POLPOLPolygon$0.080800+3.18%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.3M
Updated14:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 64 trades would have compounded to a final value of $107,026 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 64 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+970.3%
$10,000 →
$107,026
Win Rate
84.4%
54W / 10L
Trades
64
Sharpe
16.62
Alpha vs B&H
+950.11pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+20.15%
Max Drawdown
-3.69%
Avg Drawdown
-3.97%
Sharpe Trend
+14.99
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — POL — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 64-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.30%
Avg Loss
-1.01%
Best Trade
+27.95%
Worst Trade
-2.53%
Avg Bars Held
15.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 31 (48%) Forward-pred: 28 (44%) Trailing stop: 2 (3%) Stop-loss: 2 (3%) Short signal: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +970.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 84.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 64 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +16.60% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 53 83.0% +3.82% +590.16% 13h
BULL 4 100.0% +16.60% +82.90% 1.2d
SIDEWAYS 7 85.7% +0.99% +7.08% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 64 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Oct 2024 02:00 06 Oct 2024 23:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 22h
08 Oct 2024 16:00 09 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.37 $0.38 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 10h
10 Oct 2024 01:00 12 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.37 $0.37 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 2.6d
13 Oct 2024 04:00 13 Oct 2024 06:00 $0.37 $0.37 -0.52% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Oct 2024 15:00 15 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.36 $0.38 +3.43% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
15 Oct 2024 12:00 17 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.37 $0.37 +0.83% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
17 Oct 2024 12:00 17 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.36 $0.37 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Oct 2024 18:00 19 Oct 2024 09:00 $0.36 $0.38 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
19 Oct 2024 12:00 19 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.37 $0.37 -0.46% BUBBLE 4h
20 Oct 2024 02:00 20 Oct 2024 21:00 $0.37 $0.38 +2.44% BUBBLE 20h
24 Oct 2024 09:00 24 Oct 2024 19:00 $0.35 $0.36 +0.69% BUBBLE 11h
26 Oct 2024 00:00 27 Oct 2024 10:00 $0.32 $0.33 +1.07% BUBBLE 1.5d
27 Oct 2024 12:00 27 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.33 $0.33 +0.66% BUBBLE 4h
28 Oct 2024 16:00 29 Oct 2024 16:00 $0.32 $0.34 +5.84% BUBBLE 1d
29 Oct 2024 18:00 29 Oct 2024 22:00 $0.34 $0.34 -0.68% BUBBLE 5h
03 Nov 2024 19:00 03 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.30 $0.30 +0.56% BUBBLE 3h
04 Nov 2024 17:00 05 Nov 2024 19:00 $0.29 $0.30 +2.12% BUBBLE 1.1d
05 Nov 2024 21:00 07 Nov 2024 23:00 $0.30 $0.35 +13.88% BUBBLE 2.1d
08 Nov 2024 12:00 08 Nov 2024 20:00 $0.37 $0.39 +4.81% BULL 9h
09 Nov 2024 16:00 10 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.38 $0.41 +8.61% BUBBLE 21h
10 Nov 2024 14:00 10 Nov 2024 15:00 $0.42 $0.42 +0.12% BUBBLE 2h
10 Nov 2024 21:00 12 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.39 $0.42 +7.03% BUBBLE 1.2d
12 Nov 2024 17:00 12 Nov 2024 20:00 $0.39 $0.40 +2.42% BUBBLE 4h
13 Nov 2024 07:00 13 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.37 $0.40 +7.21% BUBBLE 8h
13 Nov 2024 22:00 14 Nov 2024 00:00 $0.37 $0.37 -0.73% BUBBLE 3h
15 Nov 2024 05:00 15 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.35 $0.37 +5.32% BUBBLE 9h
15 Nov 2024 20:00 16 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.36 $0.44 +19.76% BUBBLE 1.1d
17 Nov 2024 20:00 18 Nov 2024 16:00 $0.40 $0.47 +16.89% BUBBLE 21h
18 Nov 2024 18:00 18 Nov 2024 23:00 $0.46 $0.46 -0.47% BUBBLE 6h
19 Nov 2024 23:00 20 Nov 2024 09:00 $0.43 $0.45 +4.87% BUBBLE 11h
20 Nov 2024 11:00 20 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.44 $0.46 +5.17% BUBBLE 3h
21 Nov 2024 01:00 22 Nov 2024 03:00 $0.43 $0.47 +7.64% BUBBLE 1.1d
22 Nov 2024 10:00 23 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.46 $0.59 +27.95% BUBBLE 1.2d
23 Nov 2024 19:00 23 Nov 2024 22:00 $0.58 $0.57 -2.53% BUBBLE 4h
24 Nov 2024 11:00 24 Nov 2024 22:00 $0.55 $0.58 +3.68% BUBBLE 12h
25 Nov 2024 03:00 25 Nov 2024 06:00 $0.55 $0.56 +0.42% BUBBLE 4h
26 Nov 2024 11:00 27 Nov 2024 23:00 $0.52 $0.58 +11.67% BUBBLE 1.5d
30 Nov 2024 00:00 30 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.58 $0.59 +1.15% BUBBLE 14h
01 Dec 2024 02:00 02 Dec 2024 00:00 $0.59 $0.61 +4.09% BUBBLE 23h
02 Dec 2024 09:00 03 Dec 2024 04:00 $0.59 $0.70 +19.00% BUBBLE 20h
03 Dec 2024 06:00 03 Dec 2024 08:00 $0.72 $0.73 +0.67% BUBBLE 3h
03 Dec 2024 14:00 03 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.69 $0.72 +3.83% BUBBLE 9h
04 Dec 2024 01:00 04 Dec 2024 12:00 $0.71 $0.72 +1.21% BUBBLE 12h
05 Dec 2024 01:00 05 Dec 2024 08:00 $0.67 $0.71 +5.23% BUBBLE 8h
05 Dec 2024 23:00 06 Dec 2024 07:00 $0.68 $0.70 +2.15% BUBBLE 9h
06 Dec 2024 10:00 06 Dec 2024 19:00 $0.67 $0.72 +6.36% BUBBLE 10h
06 Dec 2024 21:00 06 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.71 $0.72 +1.04% BUBBLE 2h
08 Dec 2024 09:00 09 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.69 $0.68 -0.86% BUBBLE 17h
09 Dec 2024 21:00 10 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.57 $0.59 +2.91% BUBBLE 13h
10 Dec 2024 16:00 12 Dec 2024 02:00 $0.55 $0.65 +18.47% BUBBLE 1.5d
13 Dec 2024 07:00 13 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.61 $0.62 +0.74% BUBBLE 3h
13 Dec 2024 16:00 13 Dec 2024 20:00 $0.62 $0.62 +0.50% BUBBLE 5h
15 Dec 2024 02:00 15 Dec 2024 03:00 $0.60 $0.60 -1.76% BUBBLE 2h
15 Dec 2024 05:00 15 Dec 2024 07:00 $0.60 $0.59 -1.97% BUBBLE 3h
15 Dec 2024 09:00 16 Dec 2024 00:00 $0.59 $0.63 +4.86% BUBBLE 16h
19 Dec 2024 02:00 19 Dec 2024 08:00 $0.49 $0.51 +3.54% BUBBLE 7h
19 Dec 2024 21:00 19 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.47 $0.48 -0.09% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 09:00 21 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.44 $0.52 +16.19% BUBBLE 21h
22 Dec 2024 02:00 24 Dec 2024 14:00 $0.48 $0.52 +8.72% BUBBLE 2.5d
26 Dec 2024 21:00 27 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.47 $0.50 +5.09% BUBBLE 13h
29 Dec 2024 23:00 30 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.46 $0.48 +2.39% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 14:00 30 Dec 2024 19:00 $0.46 $0.47 +3.12% BUBBLE 6h
31 Dec 2024 01:00 31 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.46 $0.47 +1.95% BUBBLE 9h
31 Dec 2024 11:00 31 Dec 2024 13:00 $0.46 $0.47 +1.37% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
84.4% Win Rate +970.3% Return -3.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees