XLMXLMStellar$0.212600-3.93%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.8M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 42 trades would have compounded to a final value of $20,730 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 42 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

XLM — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
10.95
Alpha vs B&H
+135.86pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-28.56%
Max Drawdown
-0.94%
Avg Drawdown
-2.39%
Sharpe Trend
-5.14
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — XLM — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 42-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.36%
Avg Loss
-0.44%
Best Trade
+6.87%
Worst Trade
-0.94%
Avg Bars Held
17.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 24 (57%) Forward-pred: 14 (33%) Short signal: 3 (7%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +107.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 81.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.9%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.68% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 26 84.6% +1.93% +63.79% 15h
BULL 6 100.0% +2.68% +17.13% 1.2d
SIDEWAYS 10 60.0% +1.05% +10.81% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 42 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2024 20:00 08 Apr 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.13 +3.85% BUBBLE 22h
10 Apr 2024 13:00 10 Apr 2024 17:00 $0.13 $0.13 +1.48% BUBBLE 5h
12 Apr 2024 19:00 12 Apr 2024 21:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.82% BUBBLE 3h
13 Apr 2024 21:00 13 Apr 2024 22:00 $0.10 $0.10 +5.92% BUBBLE 2h
14 Apr 2024 00:00 14 Apr 2024 08:00 $0.10 $0.11 +4.91% BUBBLE 9h
14 Apr 2024 10:00 14 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.11 $0.11 -0.23% BUBBLE 14h
15 Apr 2024 21:00 15 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.19% BUBBLE 3h
16 Apr 2024 01:00 17 Apr 2024 05:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.45% BUBBLE 1.2d
17 Apr 2024 16:00 17 Apr 2024 19:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.70% BUBBLE 4h
21 Apr 2024 14:00 23 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.12 +3.79% BULL 1.5d
25 Apr 2024 13:00 25 Apr 2024 15:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.28% BUBBLE 3h
29 Apr 2024 09:00 30 Apr 2024 02:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.49% BULL 18h
30 Apr 2024 18:00 02 May 2024 06:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.00% BULL 1.5d
02 May 2024 19:00 04 May 2024 12:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.21% BULL 1.8d
05 May 2024 02:00 06 May 2024 01:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.68% SIDEWAYS 24h
06 May 2024 13:00 06 May 2024 15:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.67% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 May 2024 11:00 10 May 2024 06:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.93% BULL 20h
13 May 2024 03:00 13 May 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.11 +3.82% BULL 14h
14 May 2024 14:00 16 May 2024 07:00 $0.10 $0.11 +5.35% BULL 1.8d
16 May 2024 20:00 18 May 2024 10:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.50% BULL 1.6d
20 May 2024 01:00 21 May 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.11 +6.87% BUBBLE 24h
23 May 2024 17:00 23 May 2024 21:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.42% BUBBLE 5h
23 May 2024 23:00 25 May 2024 11:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.07% BUBBLE 1.5d
27 May 2024 07:00 28 May 2024 00:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.25% BUBBLE 18h
03 Jun 2024 01:00 03 Jun 2024 12:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.10% BUBBLE 12h
04 Jun 2024 07:00 05 Jun 2024 15:00 $0.10 $0.11 +1.88% BUBBLE 1.4d
07 Jun 2024 02:00 07 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.92% BUBBLE 12h
07 Jun 2024 19:00 08 Jun 2024 02:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.40% BUBBLE 8h
08 Jun 2024 13:00 10 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.66% BUBBLE 1.5d
12 Jun 2024 01:00 12 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.10 $0.10 +4.24% BUBBLE 17h
12 Jun 2024 20:00 13 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.51% BUBBLE 6h
16 Jun 2024 02:00 16 Jun 2024 23:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.61% BUBBLE 22h
17 Jun 2024 14:00 17 Jun 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.41% BUBBLE 3h
18 Jun 2024 13:00 19 Jun 2024 02:00 $0.09 $0.09 +3.58% BUBBLE 14h
19 Jun 2024 04:00 20 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.94% BUBBLE 22h
24 Jun 2024 08:00 25 Jun 2024 18:00 $0.09 $0.09 +5.62% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
25 Jun 2024 20:00 26 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.30% SIDEWAYS 6h
26 Jun 2024 06:00 26 Jun 2024 08:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
26 Jun 2024 19:00 26 Jun 2024 21:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.14% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Jun 2024 00:00 28 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.09 $0.09 +2.58% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
28 Jun 2024 22:00 29 Jun 2024 04:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.08% SIDEWAYS 7h
29 Jun 2024 07:00 29 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.63% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

81.0% Win Rate +107.3% Return -0.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees