POLPOLPolygon$0.080800+3.18%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.3M
Updated14:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 50 trades would have compounded to a final value of $29,263 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 50 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+192.6%
$10,000 →
$29,263
Win Rate
88.0%
44W / 6L
Trades
50
Sharpe
8.57
Alpha vs B&H
+249.34pp
Risk / Reward
36.88×
B&H Return
-56.72%
Max Drawdown
-5.22%
Avg Drawdown
-4.24%
Sharpe Trend
-9.12
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — POL — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 50-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.77%
Avg Loss
-2.14%
Best Trade
+12.25%
Worst Trade
-10.45%
Avg Bars Held
16.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 22 (44%) Forward-pred: 18 (36%) Short signal: 4 (8%) Trailing stop: 3 (6%) Regime exit: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +192.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +2.49% on 14 trades, WR 93%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BULL — avg -3.27% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 30 86.7% +2.46% +104.95% 17h
BEAR 14 92.9% +2.49% +40.69% 18h
BUBBLE 4 100.0% +1.69% +6.91% 11h
BULL 2 50.0% -3.27% -6.95% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 50 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 09:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.48% BUBBLE 8h
05 Oct 2025 11:00 05 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.01% BUBBLE 3h
06 Oct 2025 01:00 06 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.37% BUBBLE 13h
08 Oct 2025 04:00 08 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.91% BUBBLE 18h
10 Oct 2025 19:00 10 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.20 -10.45% BULL 3h
11 Oct 2025 11:00 12 Oct 2025 20:00 $0.19 $0.20 +3.91% BULL 1.4d
13 Oct 2025 01:00 13 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 14h
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 07:00 $0.20 $0.20 +2.90% SIDEWAYS 1d
16 Oct 2025 21:00 17 Oct 2025 00:00 $0.19 $0.19 +1.52% SIDEWAYS 4h
19 Oct 2025 14:00 20 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.19 $0.20 +4.18% SIDEWAYS 17h
21 Oct 2025 05:00 21 Oct 2025 11:00 $0.19 $0.20 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Oct 2025 19:00 25 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.19 $0.20 +1.83% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
26 Oct 2025 01:00 26 Oct 2025 12:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 12h
29 Oct 2025 01:00 29 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.19 $0.20 +1.34% SIDEWAYS 13h
30 Oct 2025 18:00 01 Nov 2025 04:00 $0.18 $0.19 +1.03% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
02 Nov 2025 02:00 02 Nov 2025 06:00 $0.19 $0.19 +1.31% SIDEWAYS 5h
03 Nov 2025 21:00 04 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.17 $0.17 +2.78% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Nov 2025 09:00 04 Nov 2025 11:00 $0.17 $0.17 +0.97% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Nov 2025 20:00 05 Nov 2025 16:00 $0.16 $0.17 +6.53% SIDEWAYS 21h
06 Nov 2025 13:00 07 Nov 2025 21:00 $0.17 $0.18 +10.43% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
09 Nov 2025 03:00 10 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.17 $0.18 +3.61% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
10 Nov 2025 17:00 10 Nov 2025 22:00 $0.18 $0.18 +3.29% SIDEWAYS 6h
12 Nov 2025 01:00 12 Nov 2025 03:00 $0.17 $0.17 -0.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Nov 2025 17:00 13 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.17 $0.18 +3.90% SIDEWAYS 16h
14 Nov 2025 23:00 15 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.15 $0.15 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Nov 2025 02:00 15 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.15 $0.16 +1.66% BEAR 16h
17 Nov 2025 18:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $0.15 $0.15 +3.97% BEAR 23h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 20 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.14 $0.15 +4.91% BEAR 21h
21 Nov 2025 08:00 23 Nov 2025 10:00 $0.14 $0.14 -0.11% BEAR 2.1d
24 Nov 2025 01:00 24 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.13 $0.14 +4.25% BEAR 17h
25 Nov 2025 15:00 26 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.13 $0.14 +1.91% BEAR 10h
26 Nov 2025 05:00 27 Nov 2025 03:00 $0.13 $0.14 +0.99% BEAR 23h
27 Nov 2025 05:00 27 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.14 $0.14 +0.39% BEAR 13h
01 Dec 2025 17:00 02 Dec 2025 15:00 $0.12 $0.13 +12.25% SIDEWAYS 23h
02 Dec 2025 17:00 02 Dec 2025 18:00 $0.13 $0.13 -1.09% SIDEWAYS 2h
03 Dec 2025 17:00 03 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.13 $0.13 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 Dec 2025 17:00 06 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.12 $0.12 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 1d
07 Dec 2025 12:00 07 Dec 2025 18:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.23% SIDEWAYS 7h
07 Dec 2025 20:00 09 Dec 2025 15:00 $0.12 $0.13 +1.67% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
11 Dec 2025 04:00 11 Dec 2025 06:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 15:00 11 Dec 2025 21:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.76% SIDEWAYS 7h
12 Dec 2025 16:00 13 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.12 $0.12 +3.42% SIDEWAYS 17h
13 Dec 2025 10:00 13 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Dec 2025 05:00 16 Dec 2025 14:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.92% SIDEWAYS 10h
17 Dec 2025 23:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.11 $0.11 +3.80% BEAR 15h
19 Dec 2025 01:00 20 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.10 $0.11 +8.25% BEAR 1.3d
22 Dec 2025 03:00 22 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.92% BEAR 10h
23 Dec 2025 13:00 23 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.44% BEAR 4h
26 Dec 2025 00:00 27 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
28 Dec 2025 02:00 28 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.11 $0.11 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
88.0% Win Rate +192.6% Return -5.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees