XLMXLMStellar$0.212600-3.93%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.8M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 48 trades would have compounded to a final value of $40,218 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 48 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+302.2%
$10,000 →
$40,218
Win Rate
85.4%
41W / 7L
Trades
48
Sharpe
15.14
Alpha vs B&H
+281.13pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+21.06%
Max Drawdown
-1.91%
Avg Drawdown
-2.92%
Sharpe Trend
+2.59
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 48-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.68%
Avg Loss
-0.84%
Best Trade
+14.91%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Bars Held
21.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 27 (56%) Forward-pred: 14 (29%) Short signal: 3 (6%) Trailing stop: 3 (6%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +302.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.9%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.40% on 39 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 39 87.2% +3.40% +260.07% 20h
SIDEWAYS 4 100.0% +1.95% +8.00% 1.1d
BULL 5 60.0% +0.90% +4.49% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 48 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jan 2024 03:00 09 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.12 +3.70% BUBBLE 23h
10 Jan 2024 07:00 11 Jan 2024 12:00 $0.12 $0.13 +8.18% BUBBLE 1.3d
13 Jan 2024 01:00 13 Jan 2024 19:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.45% BUBBLE 19h
16 Jan 2024 03:00 16 Jan 2024 10:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.16% BULL 8h
17 Jan 2024 08:00 18 Jan 2024 02:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.41% BULL 19h
23 Jan 2024 12:00 25 Jan 2024 18:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
25 Jan 2024 20:00 26 Jan 2024 21:00 $0.11 $0.12 +3.34% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
29 Jan 2024 01:00 30 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.12 +1.69% SIDEWAYS 1d
31 Jan 2024 15:00 31 Jan 2024 17:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.13% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Feb 2024 12:00 02 Feb 2024 06:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.51% BULL 19h
05 Feb 2024 03:00 05 Feb 2024 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.14% BULL 7h
07 Feb 2024 07:00 10 Feb 2024 03:00 $0.11 $0.11 +4.41% BULL 2.9d
10 Feb 2024 16:00 11 Feb 2024 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.20% BULL 18h
11 Feb 2024 21:00 13 Feb 2024 08:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.65% BUBBLE 1.5d
13 Feb 2024 17:00 15 Feb 2024 09:00 $0.11 $0.12 +4.83% BUBBLE 1.7d
15 Feb 2024 11:00 15 Feb 2024 14:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.97% BUBBLE 4h
15 Feb 2024 17:00 15 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.46% BUBBLE 5h
16 Feb 2024 18:00 16 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.11 $0.12 +0.46% BUBBLE 4h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 20 Feb 2024 11:00 $0.11 $0.12 +5.20% BUBBLE 2.4d
21 Feb 2024 18:00 23 Feb 2024 02:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.15% BUBBLE 1.4d
23 Feb 2024 10:00 25 Feb 2024 08:00 $0.11 $0.12 +0.72% BUBBLE 2d
26 Feb 2024 03:00 28 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.12 $0.12 +5.02% BUBBLE 2d
28 Feb 2024 22:00 29 Feb 2024 16:00 $0.12 $0.13 +4.54% BUBBLE 19h
29 Feb 2024 23:00 02 Mar 2024 12:00 $0.12 $0.14 +11.87% BUBBLE 1.6d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 03 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.13 $0.14 +3.01% BUBBLE 6h
03 Mar 2024 15:00 04 Mar 2024 09:00 $0.13 $0.15 +8.38% BUBBLE 19h
04 Mar 2024 11:00 04 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.15 $0.15 -1.35% BUBBLE 3h
05 Mar 2024 05:00 05 Mar 2024 10:00 $0.14 $0.15 +3.25% BULL 6h
05 Mar 2024 19:00 07 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.14 $0.14 +2.33% BULL 2.2d
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.14 $0.16 +14.91% BUBBLE 19h
12 Mar 2024 15:00 13 Mar 2024 06:00 $0.15 $0.15 +1.32% BUBBLE 16h
13 Mar 2024 14:00 13 Mar 2024 16:00 $0.15 $0.15 -0.21% BUBBLE 3h
14 Mar 2024 16:00 14 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.14 $0.14 +1.27% BUBBLE 8h
15 Mar 2024 05:00 15 Mar 2024 07:00 $0.14 $0.14 +0.25% BUBBLE 3h
15 Mar 2024 09:00 15 Mar 2024 18:00 $0.13 $0.14 +5.85% BUBBLE 10h
15 Mar 2024 20:00 16 Mar 2024 03:00 $0.13 $0.14 +5.70% BUBBLE 8h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $0.13 $0.13 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 08:00 17 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.13 +5.04% BUBBLE 10h
17 Mar 2024 20:00 18 Mar 2024 11:00 $0.13 $0.13 -1.91% BUBBLE 16h
18 Mar 2024 14:00 18 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.13 $0.13 +4.15% BUBBLE 10h
19 Mar 2024 09:00 19 Mar 2024 12:00 $0.12 $0.13 +2.71% BUBBLE 4h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 21 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.12 $0.13 +7.68% BUBBLE 1.5d
22 Mar 2024 14:00 23 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.14 +7.41% BUBBLE 1.2d
24 Mar 2024 00:00 25 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.14 +3.33% BUBBLE 1.8d
26 Mar 2024 17:00 26 Mar 2024 21:00 $0.14 $0.14 +1.20% BUBBLE 5h
27 Mar 2024 18:00 29 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.13 $0.14 +6.98% BUBBLE 1.8d
29 Mar 2024 22:00 30 Mar 2024 00:00 $0.14 $0.14 -0.06% BUBBLE 3h
31 Mar 2024 02:00 31 Mar 2024 08:00 $0.14 $0.14 +0.73% BUBBLE 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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85.4% Win Rate +302.2% Return -1.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees