00 $0.54 $0.55 +1.21% BULL 23h
23 Jul 2024 05:00 23 Jul 2024 09:00 $0.53 $0.54 +2.27% BUBBLE 5h
23 Jul 2024 17:00 23 Jul 2024 19:00 $0.52 $0.54 +2.39% BUBBLE 3h
25 Jul 2024 13:00 28 Jul 2024 02:00 $0.50 $0.52 +3.79% BULL 2.6d
28 Jul 2024 15:00 29 Jul 2024 09:00 $0.51 $0.52 +2.57% BULL 19h
01 Aug 2024 10:00 01 Aug 2024 12:00 $0.49 $0.50 +2.70% BUBBLE 3h
01 Aug 2024 16:00 02 Aug 2024 00:00 $0.48 $0.49 +1.20% BUBBLE 9h
05 Aug 2024 07:00 06 Aug 2024 05:00 $0.35 $0.41 +15.87% SIDEWAYS 23h
06 Aug 2024 07:00 06 Aug 2024 16:00 $0.41 $0.41 +0.10% SIDEWAYS 10h
07 Aug 2024 19:00 08 Aug 2024 11:00 $0.39 $0.40 +2.13% SIDEWAYS 17h
08 Aug 2024 13:00 09 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.40 $0.42 +3.68% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Aug 2024 16:00 09 Aug 2024 18:00 $0.42 $0.42 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Aug 2024 02:00 11 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.42 $0.43 +1.50% SIDEWAYS 24h
11 Aug 2024 23:00 12 Aug 2024 14:00 $0.40 $0.43 +6.27% SIDEWAYS 16h
12 Aug 2024 16:00 12 Aug 2024 23:00 $0.42 $0.43 -0.01% SIDEWAYS 8h
14 Aug 2024 14:00 15 Aug 2024 00:00 $0.41 $0.43 +4.58% SIDEWAYS 11h
15 Aug 2024 11:00 15 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.41 $0.42 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Aug 2024 02:00 20 Aug 2024 03:00 $0.41 $0.44 +8.02% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
20 Aug 2024 05:00 21 Aug 2024 17:00 $0.44 $0.52 +17.77% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
21 Aug 2024 19:00 22 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.52 $0.53 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Aug 2024 11:00 22 Aug 2024 18:00 $0.52 $0.53 +2.22% SIDEWAYS 8h
23 Aug 2024 01:00 23 Aug 2024 07:00 $0.53 $0.54 +0.89% SIDEWAYS 7h
23 Aug 2024 11:00 24 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.53 $0.54 +2.46% SIDEWAYS 15h
24 Aug 2024 03:00 24 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.54 $0.55 +1.71% SIDEWAYS 11h
28 Aug 2024 21:00 29 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.44 $0.44 -0.84% SIDEWAYS 5h
29 Aug 2024 09:00 29 Aug 2024 11:00 $0.43 $0.44 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Aug 2024 19:00 30 Aug 2024 09:00 $0.42 $0.42 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 15h
30 Aug 2024 11:00 30 Aug 2024 15:00 $0.42 $0.40 -4.52% SIDEWAYS 5h
30 Aug 2024 17:00 31 Aug 2024 04:00 $0.41 $0.43 +4.18% SIDEWAYS 12h
02 Sep 2024 05:00 02 Sep 2024 09:00 $0.40 $0.40 +0.11% SIDEWAYS 5h
02 Sep 2024 14:00 03 Sep 2024 01:00 $0.40 $0.41 +2.88% SIDEWAYS 12h
04 Sep 2024 09:00 04 Sep 2024 16:00 $0.38 $0.39 +2.72% SIDEWAYS 8h
06 Sep 2024 20:00 07 Sep 2024 21:00 $0.36 $0.37 +1.42% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
07 Sep 2024 23:00 09 Sep 2024 09:00 $0.37 $0.38 +1.97% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
09 Sep 2024 15:00 09 Sep 2024 17:00 $0.37 $0.38 +2.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Sep 2024 12:00 13 Sep 2024 13:00 $0.41 $0.43 +5.54% SIDEWAYS 2h
13 Sep 2024 15:00 13 Sep 2024 19:00 $0.42 $0.42 -0.39% SIDEWAYS 5h
13 Sep 2024 21:00 13 Sep 2024 23:00 $0.42 $0.41 -2.31% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Sep 2024 01:00 17 Sep 2024 16:00 $0.37 $0.38 +1.69% SIDEWAYS 16h
18 Sep 2024 09:00 20 Sep 2024 13:00 $0.38 $0.40 +5.05% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
20 Sep 2024 15:00 21 Sep 2024 23:00 $0.40 $0.41 +3.44% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
22 Sep 2024 14:00 22 Sep 2024 20:00 $0.40 $0.40 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Sep 2024 22:00 24 Sep 2024 04:00 $0.39 $0.40 +1.24% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Sep 2024 06:00 25 Sep 2024 01:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.44% SIDEWAYS 20h
25 Sep 2024 05:00 25 Sep 2024 14:00 $0.41 $0.42 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 10h
26 Sep 2024 01:00 26 Sep 2024 18:00 $0.41 $0.43 +5.16% SIDEWAYS 18h
29 Sep 2024 13:00 29 Sep 2024 19:00 $0.42 $0.42 +1.31% BULL 7h
01 Oct 2024 00:00 01 Oct 2024 06:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.93% BULL 7h
01 Oct 2024 19:00 02 Oct 2024 02:00 $0.38 $0.39 +2.15% BULL 8h
02 Oct 2024 09:00 05 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.38 $0.38 -0.23% BULL 2.7d
05 Oct 2024 04:00 05 Oct 2024 06:00 $0.38 $0.39 +0.87% SIDEWAYS 3h
05 Oct 2024 20:00 05 Oct 2024 23:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.07% SIDEWAYS 4h
06 Oct 2024 01:00 06 Oct 2024 18:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 18h
08 Oct 2024 16:00 09 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.37 $0.38 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 10h
10 Oct 2024 01:00 12 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.37 $0.37 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 2.6d
13 Oct 2024 15:00 15 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.36 $0.38 +3.43% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
16 Oct 2024 09:00 17 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.37 $0.37 +0.94% SIDEWAYS 17h
17 Oct 2024 13:00 19 Oct 2024 09:00 $0.37 $0.38 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
19 Oct 2024 12:00 19 Oct 2024 14:00 $0.37 $0.37 -0.17% BUBBLE 3h
20 Oct 2024 02:00 20 Oct 2024 22:00 $0.37 $0.38 +3.14% BUBBLE 21h
24 Oct 2024 09:00 25 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.35 $0.35 -1.00% BUBBLE 17h
26 Oct 2024 00:00 27 Oct 2024 10:00 $0.32 $0.33 +1.07% BUBBLE 1.5d
27 Oct 2024 12:00 27 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.33 $0.33 +0.66% BUBBLE 4h
28 Oct 2024 16:00 29 Oct 2024 18:00 $0.32 $0.34 +5.87% BUBBLE 1.1d
01 Nov 2024 08:00 01 Nov 2024 10:00 $0.32 $0.32 +1.14% BUBBLE 3h
03 Nov 2024 17:00 04 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.30 $0.30 -0.24% BUBBLE 9h
04 Nov 2024 17:00 05 Nov 2024 19:00 $0.29 $0.30 +2.12% BUBBLE 1.1d
05 Nov 2024 21:00 07 Nov 2024 23:00 $0.30 $0.35 +13.88% BUBBLE 2.1d
08 Nov 2024 12:00 08 Nov 2024 18:00 $0.37 $0.40 +7.81% BULL 7h
09 Nov 2024 16:00 10 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.38 $0.41 +8.61% BUBBLE 21h
10 Nov 2024 14:00 10 Nov 2024 15:00 $0.42 $0.42 +0.12% BUBBLE 2h
10 Nov 2024 21:00 12 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.39 $0.42 +7.03% BUBBLE 1.2d
12 Nov 2024 17:00 12 Nov 2024 19:00 $0.39 $0.40 +1.55% BUBBLE 3h
13 Nov 2024 09:00 13 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.37 $0.40 +7.44% BUBBLE 6h
13 Nov 2024 22:00 14 Nov 2024 02:00 $0.37 $0.37 -0.49% BUBBLE 5h
15 Nov 2024 05:00 15 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.35 $0.37 +4.19% BUBBLE 8h
15 Nov 2024 20:00 16 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.36 $0.44 +19.76% BUBBLE 1.1d
17 Nov 2024 21:00 18 Nov 2024 16:00 $0.40 $0.47 +17.55% BUBBLE 20h
18 Nov 2024 18:00 19 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.46 $0.44 -3.50% BUBBLE 8h
20 Nov 2024 04:00 20 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.43 $0.45 +3.63% BUBBLE 9h
21 Nov 2024 01:00 22 Nov 2024 03:00 $0.43 $0.47 +7.64% BUBBLE 1.1d
22 Nov 2024 11:00 23 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.46 $0.59 +29.27% BUBBLE 1.2d
24 Nov 2024 11:00 24 Nov 2024 23:00 $0.55 $0.58 +3.72% BUBBLE 13h
25 Nov 2024 03:00 25 Nov 2024 05:00 $0.55 $0.56 +1.32% BUBBLE 3h
27 Nov 2024 09:00 27 Nov 2024 22:00 $0.55 $0.58 +5.52% BUBBLE 14h
30 Nov 2024 00:00 30 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.58 $0.59 +1.15% BUBBLE 14h
01 Dec 2024 01:00 02 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.59 $0.63 +6.53% BUBBLE 1d
02 Dec 2024 09:00 02 Dec 2024 15:00 $0.59 $0.63 +7.82% BUBBLE 7h
02 Dec 2024 17:00 03 Dec 2024 08:00 $0.62 $0.73 +16.71% BUBBLE 16h
03 Dec 2024 14:00 03 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.69 $0.72 +3.83% BUBBLE 9h
04 Dec 2024 01:00 04 Dec 2024 12:00 $0.71 $0.72 +1.21% BUBBLE 12h
05 Dec 2024 01:00 05 Dec 2024 08:00 $0.67 $0.71 +5.23% BUBBLE 8h
05 Dec 2024 23:00 06 Dec 2024 06:00 $0.68 $0.70 +2.19% BUBBLE 8h
06 Dec 2024 10:00 06 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.67 $0.72 +6.84% BUBBLE 13h
08 Dec 2024 06:00 09 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.69 $0.68 -0.64% BUBBLE 20h
09 Dec 2024 21:00 09 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.57 $0.58 +1.38% BUBBLE 3h
10 Dec 2024 03:00 10 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.55 $0.59 +7.95% BUBBLE 7h
11 Dec 2024 13:00 12 Dec 2024 02:00 $0.60 $0.65 +7.02% BUBBLE 14h
14 Dec 2024 21:00 16 Dec 2024 00:00 $0.59 $0.63 +5.09% BUBBLE 1.2d
19 Dec 2024 02:00 19 Dec 2024 06:00 $0.49 $0.51 +4.19% BUBBLE 5h
19 Dec 2024 21:00 19 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.47 $0.48 -0.09% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 09:00 20 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.44 $0.50 +12.72% BUBBLE 14h
21 Dec 2024 00:00 21 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.50 $0.52 +3.78% BUBBLE 6h
22 Dec 2024 02:00 24 Dec 2024 14:00 $0.48 $0.52 +8.72% BUBBLE 2.5d
26 Dec 2024 21:00 27 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.47 $0.50 +5.09% BUBBLE 13h
28 Dec 2024 13:00 28 Dec 2024 15:00 $0.48 $0.48 +0.49% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 14:00 30 Dec 2024 19:00 $0.46 $0.47 +3.12% BUBBLE 6h
31 Dec 2024 01:00 31 Dec 2024 08:00 $0.46 $0.46 +1.38% BUBBLE 8h
31 Dec 2024 11:00 31 Dec 2024 13:00 $0.46 $0.47 +1.37% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

87.9% Win Rate +4,140.2% Return -4.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees