RNDRRNDRRender$1.7410+1.69%
24h High$1.78
24h Low$1.70
Volume$3.0M
Updated17:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / RNDR / RNDR — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

RNDR Render Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for RNDR - Render. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 100 trades would have compounded to a final value of $296,052 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 100 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.

RNDR — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Render (RNDR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
11.80
Alpha vs B&H
+2,919.02pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-58.51%
Max Drawdown
-9.05%
Avg Drawdown
-4.88%
Sharpe Trend
-2.72
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — RNDR — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for RNDR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 100-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.74%
Avg Loss
-2.84%
Best Trade
+38.43%
Worst Trade
-18.11%
Avg Bars Held
18.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 54 (54%) Forward-pred: 24 (24%) Short signal: 11 (11%) Trailing stop: 5 (5%) Take-profit: 3 (3%) Stop-loss: 2 (2%) Regime exit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +2,860.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 89.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 100 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.37% on 59 trades, WR 93%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 59 93.2% +4.37% +1,043.05% 19h
BUBBLE 15 93.3% +4.21% +84.90% 20h
BEAR 18 72.2% +2.50% +53.84% 12h
BULL 8 87.5% +3.07% +23.38% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 100 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 04:00 07 Jul 2025 01:00 $3.16 $3.23 +1.92% BULL 22h
08 Jul 2025 02:00 09 Jul 2025 22:00 $3.12 $3.38 +7.89% BULL 1.9d
12 Jul 2025 15:00 14 Jul 2025 01:00 $3.54 $3.81 +7.36% BUBBLE 1.5d
15 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $3.73 $4.08 +8.93% BUBBLE 1.7d
17 Jul 2025 04:00 17 Jul 2025 06:00 $3.95 $4.06 +2.43% BUBBLE 3h
18 Jul 2025 21:00 19 Jul 2025 20:00 $4.05 $4.19 +3.17% BUBBLE 24h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 17:00 $4.14 $4.40 +5.72% BUBBLE 16h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 23:00 $4.38 $4.59 +4.39% BUBBLE 19h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $4.00 $4.18 +4.03% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 26 Jul 2025 22:00 $4.01 $4.24 +5.41% BUBBLE 1.9d
29 Jul 2025 01:00 29 Jul 2025 07:00 $4.06 $4.19 +3.02% BUBBLE 7h
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $3.75 $4.04 +7.27% BUBBLE 20h
01 Aug 2025 23:00 02 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.50 $3.57 +1.63% BUBBLE 3h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 11:00 $3.47 $3.56 +2.02% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
04 Aug 2025 13:00 04 Aug 2025 16:00 $3.56 $3.69 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 Aug 2025 22:00 08 Aug 2025 14:00 $3.48 $3.87 +10.69% BULL 2.7d
10 Aug 2025 13:00 11 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.87 $3.99 +2.63% BULL 13h
12 Aug 2025 01:00 13 Aug 2025 13:00 $3.76 $4.21 +11.72% BULL 1.5d
14 Aug 2025 21:00 15 Aug 2025 08:00 $3.81 $3.94 +3.21% BULL 12h
17 Aug 2025 02:00 17 Aug 2025 14:00 $3.93 $4.04 +2.36% BULL 13h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 20 Aug 2025 19:00 $3.56 $3.73 +4.15% BULL 19h
22 Aug 2025 01:00 22 Aug 2025 21:00 $3.53 $3.91 +10.57% SIDEWAYS 21h
23 Aug 2025 03:00 23 Aug 2025 05:00 $3.78 $3.90 +2.80% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Aug 2025 08:00 24 Aug 2025 20:00 $3.73 $3.77 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 13h
26 Aug 2025 00:00 27 Aug 2025 14:00 $3.39 $3.63 +6.82% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
30 Aug 2025 02:00 30 Aug 2025 11:00 $3.42 $3.50 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 10h
01 Sep 2025 01:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $3.40 $3.48 +1.79% SIDEWAYS 8h
01 Sep 2025 16:00 03 Sep 2025 03:00 $3.34 $3.46 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
04 Sep 2025 16:00 06 Sep 2025 02:00 $3.34 $3.49 +4.05% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
06 Sep 2025 09:00 06 Sep 2025 14:00 $3.42 $3.43 +0.19% SIDEWAYS 6h
06 Sep 2025 16:00 07 Sep 2025 21:00 $3.41 $3.47 +1.48% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
08 Sep 2025 01:00 08 Sep 2025 16:00 $3.48 $3.70 +6.03% SIDEWAYS 16h
09 Sep 2025 18:00 12 Sep 2025 01:00 $3.77 $4.00 +5.73% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
12 Sep 2025 11:00 12 Sep 2025 18:00 $3.94 $4.04 +2.28% SIDEWAYS 8h
15 Sep 2025 13:00 17 Sep 2025 13:00 $3.78 $3.82 +0.68% SIDEWAYS 2d
17 Sep 2025 15:00 18 Sep 2025 15:00 $3.81 $4.08 +6.65% SIDEWAYS 1d
20 Sep 2025 02:00 20 Sep 2025 06:00 $3.88 $3.96 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 5h
20 Sep 2025 11:00 20 Sep 2025 16:00 $3.93 $4.00 +1.65% SIDEWAYS 6h
20 Sep 2025 20:00 20 Sep 2025 22:00 $3.96 $4.01 +1.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Sep 2025 05:00 23 Sep 2025 07:00 $3.58 $3.65 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Sep 2025 13:00 23 Sep 2025 17:00 $3.64 $3.61 -1.04% SIDEWAYS 5h
26 Sep 2025 00:00 27 Sep 2025 07:00 $3.37 $3.41 +0.98% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Sep 2025 02:00 29 Sep 2025 06:00 $3.33 $3.41 +1.80% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
29 Sep 2025 08:00 29 Sep 2025 14:00 $3.40 $3.47 +1.58% SIDEWAYS 7h
30 Sep 2025 15:00 01 Oct 2025 23:00 $3.28 $3.55 +7.96% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
02 Oct 2025 01:00 02 Oct 2025 13:00 $3.54 $3.62 +1.92% SIDEWAYS 13h
02 Oct 2025 15:00 02 Oct 2025 17:00 $3.57 $3.63 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Oct 2025 13:00 05 Oct 2025 07:00 $3.49 $3.64 +4.01% SIDEWAYS 19h
05 Oct 2025 10:00 05 Oct 2025 13:00 $3.56 $3.56 -0.25% BUBBLE 4h
05 Oct 2025 20:00 06 Oct 2025 22:00 $3.47 $3.62 +4.10% BUBBLE 1.1d
10 Oct 2025 21:00 10 Oct 2025 21:00 $2.46 $2.02 -18.11% BULL 1h
12 Oct 2025 02:00 13 Oct 2025 01:00 $2.32 $2.76 +18.46% BULL 24h
13 Oct 2025 03:00 13 Oct 2025 13:00 $2.77 $2.87 +3.15% SIDEWAYS 11h
14 Oct 2025 08:00 15 Oct 2025 01:00 $2.75 $2.84 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 18h
16 Oct 2025 21:00 17 Oct 2025 00:00 $2.53 $2.54 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Oct 2025 07:00 19 Oct 2025 15:00 $2.40 $2.57 +6.74% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
20 Oct 2025 01:00 20 Oct 2025 04:00 $2.50 $2.59 +3.29% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Oct 2025 00:00 21 Oct 2025 15:00 $2.55 $2.67 +4.48% SIDEWAYS 16h
22 Oct 2025 22:00 24 Oct 2025 03:00 $2.35 $2.45 +4.00% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Oct 2025 02:00 26 Oct 2025 19:00 $2.45 $2.53 +2.97% SIDEWAYS 18h
30 Oct 2025 00:00 30 Oct 2025 02:00 $2.39 $2.43 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Oct 2025 18:00 31 Oct 2025 14:00 $2.18 $2.30 +4.88% SIDEWAYS 21h
31 Oct 2025 16:00 01 Nov 2025 19:00 $2.27 $2.33 +2.73% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
04 Nov 2025 20:00 06 Nov 2025 01:00 $1.83 $1.99 +8.40% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
06 Nov 2025 13:00 07 Nov 2025 18:00 $1.93 $2.68 +38.43% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
08 Nov 2025 00:00 08 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.46 $2.37 -4.12% SIDEWAYS 10h
09 Nov 2025 04:00 10 Nov 2025 12:00 $2.22 $2.62 +17.73% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
11 Nov 2025 22:00 12 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.35 $2.55 +7.67% SIDEWAYS 12h
12 Nov 2025 12:00 12 Nov 2025 14:00 $2.48 $2.46 -1.33% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Nov 2025 18:00 13 Nov 2025 06:00 $2.33 $2.43 +4.28% SIDEWAYS 13h
13 Nov 2025 17:00 13 Nov 2025 23:00 $2.27 $2.33 +2.24% SIDEWAYS 7h
14 Nov 2025 12:00 14 Nov 2025 15:00 $2.11 $2.18 +3.09% SIDEWAYS 4h
14 Nov 2025 23:00 15 Nov 2025 00:00 $2.08 $2.10 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Nov 2025 02:00 15 Nov 2025 08:00 $2.12 $2.15 +0.88% BEAR 7h
15 Nov 2025 12:00 15 Nov 2025 16:00 $2.16 $2.17 +0.54% BEAR 5h
16 Nov 2025 17:00 17 Nov 2025 13:00 $1.98 $1.98 -0.05% BEAR 21h
18 Nov 2025 01:00 18 Nov 2025 19:00 $1.94 $2.12 +9.39% BEAR 19h
18 Nov 2025 21:00 19 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.09 $2.07 -0.97% BEAR 5h
19 Nov 2025 18:00 20 Nov 2025 11:00 $1.94 $2.07 +6.37% BEAR 18h
21 Nov 2025 13:00 21 Nov 2025 15:00 $1.72 $1.71 -1.12% BEAR 3h
23 Nov 2025 02:00 23 Nov 2025 14:00 $1.75 $1.72 -2.25% BEAR 13h
24 Nov 2025 01:00 24 Nov 2025 18:00 $1.70 $1.83 +6.66% BEAR 18h
25 Nov 2025 09:00 26 Nov 2025 20:00 $1.77 $1.82 +2.52% BEAR 1.5d
28 Nov 2025 00:00 28 Nov 2025 15:00 $1.80 $1.86 +3.35% BEAR 16h
01 Dec 2025 17:00 02 Dec 2025 22:00 $1.53 $1.72 +12.13% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
03 Dec 2025 00:00 03 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.70 $1.74 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 14h
07 Dec 2025 10:00 07 Dec 2025 18:00 $1.58 $1.64 +3.50% SIDEWAYS 9h
07 Dec 2025 23:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $1.57 $1.76 +11.79% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
11 Dec 2025 17:00 12 Dec 2025 01:00 $1.56 $1.60 +2.01% SIDEWAYS 9h
14 Dec 2025 22:00 15 Dec 2025 03:00 $1.48 $1.50 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 6h
15 Dec 2025 17:00 16 Dec 2025 15:00 $1.40 $1.44 +2.25% SIDEWAYS 23h
17 Dec 2025 09:00 17 Dec 2025 11:00 $1.35 $1.37 +0.65% BEAR 3h
18 Dec 2025 06:00 18 Dec 2025 10:00 $1.27 $1.28 +0.47% BEAR 5h
19 Dec 2025 01:00 19 Dec 2025 19:00 $1.19 $1.34 +12.62% BEAR 19h
19 Dec 2025 22:00 20 Dec 2025 01:00 $1.32 $1.30 -1.74% BEAR 4h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 22 Dec 2025 11:00 $1.25 $1.32 +5.75% BEAR 22h
23 Dec 2025 15:00 23 Dec 2025 22:00 $1.25 $1.27 +1.26% BEAR 8h
24 Dec 2025 09:00 25 Dec 2025 17:00 $1.23 $1.29 +3.79% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
26 Dec 2025 00:00 28 Dec 2025 01:00 $1.23 $1.32 +7.03% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
31 Dec 2025 11:00 31 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.30 $1.30 -0.26% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live RNDR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Render Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RNDR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

89.0% Win Rate +2,860.5% Return -9.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees