XLMXLMStellar$0.212600-3.93%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.8M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 90 trades would have compounded to a final value of $87,277 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 90 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+772.8%
$10,000 →
$87,277
Win Rate
87.8%
79W / 11L
Trades
90
Sharpe
11.24
Alpha vs B&H
+794.10pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-21.32%
Max Drawdown
-2.12%
Avg Drawdown
-3.11%
Sharpe Trend
-0.88
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 90-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.05%
Avg Loss
-0.88%
Best Trade
+14.91%
Worst Trade
-2.12%
Avg Bars Held
22.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 52 (58%) Forward-pred: 24 (27%) Trailing stop: 8 (9%) Short signal: 5 (6%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +772.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.1%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 90 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.79% on 68 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 68 88.2% +2.79% +530.40% 20h
BULL 12 83.3% +1.94% +25.68% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 10 90.0% +1.81% +19.49% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 90 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jan 2024 03:00 09 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.12 +3.70% BUBBLE 23h
10 Jan 2024 07:00 11 Jan 2024 12:00 $0.12 $0.13 +8.18% BUBBLE 1.3d
13 Jan 2024 01:00 13 Jan 2024 19:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.45% BUBBLE 19h
16 Jan 2024 03:00 16 Jan 2024 10:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.16% BULL 8h
17 Jan 2024 08:00 18 Jan 2024 02:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.41% BULL 19h
23 Jan 2024 12:00 25 Jan 2024 18:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
25 Jan 2024 20:00 26 Jan 2024 21:00 $0.11 $0.12 +3.34% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
29 Jan 2024 01:00 30 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.12 +1.69% SIDEWAYS 1d
31 Jan 2024 15:00 31 Jan 2024 17:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.13% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Feb 2024 12:00 02 Feb 2024 06:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.51% BULL 19h
05 Feb 2024 03:00 05 Feb 2024 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.14% BULL 7h
07 Feb 2024 07:00 10 Feb 2024 03:00 $0.11 $0.11 +4.41% BULL 2.9d
10 Feb 2024 16:00 11 Feb 2024 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.20% BULL 18h
11 Feb 2024 21:00 13 Feb 2024 08:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.65% BUBBLE 1.5d
13 Feb 2024 17:00 15 Feb 2024 09:00 $0.11 $0.12 +4.83% BUBBLE 1.7d
15 Feb 2024 11:00 15 Feb 2024 14:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.97% BUBBLE 4h
15 Feb 2024 17:00 15 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.46% BUBBLE 5h
16 Feb 2024 18:00 16 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.11 $0.12 +0.46% BUBBLE 4h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 20 Feb 2024 11:00 $0.11 $0.12 +5.20% BUBBLE 2.4d
21 Feb 2024 18:00 23 Feb 2024 02:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.15% BUBBLE 1.4d
23 Feb 2024 10:00 25 Feb 2024 08:00 $0.11 $0.12 +0.72% BUBBLE 2d
26 Feb 2024 03:00 28 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.12 $0.12 +5.02% BUBBLE 2d
28 Feb 2024 22:00 29 Feb 2024 16:00 $0.12 $0.13 +4.54% BUBBLE 19h
29 Feb 2024 23:00 02 Mar 2024 12:00 $0.12 $0.14 +11.87% BUBBLE 1.6d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 03 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.13 $0.14 +3.01% BUBBLE 6h
03 Mar 2024 15:00 04 Mar 2024 09:00 $0.13 $0.15 +8.38% BUBBLE 19h
04 Mar 2024 11:00 04 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.15 $0.15 -1.35% BUBBLE 3h
05 Mar 2024 05:00 05 Mar 2024 10:00 $0.14 $0.15 +3.25% BULL 6h
05 Mar 2024 19:00 07 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.14 $0.14 +2.33% BULL 2.2d
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.14 $0.16 +14.91% BUBBLE 19h
12 Mar 2024 15:00 13 Mar 2024 06:00 $0.15 $0.15 +1.32% BUBBLE 16h
13 Mar 2024 14:00 13 Mar 2024 16:00 $0.15 $0.15 -0.21% BUBBLE 3h
14 Mar 2024 16:00 14 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.14 $0.14 +1.27% BUBBLE 8h
15 Mar 2024 05:00 15 Mar 2024 07:00 $0.14 $0.14 +0.25% BUBBLE 3h
15 Mar 2024 09:00 15 Mar 2024 18:00 $0.13 $0.14 +5.85% BUBBLE 10h
15 Mar 2024 20:00 16 Mar 2024 03:00 $0.13 $0.14 +5.70% BUBBLE 8h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $0.13 $0.13 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 08:00 17 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.13 +5.04% BUBBLE 10h
17 Mar 2024 20:00 18 Mar 2024 11:00 $0.13 $0.13 -1.91% BUBBLE 16h
18 Mar 2024 14:00 18 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.13 $0.13 +4.15% BUBBLE 10h
19 Mar 2024 09:00 19 Mar 2024 12:00 $0.12 $0.13 +2.71% BUBBLE 4h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 21 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.12 $0.13 +7.68% BUBBLE 1.5d
22 Mar 2024 14:00 23 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.14 +7.41% BUBBLE 1.2d
24 Mar 2024 00:00 25 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.14 +3.33% BUBBLE 1.8d
26 Mar 2024 17:00 26 Mar 2024 21:00 $0.14 $0.14 +1.20% BUBBLE 5h
27 Mar 2024 18:00 29 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.13 $0.14 +6.98% BUBBLE 1.8d
29 Mar 2024 22:00 30 Mar 2024 00:00 $0.14 $0.14 -0.06% BUBBLE 3h
31 Mar 2024 02:00 31 Mar 2024 08:00 $0.14 $0.14 +0.73% BUBBLE 7h
01 Apr 2024 17:00 01 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.13 $0.14 +1.46% BUBBLE 7h
03 Apr 2024 19:00 05 Apr 2024 02:00 $0.13 $0.13 +1.09% BUBBLE 1.3d
05 Apr 2024 10:00 07 Apr 2024 12:00 $0.13 $0.13 +2.35% BUBBLE 2.1d
07 Apr 2024 20:00 08 Apr 2024 20:00 $0.13 $0.13 +4.09% BUBBLE 1d
10 Apr 2024 13:00 11 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.13 $0.13 +2.42% BUBBLE 12h
12 Apr 2024 19:00 12 Apr 2024 22:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.55% BUBBLE 4h
14 Apr 2024 02:00 14 Apr 2024 08:00 $0.10 $0.11 +5.41% BUBBLE 7h
14 Apr 2024 10:00 15 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.11 -2.12% BUBBLE 15h
15 Apr 2024 19:00 17 Apr 2024 05:00 $0.11 $0.11 +3.18% BUBBLE 1.5d
17 Apr 2024 13:00 21 Apr 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.12 +6.82% BUBBLE 3.5d
21 Apr 2024 17:00 23 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.12 +4.43% BULL 1.3d
25 Apr 2024 13:00 25 Apr 2024 16:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.55% BUBBLE 4h
29 Apr 2024 09:00 30 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.30% BULL 16h
30 Apr 2024 13:00 02 May 2024 06:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.33% BULL 1.8d
02 May 2024 19:00 04 May 2024 10:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.12% BULL 1.7d
05 May 2024 03:00 06 May 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.95% SIDEWAYS 23h
06 May 2024 13:00 06 May 2024 15:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.67% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 May 2024 11:00 10 May 2024 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.02% BULL 23h
13 May 2024 03:00 13 May 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.11 +3.82% BULL 14h
14 May 2024 14:00 16 May 2024 14:00 $0.10 $0.11 +2.85% BULL 2d
17 May 2024 08:00 18 May 2024 10:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.70% BULL 1.1d
18 May 2024 23:00 19 May 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.11 -0.41% BULL 3h
20 May 2024 01:00 21 May 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.11 +6.87% BUBBLE 24h
22 May 2024 13:00 22 May 2024 15:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.50% BUBBLE 3h
23 May 2024 15:00 25 May 2024 12:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.51% BUBBLE 1.9d
27 May 2024 01:00 28 May 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.78% BUBBLE 24h
30 May 2024 08:00 30 May 2024 10:00 $0.10 $0.11 +1.30% BUBBLE 3h
30 May 2024 15:00 30 May 2024 21:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.53% BUBBLE 7h
31 May 2024 16:00 01 Jun 2024 09:00 $0.10 $0.11 +1.40% BUBBLE 18h
03 Jun 2024 01:00 03 Jun 2024 12:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.10% BUBBLE 12h
04 Jun 2024 06:00 05 Jun 2024 15:00 $0.10 $0.11 +1.78% BUBBLE 1.4d
06 Jun 2024 22:00 07 Jun 2024 10:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.06% BUBBLE 13h
07 Jun 2024 18:00 08 Jun 2024 11:00 $0.09 $0.10 +5.10% BUBBLE 18h
09 Jun 2024 02:00 10 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.41% BUBBLE 24h
12 Jun 2024 01:00 12 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.10 $0.10 +4.24% BUBBLE 17h
12 Jun 2024 20:00 13 Jun 2024 00:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.09% BUBBLE 5h
14 Jun 2024 17:00 17 Jun 2024 00:00 $0.10 $0.10 +3.03% BUBBLE 2.3d
17 Jun 2024 14:00 17 Jun 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.41% BUBBLE 3h
18 Jun 2024 13:00 19 Jun 2024 14:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.78% BUBBLE 1.1d
24 Jun 2024 10:00 26 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 +4.82% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
27 Jun 2024 00:00 28 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.09 $0.09 +2.58% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
29 Jun 2024 00:00 29 Jun 2024 16:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.85% SIDEWAYS 17h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
87.8% Win Rate +772.8% Return -2.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees