XRPXRPXRP$1.1447+1.06%
24h High$1.16
24h Low$1.13
Volume$52.7M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XRP XRP Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XRP - XRP. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 50 trades would have compounded to a final value of $33,016 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 50 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

XRP — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
10.90
Alpha vs B&H
+217.64pp
Risk / Reward
59.29×
B&H Return
+12.51%
Max Drawdown
-3.88%
Avg Drawdown
-2.75%
Sharpe Trend
-7.09
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — XRP — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XRP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 50-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.51%
Avg Loss
-1.49%
Best Trade
+20.97%
Worst Trade
-3.88%
Avg Bars Held
20.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 23 (46%) Forward-pred: 19 (38%) Stop-loss: 3 (6%) Short signal: 3 (6%) Trailing stop: 2 (4%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +230.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 86.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.98% on 39 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 39 87.2% +2.98% +205.94% 19h
BULL 6 83.3% +2.59% +16.16% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 5 80.0% +1.76% +9.06% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 50 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jan 2024 23:00 08 Jan 2024 00:00 $0.55 $0.58 +4.00% BULL 2h
08 Jan 2024 03:00 09 Jan 2024 05:00 $0.55 $0.57 +2.48% BUBBLE 1.1d
09 Jan 2024 07:00 09 Jan 2024 11:00 $0.57 $0.57 -0.32% BUBBLE 5h
09 Jan 2024 13:00 11 Jan 2024 04:00 $0.56 $0.61 +7.19% BUBBLE 1.7d
11 Jan 2024 06:00 11 Jan 2024 11:00 $0.59 $0.61 +3.68% BUBBLE 6h
12 Jan 2024 23:00 14 Jan 2024 13:00 $0.57 $0.58 +0.85% BUBBLE 1.6d
23 Jan 2024 13:00 25 Jan 2024 05:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
25 Jan 2024 14:00 27 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.51 $0.53 +3.89% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
27 Jan 2024 08:00 27 Jan 2024 20:00 $0.53 $0.53 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 13h
29 Jan 2024 01:00 29 Jan 2024 20:00 $0.52 $0.54 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 20h
31 Jan 2024 11:00 31 Jan 2024 17:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.29% SIDEWAYS 7h
31 Jan 2024 19:00 01 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.51 $0.50 -3.88% SIDEWAYS 7h
01 Feb 2024 14:00 03 Feb 2024 11:00 $0.50 $0.52 +4.67% BULL 1.9d
05 Feb 2024 01:00 05 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.33% BULL 21h
06 Feb 2024 14:00 06 Feb 2024 20:00 $0.50 $0.51 +1.16% BULL 7h
07 Feb 2024 09:00 10 Feb 2024 02:00 $0.50 $0.53 +4.97% BULL 2.8d
10 Feb 2024 15:00 11 Feb 2024 13:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.00% BULL 23h
11 Feb 2024 21:00 12 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.53 $0.53 +0.20% BUBBLE 4h
12 Feb 2024 03:00 13 Feb 2024 04:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.13% BUBBLE 1.1d
13 Feb 2024 14:00 15 Feb 2024 14:00 $0.52 $0.55 +5.95% BUBBLE 2d
15 Feb 2024 16:00 15 Feb 2024 20:00 $0.54 $0.56 +2.84% BUBBLE 5h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 20 Feb 2024 07:00 $0.55 $0.57 +2.82% BUBBLE 2.3d
20 Feb 2024 18:00 20 Feb 2024 20:00 $0.55 $0.56 +1.10% BUBBLE 3h
21 Feb 2024 15:00 22 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.54 $0.55 +0.74% BUBBLE 10h
23 Feb 2024 17:00 25 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.53 $0.55 +2.04% BUBBLE 1.4d
26 Feb 2024 03:00 26 Feb 2024 06:00 $0.54 $0.54 -0.26% BUBBLE 4h
26 Feb 2024 08:00 27 Feb 2024 21:00 $0.54 $0.58 +8.25% BUBBLE 1.6d
28 Feb 2024 19:00 29 Feb 2024 13:00 $0.57 $0.60 +6.19% BUBBLE 19h
29 Feb 2024 23:00 02 Mar 2024 11:00 $0.59 $0.64 +9.32% BUBBLE 1.5d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 05 Mar 2024 00:00 $0.61 $0.65 +7.30% BUBBLE 1.7d
05 Mar 2024 20:00 06 Mar 2024 05:00 $0.58 $0.60 +4.24% BULL 10h
06 Mar 2024 07:00 07 Mar 2024 03:00 $0.61 $0.63 +3.04% BUBBLE 21h
07 Mar 2024 05:00 07 Mar 2024 16:00 $0.62 $0.62 -0.33% BUBBLE 12h
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.60 $0.73 +20.97% BUBBLE 19h
12 Mar 2024 18:00 13 Mar 2024 03:00 $0.69 $0.70 +1.45% BUBBLE 10h
13 Mar 2024 08:00 13 Mar 2024 14:00 $0.70 $0.68 -3.77% BUBBLE 7h
13 Mar 2024 16:00 14 Mar 2024 01:00 $0.67 $0.69 +1.29% BUBBLE 10h
14 Mar 2024 20:00 14 Mar 2024 22:00 $0.66 $0.67 +0.93% BUBBLE 3h
15 Mar 2024 09:00 15 Mar 2024 18:00 $0.60 $0.64 +6.05% BUBBLE 10h
15 Mar 2024 20:00 16 Mar 2024 01:00 $0.62 $0.64 +2.38% BUBBLE 6h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $0.61 $0.60 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 08:00 18 Mar 2024 00:00 $0.60 $0.61 +1.47% BUBBLE 17h
18 Mar 2024 02:00 18 Mar 2024 05:00 $0.62 $0.63 +1.63% BUBBLE 4h
18 Mar 2024 11:00 18 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.61 $0.65 +4.82% BUBBLE 13h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 21 Mar 2024 15:00 $0.59 $0.64 +7.92% BUBBLE 1.6d
22 Mar 2024 14:00 23 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.60 $0.62 +3.17% BUBBLE 24h
23 Mar 2024 15:00 25 Mar 2024 09:00 $0.63 $0.63 +0.05% BUBBLE 1.8d
28 Mar 2024 00:00 28 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.61 $0.63 +2.92% BUBBLE 18h
28 Mar 2024 19:00 29 Mar 2024 14:00 $0.63 $0.63 +0.57% BUBBLE 20h
31 Mar 2024 02:00 31 Mar 2024 13:00 $0.62 $0.63 +0.12% BUBBLE 12h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

86.0% Win Rate +230.2% Return -3.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees