XRPXRPXRP$1.1447+1.06%
24h High$1.16
24h Low$1.13
Volume$52.7M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XRP XRP Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XRP - XRP. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 103 trades would have compounded to a final value of $75,637 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 103 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

XRP — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
10.90
Alpha vs B&H
+670.89pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-14.51%
Max Drawdown
-3.88%
Avg Drawdown
-2.69%
Sharpe Trend
+0.43
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — XRP — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XRP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 103-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.84%
Avg Loss
-1.02%
Best Trade
+20.97%
Worst Trade
-3.88%
Avg Bars Held
18.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 54 (52%) Forward-pred: 35 (34%) Short signal: 8 (8%) Trailing stop: 3 (3%) Stop-loss: 3 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +656.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 86.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 103 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.48% on 73 trades, WR 89%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 73 89.0% +2.48% +478.71% 16h
BULL 17 76.5% +1.94% +37.81% 24h
SIDEWAYS 13 84.6% +1.90% +27.38% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 103 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jan 2024 23:00 08 Jan 2024 00:00 $0.55 $0.58 +4.00% BULL 2h
08 Jan 2024 03:00 09 Jan 2024 05:00 $0.55 $0.57 +2.48% BUBBLE 1.1d
09 Jan 2024 07:00 09 Jan 2024 11:00 $0.57 $0.57 -0.32% BUBBLE 5h
09 Jan 2024 13:00 11 Jan 2024 04:00 $0.56 $0.61 +7.19% BUBBLE 1.7d
11 Jan 2024 06:00 11 Jan 2024 11:00 $0.59 $0.61 +3.68% BUBBLE 6h
12 Jan 2024 23:00 14 Jan 2024 13:00 $0.57 $0.58 +0.85% BUBBLE 1.6d
23 Jan 2024 13:00 25 Jan 2024 05:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
25 Jan 2024 14:00 27 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.51 $0.53 +3.89% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
27 Jan 2024 08:00 27 Jan 2024 20:00 $0.53 $0.53 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 13h
29 Jan 2024 01:00 29 Jan 2024 20:00 $0.52 $0.54 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 20h
31 Jan 2024 11:00 31 Jan 2024 17:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.29% SIDEWAYS 7h
31 Jan 2024 19:00 01 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.51 $0.50 -3.88% SIDEWAYS 7h
01 Feb 2024 14:00 03 Feb 2024 11:00 $0.50 $0.52 +4.67% BULL 1.9d
05 Feb 2024 01:00 05 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.33% BULL 21h
06 Feb 2024 14:00 06 Feb 2024 20:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.16% BULL 7h
07 Feb 2024 09:00 10 Feb 2024 02:00 $0.50 $0.53 +4.97% BULL 2.8d
10 Feb 2024 15:00 11 Feb 2024 13:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.00% BULL 23h
11 Feb 2024 21:00 12 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.53 $0.53 +0.20% BUBBLE 4h
12 Feb 2024 03:00 13 Feb 2024 04:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.13% BUBBLE 1.1d
13 Feb 2024 14:00 15 Feb 2024 14:00 $0.52 $0.55 +5.95% BUBBLE 2d
15 Feb 2024 16:00 15 Feb 2024 20:00 $0.54 $0.56 +2.84% BUBBLE 5h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 20 Feb 2024 07:00 $0.55 $0.57 +2.82% BUBBLE 2.3d
20 Feb 2024 18:00 20 Feb 2024 20:00 $0.55 $0.56 +1.10% BUBBLE 3h
21 Feb 2024 15:00 22 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.54 $0.55 +0.74% BUBBLE 10h
23 Feb 2024 17:00 25 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.53 $0.55 +2.04% BUBBLE 1.4d
26 Feb 2024 03:00 26 Feb 2024 06:00 $0.54 $0.54 -0.26% BUBBLE 4h
26 Feb 2024 08:00 27 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.54 $0.58 +8.25% BUBBLE 1.6d
28 Feb 2024 19:00 29 Feb 2024 13:00 $0.57 $0.60 +6.19% BUBBLE 19h
29 Feb 2024 23:00 02 Mar 2024 11:00 $0.59 $0.64 +9.32% BUBBLE 1.5d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 05 Mar 2024 00:00 $0.61 $0.65 +7.30% BUBBLE 1.7d
05 Mar 2024 20:00 06 Mar 2024 05:00 $0.58 $0.60 +4.24% BULL 10h
06 Mar 2024 07:00 07 Mar 2024 03:00 $0.61 $0.63 +3.04% BUBBLE 21h
07 Mar 2024 05:00 07 Mar 2024 16:00 $0.62 $0.62 -0.33% BUBBLE 12h
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.60 $0.73 +20.97% BUBBLE 19h
12 Mar 2024 18:00 13 Mar 2024 03:00 $0.69 $0.70 +1.45% BUBBLE 10h
13 Mar 2024 08:00 13 Mar 2024 14:00 $0.70 $0.68 -3.77% BUBBLE 7h
13 Mar 2024 16:00 14 Mar 2024 01:00 $0.67 $0.69 +1.29% BUBBLE 10h
14 Mar 2024 20:00 14 Mar 2024 22:00 $0.66 $0.67 +0.93% BUBBLE 3h
15 Mar 2024 09:00 15 Mar 2024 18:00 $0.60 $0.64 +6.05% BUBBLE 10h
15 Mar 2024 20:00 16 Mar 2024 01:00 $0.62 $0.64 +2.38% BUBBLE 6h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $0.61 $0.60 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 08:00 18 Mar 2024 00:00 $0.60 $0.61 +1.47% BUBBLE 17h
18 Mar 2024 02:00 18 Mar 2024 05:00 $0.62 $0.63 +1.63% BUBBLE 4h
18 Mar 2024 11:00 18 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.61 $0.65 +4.82% BUBBLE 13h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 21 Mar 2024 15:00 $0.59 $0.64 +7.92% BUBBLE 1.6d
22 Mar 2024 14:00 23 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.60 $0.62 +3.17% BUBBLE 24h
23 Mar 2024 15:00 25 Mar 2024 09:00 $0.63 $0.63 +0.05% BUBBLE 1.8d
28 Mar 2024 00:00 28 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.61 $0.63 +2.92% BUBBLE 18h
28 Mar 2024 19:00 29 Mar 2024 14:00 $0.63 $0.63 +0.57% BUBBLE 20h
31 Mar 2024 02:00 31 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.62 $0.63 +0.12% BUBBLE 12h
01 Apr 2024 16:00 01 Apr 2024 20:00 $0.60 $0.61 +1.54% BUBBLE 5h
03 Apr 2024 22:00 04 Apr 2024 13:00 $0.57 $0.60 +3.46% BUBBLE 16h
04 Apr 2024 15:00 04 Apr 2024 17:00 $0.59 $0.60 +1.22% BUBBLE 3h
04 Apr 2024 19:00 05 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.60 $0.59 -1.52% BUBBLE 6h
05 Apr 2024 11:00 06 Apr 2024 20:00 $0.58 $0.59 +1.94% BUBBLE 1.4d
07 Apr 2024 20:00 09 Apr 2024 01:00 $0.59 $0.61 +3.01% BUBBLE 1.3d
09 Apr 2024 04:00 09 Apr 2024 11:00 $0.61 $0.62 +1.30% BUBBLE 8h
10 Apr 2024 03:00 10 Apr 2024 07:00 $0.60 $0.61 +1.34% BUBBLE 5h
10 Apr 2024 13:00 10 Apr 2024 19:00 $0.60 $0.62 +2.94% BUBBLE 7h
12 Apr 2024 19:00 12 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.53 $0.55 +3.44% BUBBLE 5h
13 Apr 2024 21:00 13 Apr 2024 22:00 $0.45 $0.48 +6.14% BUBBLE 2h
14 Apr 2024 02:00 14 Apr 2024 04:00 $0.47 $0.48 +1.51% BUBBLE 3h
14 Apr 2024 06:00 15 Apr 2024 01:00 $0.49 $0.50 +1.76% BUBBLE 20h
16 Apr 2024 05:00 16 Apr 2024 07:00 $0.49 $0.50 +2.38% BUBBLE 3h
16 Apr 2024 10:00 17 Apr 2024 03:00 $0.49 $0.50 +1.05% BUBBLE 18h
17 Apr 2024 16:00 17 Apr 2024 19:00 $0.48 $0.50 +2.68% BUBBLE 4h
18 Apr 2024 08:00 18 Apr 2024 16:00 $0.49 $0.50 +2.00% BULL 9h
19 Apr 2024 05:00 19 Apr 2024 21:00 $0.49 $0.51 +3.57% BULL 17h
20 Apr 2024 10:00 21 Apr 2024 03:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.46% BULL 18h
22 Apr 2024 05:00 22 Apr 2024 20:00 $0.54 $0.56 +4.43% BULL 16h
25 Apr 2024 11:00 25 Apr 2024 17:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.80% BUBBLE 7h
29 Apr 2024 04:00 30 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.51 $0.52 +1.89% BULL 21h
30 Apr 2024 13:00 03 May 2024 21:00 $0.50 $0.53 +6.70% BULL 3.4d
04 May 2024 03:00 04 May 2024 11:00 $0.53 $0.53 +0.72% SIDEWAYS 9h
04 May 2024 23:00 05 May 2024 21:00 $0.53 $0.53 -0.69% SIDEWAYS 23h
06 May 2024 02:00 06 May 2024 15:00 $0.53 $0.56 +4.72% SIDEWAYS 14h
09 May 2024 08:00 10 May 2024 02:00 $0.52 $0.52 -0.04% BULL 19h
11 May 2024 01:00 11 May 2024 22:00 $0.51 $0.51 -0.33% BULL 22h
13 May 2024 01:00 14 May 2024 05:00 $0.50 $0.51 +0.82% BULL 1.2d
15 May 2024 01:00 16 May 2024 10:00 $0.50 $0.52 +3.09% BULL 1.4d
17 May 2024 01:00 18 May 2024 04:00 $0.51 $0.52 +1.29% BULL 1.2d
19 May 2024 22:00 21 May 2024 08:00 $0.51 $0.54 +6.08% BUBBLE 1.5d
23 May 2024 07:00 23 May 2024 11:00 $0.53 $0.53 -0.09% BUBBLE 5h
23 May 2024 19:00 24 May 2024 01:00 $0.52 $0.53 +2.39% BUBBLE 7h
24 May 2024 08:00 25 May 2024 15:00 $0.52 $0.54 +3.23% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 May 2024 01:00 28 May 2024 00:00 $0.53 $0.53 +0.04% BUBBLE 24h
03 Jun 2024 01:00 03 Jun 2024 22:00 $0.52 $0.52 +0.65% BUBBLE 22h
04 Jun 2024 01:00 04 Jun 2024 21:00 $0.52 $0.53 +0.72% BUBBLE 21h
07 Jun 2024 19:00 08 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.49 $0.50 +1.50% BUBBLE 7h
08 Jun 2024 17:00 08 Jun 2024 19:00 $0.49 $0.49 -0.37% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jun 2024 02:00 10 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.49 $0.50 +0.72% BUBBLE 24h
11 Jun 2024 16:00 12 Jun 2024 14:00 $0.48 $0.50 +3.16% BUBBLE 23h
12 Jun 2024 20:00 12 Jun 2024 22:00 $0.49 $0.49 +0.41% BUBBLE 3h
14 Jun 2024 17:00 16 Jun 2024 10:00 $0.47 $0.50 +5.84% BUBBLE 1.8d
17 Jun 2024 09:00 17 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.50 $0.50 +0.13% BUBBLE 5h
18 Jun 2024 02:00 18 Jun 2024 08:00 $0.48 $0.51 +4.19% BUBBLE 7h
18 Jun 2024 14:00 19 Jun 2024 00:00 $0.49 $0.49 +0.12% BUBBLE 11h
19 Jun 2024 02:00 19 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.49 $0.50 +0.17% BUBBLE 16h
21 Jun 2024 09:00 21 Jun 2024 15:00 $0.49 $0.49 -0.82% BULL 7h
24 Jun 2024 06:00 24 Jun 2024 08:00 $0.47 $0.48 +0.52% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Jun 2024 20:00 26 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.47 $0.48 +1.42% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Jun 2024 18:00 28 Jun 2024 11:00 $0.47 $0.48 +2.17% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
28 Jun 2024 23:00 29 Jun 2024 18:00 $0.47 $0.48 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

86.4% Win Rate +656.4% Return -3.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees