XLMXLMStellar$0.212600-3.93%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.8M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 54 trades would have compounded to a final value of $33,119 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 54 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+231.2%
$10,000 →
$33,119
Win Rate
87.0%
47W / 7L
Trades
54
Sharpe
13.75
Alpha vs B&H
+220.05pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+11.14%
Max Drawdown
-0.92%
Avg Drawdown
-2.50%
Sharpe Trend
+3.35
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 54-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.78%
Avg Loss
-0.54%
Best Trade
+12.10%
Worst Trade
-0.92%
Avg Bars Held
18.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 28 (52%) Signal flip: 22 (41%) Trailing stop: 2 (4%) Take-profit: 1 (2%) Short signal: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +231.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.9%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 54 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.38% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 46 84.8% +2.14% +160.53% 18h
BULL 5 100.0% +3.08% +16.28% 1.1d
BUBBLE 3 100.0% +4.38% +13.69% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 54 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jul 2024 23:00 09 Jul 2024 10:00 $0.08 $0.09 +3.47% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
09 Jul 2024 12:00 10 Jul 2024 04:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.41% SIDEWAYS 17h
10 Jul 2024 12:00 11 Jul 2024 12:00 $0.09 $0.09 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 1d
11 Jul 2024 22:00 13 Jul 2024 05:00 $0.09 $0.10 +11.42% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Jul 2024 07:00 13 Jul 2024 13:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.08% SIDEWAYS 7h
14 Jul 2024 01:00 14 Jul 2024 11:00 $0.10 $0.11 +3.92% SIDEWAYS 11h
14 Jul 2024 13:00 16 Jul 2024 00:00 $0.10 $0.11 +1.52% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
16 Jul 2024 08:00 16 Jul 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.11 +6.22% SIDEWAYS 9h
16 Jul 2024 18:00 17 Jul 2024 08:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.75% SIDEWAYS 15h
19 Jul 2024 00:00 20 Jul 2024 06:00 $0.10 $0.11 +3.28% BULL 1.3d
21 Jul 2024 13:00 22 Jul 2024 02:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.17% BULL 14h
23 Jul 2024 17:00 24 Jul 2024 13:00 $0.10 $0.11 +4.76% BUBBLE 21h
25 Jul 2024 23:00 26 Jul 2024 06:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.65% BULL 8h
30 Jul 2024 00:00 31 Jul 2024 02:00 $0.10 $0.11 +6.01% BUBBLE 1.1d
01 Aug 2024 16:00 01 Aug 2024 23:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.37% BUBBLE 8h
05 Aug 2024 02:00 05 Aug 2024 05:00 $0.08 $0.08 +2.70% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 Aug 2024 11:00 05 Aug 2024 22:00 $0.08 $0.09 +12.10% SIDEWAYS 12h
06 Aug 2024 00:00 06 Aug 2024 07:00 $0.09 $0.09 +2.72% SIDEWAYS 8h
06 Aug 2024 09:00 06 Aug 2024 20:00 $0.09 $0.09 +3.14% SIDEWAYS 12h
07 Aug 2024 01:00 07 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.09 $0.10 +3.59% SIDEWAYS 13h
08 Aug 2024 01:00 08 Aug 2024 02:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 2h
10 Aug 2024 01:00 10 Aug 2024 09:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 9h
11 Aug 2024 21:00 12 Aug 2024 15:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.12% SIDEWAYS 19h
12 Aug 2024 19:00 13 Aug 2024 02:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 8h
13 Aug 2024 11:00 13 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Aug 2024 07:00 15 Aug 2024 11:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.42% SIDEWAYS 5h
16 Aug 2024 13:00 16 Aug 2024 19:00 $0.09 $0.10 +1.39% SIDEWAYS 7h
19 Aug 2024 00:00 21 Aug 2024 00:00 $0.09 $0.10 +3.46% SIDEWAYS 2d
21 Aug 2024 02:00 22 Aug 2024 20:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.05% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
22 Aug 2024 22:00 24 Aug 2024 00:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.40% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
24 Aug 2024 04:00 24 Aug 2024 14:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 11h
25 Aug 2024 08:00 25 Aug 2024 13:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.58% SIDEWAYS 6h
25 Aug 2024 21:00 25 Aug 2024 23:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.80% SIDEWAYS 3h
26 Aug 2024 22:00 27 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 4h
28 Aug 2024 01:00 28 Aug 2024 04:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 4h
28 Aug 2024 16:00 29 Aug 2024 12:00 $0.09 $0.09 +2.43% SIDEWAYS 21h
29 Aug 2024 22:00 30 Aug 2024 10:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.99% SIDEWAYS 13h
30 Aug 2024 16:00 31 Aug 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.55% SIDEWAYS 10h
01 Sep 2024 23:00 03 Sep 2024 09:00 $0.09 $0.09 +3.71% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
04 Sep 2024 11:00 04 Sep 2024 21:00 $0.09 $0.09 +2.71% SIDEWAYS 11h
05 Sep 2024 00:00 05 Sep 2024 02:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.84% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Sep 2024 19:00 07 Sep 2024 22:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
08 Sep 2024 00:00 10 Sep 2024 23:00 $0.09 $0.09 +5.66% SIDEWAYS 3d
16 Sep 2024 01:00 17 Sep 2024 08:00 $0.09 $0.10 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
17 Sep 2024 10:00 17 Sep 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.82% SIDEWAYS 7h
17 Sep 2024 23:00 19 Sep 2024 00:00 $0.09 $0.10 +2.01% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
19 Sep 2024 02:00 19 Sep 2024 03:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.20% SIDEWAYS 2h
19 Sep 2024 05:00 19 Sep 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.11% SIDEWAYS 12h
19 Sep 2024 20:00 20 Sep 2024 13:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 18h
20 Sep 2024 17:00 21 Sep 2024 16:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.71% SIDEWAYS 24h
21 Sep 2024 18:00 22 Sep 2024 01:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.92% SIDEWAYS 8h
22 Sep 2024 15:00 25 Sep 2024 09:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.63% SIDEWAYS 2.8d
26 Sep 2024 01:00 28 Sep 2024 13:00 $0.10 $0.10 +6.51% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
29 Sep 2024 02:00 29 Sep 2024 15:00 $0.10 $0.10 +3.81% BULL 14h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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87.0% Win Rate +231.2% Return -0.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees