XRPXRPXRP$1.1439+0.68%
24h High$1.16
24h Low$1.13
Volume$52.8M
Updated18:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XRP XRP Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XRP - XRP. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 113 trades would have compounded to a final value of $176,520 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 113 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

XRP — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.24
Alpha vs B&H
+1,682.60pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-17.40%
Max Drawdown
-5.02%
Avg Drawdown
-2.96%
Sharpe Trend
-7.36
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — XRP — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XRP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 113-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.20%
Avg Loss
-1.62%
Best Trade
+27.78%
Worst Trade
-9.47%
Avg Bars Held
17.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 51 (45%) Forward-pred: 51 (45%) Take-profit: 4 (4%) Trailing stop: 3 (3%) Short signal: 2 (2%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%) Regime exit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +1,665.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 92.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 113 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.61% on 22 trades, WR 95%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 71 93.0% +2.17% +350.48% 17h
BUBBLE 22 95.5% +4.61% +159.67% 19h
BEAR 13 92.3% +2.93% +45.11% 14h
BULL 7 71.4% +3.56% +25.86% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 113 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 07:00 07 Jul 2025 16:00 $2.23 $2.32 +3.55% BULL 1.4d
07 Jul 2025 21:00 11 Jul 2025 12:00 $2.26 $2.70 +18.52% BUBBLE 3.7d
11 Jul 2025 17:00 11 Jul 2025 18:00 $2.79 $2.83 +0.97% BUBBLE 2h
11 Jul 2025 23:00 12 Jul 2025 02:00 $2.73 $2.79 +1.69% BUBBLE 4h
12 Jul 2025 07:00 12 Jul 2025 09:00 $2.79 $2.82 +0.85% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 14 Jul 2025 10:00 $2.71 $3.01 +10.67% BUBBLE 1.8d
15 Jul 2025 04:00 18 Jul 2025 00:00 $2.85 $3.65 +27.78% BUBBLE 2.9d
20 Jul 2025 10:00 20 Jul 2025 14:00 $3.50 $3.54 +0.76% BUBBLE 5h
20 Jul 2025 23:00 21 Jul 2025 14:00 $3.44 $3.64 +5.29% BUBBLE 16h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 11:00 $3.47 $3.52 +1.17% BUBBLE 7h
22 Jul 2025 14:00 22 Jul 2025 22:00 $3.49 $3.53 +0.77% BUBBLE 9h
23 Jul 2025 21:00 24 Jul 2025 00:00 $3.15 $3.22 +2.11% BUBBLE 4h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $3.08 $3.24 +4.96% BUBBLE 9h
24 Jul 2025 23:00 25 Jul 2025 10:00 $3.15 $3.13 -0.77% BUBBLE 12h
25 Jul 2025 15:00 26 Jul 2025 17:00 $3.03 $3.17 +4.47% BUBBLE 1.1d
27 Jul 2025 01:00 27 Jul 2025 21:00 $3.19 $3.22 +0.62% BUBBLE 21h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 30 Jul 2025 14:00 $3.05 $3.15 +2.98% BUBBLE 3h
30 Jul 2025 19:00 31 Jul 2025 09:00 $3.04 $3.17 +3.98% BUBBLE 15h
01 Aug 2025 09:00 01 Aug 2025 14:00 $2.92 $3.05 +4.22% BUBBLE 6h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 13:00 $2.82 $3.05 +7.95% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
04 Aug 2025 15:00 04 Aug 2025 21:00 $3.04 $3.07 +0.49% SIDEWAYS 7h
06 Aug 2025 01:00 08 Aug 2025 02:00 $2.94 $3.34 +13.39% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
12 Aug 2025 01:00 14 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.15 $3.32 +5.17% BULL 2d
18 Aug 2025 09:00 18 Aug 2025 17:00 $2.95 $3.07 +3.52% BULL 9h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 20 Aug 2025 19:00 $2.88 $2.99 +3.43% BULL 19h
22 Aug 2025 01:00 23 Aug 2025 02:00 $2.84 $3.00 +5.08% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
23 Aug 2025 04:00 24 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.01 $3.07 +1.77% SIDEWAYS 22h
24 Aug 2025 11:00 24 Aug 2025 13:00 $3.01 $3.02 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 26 Aug 2025 19:00 $2.83 $3.06 +7.71% SIDEWAYS 23h
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 04:00 $2.98 $3.01 +0.76% SIDEWAYS 4h
30 Aug 2025 02:00 30 Aug 2025 06:00 $2.79 $2.83 +1.12% SIDEWAYS 5h
01 Sep 2025 01:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $2.76 $2.83 +1.90% SIDEWAYS 8h
01 Sep 2025 12:00 03 Sep 2025 20:00 $2.77 $2.86 +2.60% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
04 Sep 2025 20:00 04 Sep 2025 22:00 $2.80 $2.82 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 3h
05 Sep 2025 00:00 05 Sep 2025 12:00 $2.80 $2.88 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 13h
05 Sep 2025 14:00 08 Sep 2025 14:00 $2.86 $2.98 +3.79% SIDEWAYS 3d
08 Sep 2025 16:00 09 Sep 2025 08:00 $2.98 $3.02 +1.24% SIDEWAYS 17h
09 Sep 2025 16:00 09 Sep 2025 18:00 $2.95 $2.96 +0.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Sep 2025 00:00 11 Sep 2025 10:00 $2.94 $3.02 +2.18% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
11 Sep 2025 13:00 12 Sep 2025 05:00 $2.98 $3.07 +2.83% SIDEWAYS 17h
12 Sep 2025 07:00 12 Sep 2025 20:00 $3.06 $3.12 +1.95% SIDEWAYS 14h
12 Sep 2025 22:00 13 Sep 2025 08:00 $3.11 $3.14 +0.85% SIDEWAYS 11h
15 Sep 2025 09:00 15 Sep 2025 16:00 $2.97 $3.01 +0.69% SIDEWAYS 8h
15 Sep 2025 23:00 17 Sep 2025 09:00 $2.99 $3.02 +0.54% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
17 Sep 2025 11:00 18 Sep 2025 09:00 $3.01 $3.12 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 23h
22 Sep 2025 09:00 23 Sep 2025 16:00 $2.81 $2.89 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Sep 2025 05:00 24 Sep 2025 16:00 $2.85 $2.95 +3.21% SIDEWAYS 12h
25 Sep 2025 18:00 25 Sep 2025 22:00 $2.76 $2.75 -0.48% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Sep 2025 02:00 29 Sep 2025 15:00 $2.79 $2.89 +3.43% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
30 Sep 2025 14:00 30 Sep 2025 20:00 $2.84 $2.87 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 7h
30 Sep 2025 23:00 02 Oct 2025 13:00 $2.84 $2.99 +4.83% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
02 Oct 2025 15:00 02 Oct 2025 17:00 $2.97 $3.04 +1.84% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Oct 2025 21:00 05 Oct 2025 07:00 $2.95 $3.06 +3.44% SIDEWAYS 11h
06 Oct 2025 01:00 06 Oct 2025 16:00 $2.97 $3.03 +1.88% BUBBLE 16h
08 Oct 2025 01:00 08 Oct 2025 17:00 $2.87 $2.92 +1.61% BUBBLE 17h
09 Oct 2025 17:00 10 Oct 2025 02:00 $2.80 $2.80 -0.30% BULL 10h
10 Oct 2025 20:00 11 Oct 2025 04:00 $2.69 $2.44 -9.47% BULL 9h
12 Oct 2025 02:00 12 Oct 2025 19:00 $2.32 $2.55 +9.21% BULL 18h
13 Oct 2025 01:00 13 Oct 2025 08:00 $2.52 $2.63 +4.15% SIDEWAYS 8h
13 Oct 2025 12:00 13 Oct 2025 16:00 $2.58 $2.59 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 5h
14 Oct 2025 09:00 15 Oct 2025 01:00 $2.46 $2.50 +1.16% SIDEWAYS 17h
17 Oct 2025 08:00 17 Oct 2025 21:00 $2.23 $2.33 +4.36% SIDEWAYS 14h
17 Oct 2025 23:00 19 Oct 2025 08:00 $2.30 $2.33 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
19 Oct 2025 15:00 20 Oct 2025 09:00 $2.40 $2.47 +2.60% SIDEWAYS 19h
21 Oct 2025 09:00 21 Oct 2025 11:00 $2.41 $2.43 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Oct 2025 14:00 21 Oct 2025 15:00 $2.44 $2.52 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 2h
22 Oct 2025 11:00 22 Oct 2025 13:00 $2.40 $2.41 +0.20% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Oct 2025 21:00 25 Oct 2025 01:00 $2.34 $2.55 +8.35% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
25 Oct 2025 03:00 25 Oct 2025 15:00 $2.54 $2.60 +2.17% SIDEWAYS 13h
25 Oct 2025 17:00 25 Oct 2025 18:00 $2.59 $2.64 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 2h
26 Oct 2025 02:00 26 Oct 2025 22:00 $2.62 $2.65 +1.01% SIDEWAYS 21h
30 Oct 2025 20:00 31 Oct 2025 19:00 $2.41 $2.54 +5.18% SIDEWAYS 24h
31 Oct 2025 21:00 02 Nov 2025 08:00 $2.50 $2.53 +0.53% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
02 Nov 2025 19:00 02 Nov 2025 22:00 $2.49 $2.50 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Nov 2025 13:00 04 Nov 2025 15:00 $2.27 $2.28 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Nov 2025 19:00 04 Nov 2025 22:00 $2.21 $2.22 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 Nov 2025 00:00 06 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.19 $2.34 +6.55% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
07 Nov 2025 01:00 07 Nov 2025 19:00 $2.21 $2.35 +5.99% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Nov 2025 00:00 08 Nov 2025 04:00 $2.32 $2.33 -0.07% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Nov 2025 02:00 10 Nov 2025 08:00 $2.28 $2.50 +9.19% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Nov 2025 01:00 12 Nov 2025 11:00 $2.40 $2.44 +1.08% SIDEWAYS 11h
12 Nov 2025 16:00 13 Nov 2025 07:00 $2.34 $2.49 +5.93% SIDEWAYS 16h
16 Nov 2025 02:00 16 Nov 2025 04:00 $2.22 $2.25 +1.14% BEAR 3h
16 Nov 2025 16:00 17 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.18 $2.27 +3.98% BEAR 18h
18 Nov 2025 01:00 18 Nov 2025 21:00 $2.15 $2.21 +2.13% BEAR 21h
19 Nov 2025 17:00 20 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.07 $2.13 +2.54% BEAR 9h
21 Nov 2025 10:00 21 Nov 2025 17:00 $1.90 $1.98 +3.88% BEAR 8h
23 Nov 2025 02:00 23 Nov 2025 04:00 $2.01 $2.07 +2.49% BEAR 3h
23 Nov 2025 06:00 24 Nov 2025 19:00 $2.05 $2.24 +8.53% BEAR 1.6d
25 Nov 2025 15:00 25 Nov 2025 23:00 $2.17 $2.20 +1.10% BEAR 9h
26 Nov 2025 05:00 26 Nov 2025 18:00 $2.19 $2.24 +2.17% BEAR 14h
26 Nov 2025 20:00 27 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.23 $2.23 -0.33% BEAR 6h
29 Nov 2025 13:00 30 Nov 2025 00:00 $2.21 $2.20 -0.73% SIDEWAYS 12h
01 Dec 2025 13:00 03 Dec 2025 04:00 $2.02 $2.20 +8.39% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
03 Dec 2025 11:00 03 Dec 2025 13:00 $2.17 $2.18 +0.11% SIDEWAYS 3h
03 Dec 2025 15:00 03 Dec 2025 20:00 $2.17 $2.20 +1.29% SIDEWAYS 6h
07 Dec 2025 13:00 07 Dec 2025 14:00 $2.04 $2.00 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Dec 2025 16:00 07 Dec 2025 18:00 $2.04 $2.10 +2.60% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Dec 2025 20:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $2.08 $2.17 +3.55% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
11 Dec 2025 03:00 11 Dec 2025 05:00 $2.00 $2.01 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 13:00 11 Dec 2025 21:00 $2.01 $2.04 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 9h
11 Dec 2025 23:00 12 Dec 2025 09:00 $2.03 $2.04 -0.19% SIDEWAYS 11h
12 Dec 2025 16:00 12 Dec 2025 19:00 $1.99 $2.00 +0.35% SIDEWAYS 4h
12 Dec 2025 22:00 13 Dec 2025 17:00 $2.01 $2.02 +0.13% SIDEWAYS 20h
15 Dec 2025 00:00 15 Dec 2025 02:00 $1.98 $2.00 +0.63% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Dec 2025 22:00 17 Dec 2025 00:00 $1.89 $1.92 +1.61% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
19 Dec 2025 01:00 19 Dec 2025 20:00 $1.79 $1.91 +6.74% BEAR 20h
19 Dec 2025 22:00 20 Dec 2025 09:00 $1.90 $1.95 +2.12% BEAR 12h
24 Dec 2025 03:00 25 Dec 2025 02:00 $1.85 $1.87 +0.83% SIDEWAYS 24h
26 Dec 2025 01:00 26 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.84 $1.88 +1.80% SIDEWAYS 13h
27 Dec 2025 10:00 28 Dec 2025 06:00 $1.85 $1.88 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 21h
28 Dec 2025 19:00 29 Dec 2025 03:00 $1.86 $1.92 +2.69% SIDEWAYS 9h
30 Dec 2025 01:00 31 Dec 2025 01:00 $1.85 $1.88 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.0% Win Rate +1,665.2% Return -5.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees