XLMXLMStellar$0.212600-3.93%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.8M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 56 trades would have compounded to a final value of $41,170 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 56 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+311.7%
$10,000 →
$41,170
Win Rate
83.9%
47W / 9L
Trades
56
Sharpe
15.73
Alpha vs B&H
+337.21pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-25.51%
Max Drawdown
-2.37%
Avg Drawdown
-2.79%
Sharpe Trend
+2.24
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 56-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.44%
Avg Loss
-0.56%
Best Trade
+14.13%
Worst Trade
-2.38%
Avg Bars Held
15.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 27 (48%) Signal flip: 18 (32%) Short signal: 6 (11%) Trailing stop: 4 (7%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +311.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.4%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 56 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +3.62% on 32 trades, WR 91%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 32 90.6% +3.62% +205.69% 17h
SIDEWAYS 24 75.0% +1.69% +48.39% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 56 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 06 Jan 2026 00:00 $0.23 $0.25 +12.14% SIDEWAYS 2d
06 Jan 2026 18:00 07 Jan 2026 00:00 $0.24 $0.24 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 7h
08 Jan 2026 09:00 08 Jan 2026 11:00 $0.23 $0.23 -0.63% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Jan 2026 13:00 08 Jan 2026 17:00 $0.23 $0.23 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Jan 2026 15:00 09 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.52% SIDEWAYS 2h
10 Jan 2026 06:00 10 Jan 2026 08:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Jan 2026 23:00 12 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.22 $0.23 +0.66% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Jan 2026 10:00 12 Jan 2026 15:00 $0.22 $0.22 +1.17% SIDEWAYS 6h
12 Jan 2026 17:00 13 Jan 2026 22:00 $0.22 $0.24 +7.38% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
14 Jan 2026 00:00 14 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.24 $0.24 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Jan 2026 04:00 15 Jan 2026 06:00 $0.23 $0.23 -0.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Jan 2026 21:00 15 Jan 2026 23:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.83% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Jan 2026 14:00 17 Jan 2026 17:00 $0.22 $0.23 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
19 Jan 2026 01:00 19 Jan 2026 18:00 $0.21 $0.22 +2.21% SIDEWAYS 18h
19 Jan 2026 23:00 20 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.22 $0.22 -0.46% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Jan 2026 22:00 22 Jan 2026 09:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.12% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
22 Jan 2026 16:00 22 Jan 2026 18:00 $0.21 $0.21 -0.13% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Jan 2026 22:00 23 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.21 $0.21 +0.91% SIDEWAYS 19h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 27 Jan 2026 06:00 $0.20 $0.21 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
27 Jan 2026 09:00 28 Jan 2026 09:00 $0.21 $0.21 +2.21% SIDEWAYS 1d
28 Jan 2026 17:00 28 Jan 2026 19:00 $0.21 $0.21 -0.36% SIDEWAYS 3h
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.17 $0.18 +3.69% BEAR 15h
03 Feb 2026 15:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.17 $0.18 +3.08% BEAR 6h
05 Feb 2026 22:00 06 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.15 $0.17 +14.13% BEAR 19h
07 Feb 2026 11:00 08 Feb 2026 05:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.72% BEAR 19h
08 Feb 2026 07:00 08 Feb 2026 11:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.64% BEAR 5h
08 Feb 2026 17:00 08 Feb 2026 19:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.70% BEAR 3h
09 Feb 2026 11:00 09 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.05% BEAR 5h
10 Feb 2026 13:00 10 Feb 2026 21:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.26% BEAR 9h
11 Feb 2026 08:00 11 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.15 $0.15 -2.38% BEAR 9h
11 Feb 2026 18:00 12 Feb 2026 13:00 $0.15 $0.16 +5.60% BEAR 20h
12 Feb 2026 21:00 14 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.16 $0.17 +10.26% BEAR 1.8d
19 Feb 2026 14:00 19 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.16 $0.16 +0.60% BEAR 7h
20 Feb 2026 01:00 21 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.16 $0.16 +0.83% BEAR 1d
23 Feb 2026 02:00 23 Feb 2026 08:00 $0.15 $0.15 +0.98% BEAR 7h
24 Feb 2026 11:00 25 Feb 2026 19:00 $0.15 $0.17 +10.86% BEAR 1.4d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 27 Feb 2026 06:00 $0.16 $0.17 +3.65% BEAR 14h
27 Feb 2026 13:00 28 Feb 2026 00:00 $0.16 $0.16 -0.10% BEAR 12h
01 Mar 2026 20:00 02 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.15 $0.16 +4.07% BEAR 20h
03 Mar 2026 13:00 04 Mar 2026 18:00 $0.15 $0.16 +8.03% BEAR 1.3d
05 Mar 2026 18:00 05 Mar 2026 22:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.13% BEAR 5h
06 Mar 2026 18:00 06 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.15 $0.15 -0.21% BEAR 6h
09 Mar 2026 00:00 10 Mar 2026 14:00 $0.15 $0.17 +11.26% BEAR 1.6d
11 Mar 2026 03:00 12 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.16 $0.16 +0.86% BEAR 23h
12 Mar 2026 03:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.16 $0.17 +5.08% BEAR 1.4d
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 18:00 $0.17 $0.17 +3.93% BEAR 1.7d
18 Mar 2026 16:00 19 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.17 $0.17 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 10h
19 Mar 2026 17:00 20 Mar 2026 08:00 $0.16 $0.17 +2.08% SIDEWAYS 16h
20 Mar 2026 21:00 20 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.16 $0.17 +0.26% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Mar 2026 20:00 24 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.16 $0.16 +4.33% BEAR 1.3d
24 Mar 2026 03:00 24 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.16 $0.17 +1.52% BEAR 7h
24 Mar 2026 14:00 25 Mar 2026 06:00 $0.17 $0.18 +7.83% BEAR 17h
26 Mar 2026 17:00 26 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.17 $0.17 +0.23% BEAR 7h
28 Mar 2026 01:00 28 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.17 $0.17 +2.36% BEAR 15h
29 Mar 2026 18:00 30 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.16 $0.17 +4.74% BEAR 19h
31 Mar 2026 11:00 31 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.16 $0.17 +2.13% BEAR 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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83.9% Win Rate +311.7% Return -2.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees