XLMXLMStellar$0.212600-3.93%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.8M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 120 trades would have compounded to a final value of $355,447 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 120 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+3,454.5%
$10,000 →
$355,447
Win Rate
88.3%
106W / 14L
Trades
120
Sharpe
14.33
Alpha vs B&H
+3,468.82pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-14.35%
Max Drawdown
-8.71%
Avg Drawdown
-3.74%
Sharpe Trend
-4.47
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 120-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.00%
Avg Loss
-2.09%
Best Trade
+17.28%
Worst Trade
-16.77%
Avg Bars Held
15.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 63 (53%) Signal flip: 43 (36%) Trailing stop: 6 (5%) Take-profit: 3 (3%) Short signal: 3 (3%) Stop-loss: 2 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +3,454.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 120 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.41% on 29 trades, WR 97%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 63 87.3% +2.88% +481.86% 17h
BUBBLE 29 96.6% +4.41% +242.16% 10h
BEAR 16 87.5% +2.68% +51.67% 15h
BULL 12 75.0% +3.58% +46.17% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 120 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.25 +6.25% BULL 23h
07 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.25 $0.26 +1.33% BUBBLE 12h
07 Jul 2025 19:00 10 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.25 $0.29 +17.28% BUBBLE 2.3d
10 Jul 2025 14:00 10 Jul 2025 22:00 $0.29 $0.30 +4.57% BULL 9h
11 Jul 2025 01:00 11 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.30 $0.34 +14.05% BUBBLE 13h
11 Jul 2025 15:00 11 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.41% BUBBLE 2h
11 Jul 2025 18:00 11 Jul 2025 19:00 $0.38 $0.38 +1.33% BUBBLE 2h
11 Jul 2025 23:00 12 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.36 $0.39 +8.68% BUBBLE 5h
12 Jul 2025 06:00 12 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.38 $0.40 +6.39% BUBBLE 4h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 13 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.39 $0.44 +12.63% BUBBLE 17h
13 Jul 2025 10:00 13 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.44 $0.46 +5.95% BUBBLE 6h
13 Jul 2025 17:00 14 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.46 $0.50 +8.85% BUBBLE 8h
14 Jul 2025 12:00 14 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.46 $0.48 +2.17% BUBBLE 2h
14 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.44 $0.46 +4.86% BUBBLE 4h
15 Jul 2025 04:00 15 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.44 $0.45 +0.29% BUBBLE 3h
17 Jul 2025 01:00 18 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.45 $0.52 +13.60% BUBBLE 24h
20 Jul 2025 10:00 20 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.47 $0.47 +0.61% BUBBLE 6h
20 Jul 2025 22:00 21 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.46 $0.48 +3.39% BUBBLE 12h
22 Jul 2025 04:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.46 $0.47 +1.81% BUBBLE 22h
23 Jul 2025 21:00 23 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.42 $0.43 +1.22% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 05:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.42 $0.45 +6.35% BUBBLE 10h
25 Jul 2025 06:00 25 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.41 $0.42 +2.07% BUBBLE 4h
25 Jul 2025 15:00 26 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.41 $0.44 +7.85% BUBBLE 14h
26 Jul 2025 06:00 26 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.44 $0.44 -0.95% BUBBLE 11h
29 Jul 2025 02:00 29 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.42 $0.43 +3.06% BUBBLE 6h
29 Jul 2025 21:00 29 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.42 $0.42 +0.76% BUBBLE 3h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 30 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.41 $0.41 +1.53% BUBBLE 4h
30 Jul 2025 19:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.40 $0.43 +6.10% BUBBLE 14h
02 Aug 2025 19:00 02 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.37 $0.37 +0.71% BUBBLE 3h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 00:00 $0.37 $0.42 +10.85% SIDEWAYS 23h
04 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 09:00 $0.41 $0.41 +0.66% SIDEWAYS 8h
06 Aug 2025 01:00 08 Aug 2025 03:00 $0.39 $0.46 +17.18% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
10 Aug 2025 08:00 11 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.44 $0.45 +2.35% BULL 18h
11 Aug 2025 21:00 13 Aug 2025 10:00 $0.44 $0.46 +3.88% BULL 1.6d
14 Aug 2025 13:00 16 Aug 2025 02:00 $0.43 $0.43 -0.50% BULL 1.6d
18 Aug 2025 12:00 18 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.41 $0.42 +2.41% BULL 10h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 20 Aug 2025 19:00 $0.39 $0.41 +3.29% BULL 19h
22 Aug 2025 01:00 22 Aug 2025 17:00 $0.39 $0.43 +8.55% SIDEWAYS 17h
22 Aug 2025 19:00 22 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.43 $0.43 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Aug 2025 23:00 23 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.43 $0.42 -1.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 26 Aug 2025 19:00 $0.38 $0.40 +4.61% SIDEWAYS 23h
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.24% SIDEWAYS 11h
28 Aug 2025 17:00 28 Aug 2025 23:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 7h
29 Aug 2025 19:00 29 Aug 2025 22:00 $0.36 $0.36 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 4h
30 Aug 2025 02:00 30 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.36 $0.36 -0.30% SIDEWAYS 10h
01 Sep 2025 01:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $0.35 $0.36 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 8h
01 Sep 2025 10:00 02 Sep 2025 23:00 $0.36 $0.37 +1.61% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
04 Sep 2025 20:00 05 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.35 $0.37 +3.80% SIDEWAYS 17h
05 Sep 2025 14:00 06 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.36 $0.36 -1.80% SIDEWAYS 12h
06 Sep 2025 09:00 06 Sep 2025 14:00 $0.36 $0.36 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 6h
06 Sep 2025 18:00 09 Sep 2025 02:00 $0.36 $0.37 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
09 Sep 2025 04:00 09 Sep 2025 08:00 $0.37 $0.39 +2.81% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Sep 2025 16:00 11 Sep 2025 10:00 $0.37 $0.39 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
11 Sep 2025 13:00 12 Sep 2025 00:00 $0.39 $0.40 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 12h
12 Sep 2025 04:00 12 Sep 2025 06:00 $0.39 $0.40 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Sep 2025 09:00 13 Sep 2025 09:00 $0.39 $0.41 +4.52% SIDEWAYS 1d
15 Sep 2025 13:00 18 Sep 2025 15:00 $0.38 $0.40 +5.60% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
22 Sep 2025 07:00 23 Sep 2025 13:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Sep 2025 04:00 24 Sep 2025 17:00 $0.36 $0.38 +4.92% SIDEWAYS 14h
28 Sep 2025 02:00 30 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.36 $0.37 +3.52% SIDEWAYS 2d
30 Sep 2025 13:00 01 Oct 2025 19:00 $0.36 $0.40 +8.35% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
01 Oct 2025 21:00 02 Oct 2025 02:00 $0.39 $0.41 +3.49% SIDEWAYS 6h
02 Oct 2025 08:00 02 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.40 $0.40 +0.59% SIDEWAYS 6h
02 Oct 2025 15:00 02 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Oct 2025 13:00 04 Oct 2025 15:00 $0.40 $0.39 -2.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Oct 2025 17:00 05 Oct 2025 12:00 $0.39 $0.40 +2.30% SIDEWAYS 20h
05 Oct 2025 14:00 06 Oct 2025 22:00 $0.40 $0.41 +2.25% BUBBLE 1.4d
08 Oct 2025 04:00 09 Oct 2025 02:00 $0.38 $0.38 -1.24% BUBBLE 23h
09 Oct 2025 17:00 10 Oct 2025 00:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.89% BULL 8h
10 Oct 2025 20:00 10 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.36 $0.30 -16.77% BULL 2h
12 Oct 2025 02:00 12 Oct 2025 19:00 $0.32 $0.35 +9.60% BULL 18h
13 Oct 2025 01:00 13 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.34 $0.35 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 8h
13 Oct 2025 10:00 13 Oct 2025 18:00 $0.35 $0.35 -0.01% SIDEWAYS 9h
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 07:00 $0.33 $0.34 +2.84% SIDEWAYS 1d
15 Oct 2025 23:00 16 Oct 2025 01:00 $0.32 $0.33 +0.54% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Oct 2025 07:00 19 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.30 $0.31 +3.68% SIDEWAYS 2d
19 Oct 2025 08:00 20 Oct 2025 09:00 $0.31 $0.33 +4.88% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
21 Oct 2025 09:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.31 $0.33 +3.64% SIDEWAYS 6h
22 Oct 2025 21:00 23 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.30 $0.32 +3.45% SIDEWAYS 21h
24 Oct 2025 05:00 24 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.32 $0.32 +1.64% SIDEWAYS 9h
24 Oct 2025 15:00 25 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.32 $0.33 +3.49% SIDEWAYS 24h
26 Oct 2025 02:00 27 Oct 2025 00:00 $0.33 $0.33 +1.58% SIDEWAYS 23h
28 Oct 2025 01:00 28 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.32 $0.34 +3.31% SIDEWAYS 6h
30 Oct 2025 20:00 31 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.29 $0.31 +4.90% SIDEWAYS 18h
31 Oct 2025 17:00 31 Oct 2025 22:00 $0.30 $0.30 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 6h
04 Nov 2025 20:00 05 Nov 2025 22:00 $0.26 $0.28 +7.98% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
06 Nov 2025 16:00 08 Nov 2025 01:00 $0.27 $0.29 +9.48% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
09 Nov 2025 04:00 09 Nov 2025 06:00 $0.28 $0.28 +0.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Nov 2025 09:00 10 Nov 2025 09:00 $0.28 $0.31 +11.43% SIDEWAYS 1d
11 Nov 2025 21:00 12 Nov 2025 10:00 $0.28 $0.29 +2.62% SIDEWAYS 14h
12 Nov 2025 19:00 12 Nov 2025 23:00 $0.28 $0.28 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 5h
13 Nov 2025 02:00 13 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.28 $0.29 +3.98% SIDEWAYS 7h
18 Nov 2025 01:00 18 Nov 2025 18:00 $0.25 $0.26 +3.61% BEAR 18h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 20 Nov 2025 04:00 $0.24 $0.25 +4.17% BEAR 13h
20 Nov 2025 06:00 20 Nov 2025 11:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.03% BEAR 6h
21 Nov 2025 10:00 22 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.73% BEAR 1.1d
23 Nov 2025 02:00 23 Nov 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.25 +7.56% BEAR 20h
24 Nov 2025 02:00 24 Nov 2025 06:00 $0.25 $0.25 -1.20% BEAR 5h
24 Nov 2025 10:00 24 Nov 2025 19:00 $0.24 $0.26 +5.14% BEAR 10h
25 Nov 2025 14:00 26 Nov 2025 15:00 $0.25 $0.25 +1.10% BEAR 1.1d
26 Nov 2025 19:00 27 Nov 2025 04:00 $0.26 $0.26 -1.48% BEAR 10h
27 Nov 2025 13:00 28 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.25 $0.26 +3.71% BEAR 20h
29 Nov 2025 04:00 29 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.94% SIDEWAYS 9h
01 Dec 2025 13:00 02 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.23 $0.25 +9.52% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
02 Dec 2025 21:00 03 Dec 2025 07:00 $0.26 $0.26 -0.29% SIDEWAYS 11h
07 Dec 2025 15:00 07 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.24 $0.24 +2.85% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Dec 2025 19:00 10 Dec 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
10 Dec 2025 04:00 10 Dec 2025 06:00 $0.25 $0.25 -0.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 04:00 11 Dec 2025 10:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.83% SIDEWAYS 7h
11 Dec 2025 13:00 11 Dec 2025 21:00 $0.24 $0.25 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 9h
16 Dec 2025 05:00 16 Dec 2025 11:00 $0.22 $0.22 +2.16% SIDEWAYS 7h
18 Dec 2025 06:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.74% BEAR 8h
18 Dec 2025 20:00 20 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.21 $0.22 +8.38% BEAR 1.6d
21 Dec 2025 07:00 21 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.22 $0.22 +0.84% BEAR 3h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 22 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.21 $0.22 +4.21% BEAR 23h
23 Dec 2025 09:00 23 Dec 2025 11:00 $0.22 $0.22 +0.79% BEAR 3h
23 Dec 2025 15:00 23 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.22 $0.22 +0.47% BEAR 5h
25 Dec 2025 23:00 26 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.21 $0.22 +2.48% SIDEWAYS 15h
26 Dec 2025 15:00 28 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.21 $0.22 +5.45% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
28 Dec 2025 19:00 29 Dec 2025 01:00 $0.22 $0.22 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
88.3% Win Rate +3,454.5% Return -8.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees