POLPOLPolygon$0.080340+1.38%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated18:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 45 trades would have compounded to a final value of $41,145 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 45 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

POL — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.83
Alpha vs B&H
+311.63pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-0.18%
Max Drawdown
-2.42%
Avg Drawdown
-3.97%
Sharpe Trend
+1.76
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — POL — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 45-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.42%
Avg Loss
-1.28%
Best Trade
+25.35%
Worst Trade
-2.54%
Avg Bars Held
19.4h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 24 (53%) Forward-pred: 18 (40%) Short signal: 2 (4%) Take-profit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +311.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 82.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.4%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.70% on 13 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 13 92.3% +4.70% +77.51% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 17 70.6% +3.22% +68.50% 15h
BUBBLE 15 86.7% +2.51% +44.34% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 45 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 08 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.17 $0.17 +2.12% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
09 Apr 2025 00:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $0.17 $0.19 +11.18% SIDEWAYS 21h
09 Apr 2025 22:00 10 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.19 $0.19 -1.63% SIDEWAYS 4h
10 Apr 2025 11:00 11 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.18 $0.18 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
12 Apr 2025 00:00 12 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.18 $0.19 +3.98% SIDEWAYS 22h
14 Apr 2025 08:00 14 Apr 2025 11:00 $0.18 $0.19 +1.79% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Apr 2025 21:00 16 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 5h
20 Apr 2025 04:00 20 Apr 2025 07:00 $0.19 $0.19 -0.25% SIDEWAYS 4h
20 Apr 2025 09:00 22 Apr 2025 06:00 $0.19 $0.21 +11.18% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
22 Apr 2025 08:00 22 Apr 2025 11:00 $0.22 $0.22 -1.40% SIDEWAYS 4h
22 Apr 2025 17:00 22 Apr 2025 19:00 $0.22 $0.22 -0.23% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Apr 2025 03:00 23 Apr 2025 04:00 $0.22 $0.22 +1.82% SIDEWAYS 2h
23 Apr 2025 07:00 23 Apr 2025 15:00 $0.22 $0.22 +2.66% SIDEWAYS 9h
24 Apr 2025 01:00 24 Apr 2025 12:00 $0.22 $0.25 +15.20% SIDEWAYS 12h
24 Apr 2025 14:00 26 Apr 2025 00:00 $0.26 $0.25 -2.54% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
28 Apr 2025 01:00 28 Apr 2025 10:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.26% BULL 10h
30 Apr 2025 02:00 01 May 2025 12:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.42% BULL 1.5d
02 May 2025 20:00 03 May 2025 02:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.86% BULL 7h
06 May 2025 16:00 10 May 2025 22:00 $0.22 $0.27 +25.35% BULL 4.3d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 08:00 $0.26 $0.27 +3.98% BULL 19h
13 May 2025 01:00 13 May 2025 19:00 $0.25 $0.26 +4.34% BULL 19h
15 May 2025 10:00 16 May 2025 10:00 $0.24 $0.24 +3.30% BULL 1d
17 May 2025 02:00 17 May 2025 06:00 $0.23 $0.23 +2.08% BUBBLE 5h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 13:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.27% BUBBLE 12h
18 May 2025 15:00 18 May 2025 17:00 $0.24 $0.24 -2.42% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 19:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $0.24 $0.24 +2.25% BUBBLE 5h
19 May 2025 13:00 19 May 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.78% BUBBLE 3h
20 May 2025 10:00 22 May 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.25 +7.53% BUBBLE 2.3d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 03:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.24% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 03:00 $0.23 $0.23 -0.02% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 08:00 26 May 2025 00:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.46% BUBBLE 17h
26 May 2025 02:00 26 May 2025 12:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.22% BUBBLE 11h
28 May 2025 17:00 29 May 2025 02:00 $0.23 $0.24 +2.60% BUBBLE 10h
01 Jun 2025 02:00 02 Jun 2025 18:00 $0.21 $0.22 +1.05% BUBBLE 1.7d
05 Jun 2025 21:00 06 Jun 2025 14:00 $0.20 $0.22 +10.38% BULL 18h
09 Jun 2025 01:00 11 Jun 2025 05:00 $0.21 $0.23 +6.30% BULL 2.2d
11 Jun 2025 09:00 11 Jun 2025 14:00 $0.22 $0.23 +4.75% BUBBLE 6h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 01:00 $0.19 $0.20 +3.47% BUBBLE 1d
14 Jun 2025 20:00 14 Jun 2025 23:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.07% BUBBLE 4h
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 14:00 $0.20 $0.21 +2.84% BULL 1.5d
18 Jun 2025 17:00 19 Jun 2025 07:00 $0.19 $0.19 +1.36% BULL 15h
22 Jun 2025 01:00 24 Jun 2025 01:00 $0.17 $0.18 +3.76% SIDEWAYS 2d
24 Jun 2025 03:00 24 Jun 2025 05:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Jun 2025 07:00 24 Jun 2025 11:00 $0.18 $0.18 -1.71% SIDEWAYS 5h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 13:00 $0.18 $0.18 +3.53% BULL 1.5d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

82.2% Win Rate +311.5% Return -2.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees