RNDRRNDRRender$1.7130+0.12%
24h High$1.78
24h Low$1.71
Volume$3.3M
Updated14:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / RNDR / RNDR — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

RNDR Render Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for RNDR - Render. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 44 trades would have compounded to a final value of $52,735 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 44 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.

RNDR — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Render (RNDR) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.04
Alpha vs B&H
+422.75pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+4.60%
Max Drawdown
-1.04%
Avg Drawdown
-3.37%
Sharpe Trend
-3.39
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — RNDR — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for RNDR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 44-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.93%
Avg Loss
-1.04%
Best Trade
+11.72%
Worst Trade
-1.04%
Avg Bars Held
21.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 26 (59%) Forward-pred: 10 (23%) Short signal: 4 (9%) Trailing stop: 4 (9%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +427.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 97.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.0%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.09% on 7 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 25 96.0% +2.80% +98.23% 19h
BUBBLE 12 100.0% +4.61% +71.20% 20h
BULL 7 100.0% +6.09% +50.66% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 44 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 04:00 07 Jul 2025 01:00 $3.16 $3.23 +1.92% BULL 22h
08 Jul 2025 02:00 09 Jul 2025 22:00 $3.12 $3.38 +7.89% BULL 1.9d
12 Jul 2025 15:00 14 Jul 2025 01:00 $3.54 $3.81 +7.36% BUBBLE 1.5d
15 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $3.73 $4.08 +8.93% BUBBLE 1.7d
17 Jul 2025 04:00 17 Jul 2025 06:00 $3.95 $4.06 +2.43% BUBBLE 3h
18 Jul 2025 21:00 19 Jul 2025 20:00 $4.05 $4.19 +3.17% BUBBLE 24h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 17:00 $4.14 $4.40 +5.72% BUBBLE 16h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 23:00 $4.38 $4.59 +4.39% BUBBLE 19h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $4.00 $4.18 +4.03% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 26 Jul 2025 22:00 $4.01 $4.24 +5.41% BUBBLE 1.9d
29 Jul 2025 01:00 29 Jul 2025 07:00 $4.06 $4.19 +3.02% BUBBLE 7h
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $3.75 $4.04 +7.27% BUBBLE 20h
01 Aug 2025 23:00 02 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.50 $3.57 +1.63% BUBBLE 3h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 11:00 $3.47 $3.56 +2.02% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
04 Aug 2025 13:00 04 Aug 2025 16:00 $3.56 $3.69 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 Aug 2025 22:00 08 Aug 2025 14:00 $3.48 $3.87 +10.69% BULL 2.7d
10 Aug 2025 13:00 11 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.87 $3.99 +2.63% BULL 13h
12 Aug 2025 01:00 13 Aug 2025 13:00 $3.76 $4.21 +11.72% BULL 1.5d
14 Aug 2025 21:00 15 Aug 2025 08:00 $3.81 $3.94 +3.21% BULL 12h
17 Aug 2025 02:00 17 Aug 2025 14:00 $3.93 $4.04 +2.36% BULL 13h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 20 Aug 2025 19:00 $3.56 $3.73 +4.15% BULL 19h
22 Aug 2025 01:00 22 Aug 2025 21:00 $3.53 $3.91 +10.57% SIDEWAYS 21h
23 Aug 2025 03:00 23 Aug 2025 05:00 $3.78 $3.90 +2.80% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Aug 2025 08:00 24 Aug 2025 20:00 $3.73 $3.77 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 13h
26 Aug 2025 00:00 27 Aug 2025 14:00 $3.39 $3.63 +6.82% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
30 Aug 2025 02:00 30 Aug 2025 11:00 $3.42 $3.50 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 10h
01 Sep 2025 01:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $3.40 $3.48 +1.79% SIDEWAYS 8h
01 Sep 2025 16:00 03 Sep 2025 03:00 $3.34 $3.46 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
04 Sep 2025 16:00 06 Sep 2025 02:00 $3.34 $3.49 +4.05% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
06 Sep 2025 09:00 06 Sep 2025 14:00 $3.42 $3.43 +0.19% SIDEWAYS 6h
06 Sep 2025 16:00 07 Sep 2025 21:00 $3.41 $3.47 +1.48% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
08 Sep 2025 01:00 08 Sep 2025 16:00 $3.48 $3.70 +6.03% SIDEWAYS 16h
09 Sep 2025 18:00 12 Sep 2025 01:00 $3.77 $4.00 +5.73% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
12 Sep 2025 11:00 12 Sep 2025 18:00 $3.94 $4.04 +2.28% SIDEWAYS 8h
15 Sep 2025 13:00 17 Sep 2025 13:00 $3.78 $3.82 +0.68% SIDEWAYS 2d
17 Sep 2025 15:00 18 Sep 2025 15:00 $3.81 $4.08 +6.65% SIDEWAYS 1d
20 Sep 2025 02:00 20 Sep 2025 06:00 $3.88 $3.96 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 5h
20 Sep 2025 11:00 20 Sep 2025 16:00 $3.93 $4.00 +1.65% SIDEWAYS 6h
20 Sep 2025 20:00 20 Sep 2025 22:00 $3.96 $4.01 +1.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Sep 2025 05:00 23 Sep 2025 07:00 $3.58 $3.65 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Sep 2025 13:00 23 Sep 2025 17:00 $3.64 $3.61 -1.04% SIDEWAYS 5h
26 Sep 2025 00:00 27 Sep 2025 07:00 $3.37 $3.41 +0.98% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Sep 2025 02:00 29 Sep 2025 06:00 $3.33 $3.41 +1.80% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
29 Sep 2025 08:00 29 Sep 2025 14:00 $3.40 $3.47 +1.58% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live RNDR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Render Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RNDR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

97.7% Win Rate +427.4% Return -1.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees