XRPXRPXRP$1.1373+0.06%
24h High$1.16
24h Low$1.13
Volume$50.0M
Updated14:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XRP XRP Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XRP - XRP. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 68 trades would have compounded to a final value of $43,257 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 68 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XRP Signals →

XRP — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+332.6%
$10,000 →
$43,257
Win Rate
83.8%
57W / 11L
Trades
68
Sharpe
14.40
Alpha vs B&H
+369.26pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-36.68%
Max Drawdown
-0.93%
Avg Drawdown
-2.35%
Sharpe Trend
-0.27
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XRP — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XRP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 68-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.70%
Avg Loss
-0.28%
Best Trade
+11.82%
Worst Trade
-0.93%
Avg Bars Held
12.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 36 (53%) Forward-pred: 27 (40%) Take-profit: 3 (4%) Short signal: 1 (1%) Regime exit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +332.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.9%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 68 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.20% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 47 80.9% +2.01% +149.67% 13h
BEAR 16 93.8% +2.74% +53.14% 14h
BULL 2 50.0% +3.20% +6.37% 9h
BUBBLE 3 100.0% +2.03% +6.22% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 68 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 07:00 $2.96 $3.06 +2.94% BUBBLE 6h
06 Oct 2025 01:00 06 Oct 2025 16:00 $2.97 $3.03 +1.72% BUBBLE 16h
08 Oct 2025 01:00 08 Oct 2025 17:00 $2.87 $2.92 +1.44% BUBBLE 17h
09 Oct 2025 17:00 10 Oct 2025 02:00 $2.80 $2.80 -0.36% BULL 10h
10 Oct 2025 21:00 11 Oct 2025 04:00 $2.28 $2.44 +6.75% BULL 8h
12 Oct 2025 01:00 13 Oct 2025 08:00 $2.35 $2.63 +11.82% BULL 1.3d
13 Oct 2025 12:00 13 Oct 2025 16:00 $2.58 $2.59 +0.24% SIDEWAYS 5h
14 Oct 2025 09:00 15 Oct 2025 01:00 $2.46 $2.50 +1.22% SIDEWAYS 17h
19 Oct 2025 02:00 20 Oct 2025 10:00 $2.34 $2.47 +4.75% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
21 Oct 2025 09:00 21 Oct 2025 11:00 $2.41 $2.43 +0.61% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Oct 2025 14:00 21 Oct 2025 15:00 $2.44 $2.52 +2.78% SIDEWAYS 2h
22 Oct 2025 10:00 22 Oct 2025 12:00 $2.39 $2.40 +0.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Oct 2025 19:00 23 Oct 2025 17:00 $2.39 $2.42 +1.03% SIDEWAYS 23h
23 Oct 2025 19:00 25 Oct 2025 13:00 $2.40 $2.60 +7.94% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
25 Oct 2025 17:00 25 Oct 2025 18:00 $2.59 $2.64 +1.56% SIDEWAYS 2h
26 Oct 2025 00:00 26 Oct 2025 13:00 $2.61 $2.64 +0.94% SIDEWAYS 14h
26 Oct 2025 18:00 26 Oct 2025 22:00 $2.63 $2.65 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 5h
30 Oct 2025 20:00 31 Oct 2025 19:00 $2.41 $2.54 +5.35% SIDEWAYS 24h
31 Oct 2025 21:00 01 Nov 2025 17:00 $2.50 $2.51 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 21h
02 Nov 2025 07:00 02 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.52 $2.52 -0.36% SIDEWAYS 3h
02 Nov 2025 19:00 02 Nov 2025 22:00 $2.49 $2.50 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Nov 2025 09:00 04 Nov 2025 11:00 $2.26 $2.28 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Nov 2025 19:00 06 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.21 $2.34 +5.69% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
06 Nov 2025 21:00 06 Nov 2025 23:00 $2.20 $2.21 +0.43% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Nov 2025 01:00 07 Nov 2025 20:00 $2.21 $2.36 +6.45% SIDEWAYS 20h
07 Nov 2025 23:00 08 Nov 2025 04:00 $2.32 $2.33 -0.02% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Nov 2025 06:00 08 Nov 2025 08:00 $2.30 $2.32 +0.86% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Nov 2025 15:00 08 Nov 2025 18:00 $2.27 $2.28 +0.08% SIDEWAYS 4h
09 Nov 2025 01:00 10 Nov 2025 08:00 $2.28 $2.50 +9.26% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
10 Nov 2025 10:00 10 Nov 2025 13:00 $2.53 $2.56 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 4h
11 Nov 2025 21:00 11 Nov 2025 23:00 $2.41 $2.39 -0.93% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Nov 2025 01:00 12 Nov 2025 12:00 $2.40 $2.44 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 12h
12 Nov 2025 16:00 13 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.34 $2.50 +6.63% SIDEWAYS 18h
16 Nov 2025 02:00 16 Nov 2025 04:00 $2.22 $2.25 +1.04% BEAR 3h
16 Nov 2025 16:00 17 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.18 $2.27 +3.88% BEAR 18h
18 Nov 2025 01:00 18 Nov 2025 21:00 $2.15 $2.21 +2.03% BEAR 21h
19 Nov 2025 17:00 20 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.07 $2.13 +2.48% BEAR 9h
21 Nov 2025 09:00 21 Nov 2025 17:00 $1.95 $1.98 +1.27% BEAR 9h
21 Nov 2025 20:00 22 Nov 2025 06:00 $1.95 $1.95 +0.16% BEAR 11h
22 Nov 2025 09:00 23 Nov 2025 04:00 $1.92 $2.07 +7.20% BEAR 20h
23 Nov 2025 06:00 23 Nov 2025 21:00 $2.05 $2.08 +1.12% BEAR 16h
24 Nov 2025 01:00 24 Nov 2025 19:00 $2.04 $2.24 +9.11% BEAR 19h
25 Nov 2025 15:00 25 Nov 2025 23:00 $2.17 $2.20 +1.26% BEAR 9h
26 Nov 2025 05:00 26 Nov 2025 18:00 $2.19 $2.24 +2.24% BEAR 14h
26 Nov 2025 20:00 27 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.23 $2.23 -0.27% BEAR 6h
27 Nov 2025 13:00 27 Nov 2025 16:00 $2.18 $2.22 +1.45% BEAR 4h
28 Nov 2025 02:00 28 Nov 2025 04:00 $2.18 $2.19 +0.45% BEAR 3h
29 Nov 2025 14:00 29 Nov 2025 22:00 $2.20 $2.20 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 9h
01 Dec 2025 14:00 03 Dec 2025 04:00 $2.02 $2.20 +8.33% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
03 Dec 2025 17:00 03 Dec 2025 19:00 $2.18 $2.19 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Dec 2025 11:00 07 Dec 2025 18:00 $2.03 $2.10 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 8h
07 Dec 2025 20:00 08 Dec 2025 14:00 $2.08 $2.08 -0.23% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Dec 2025 19:00 08 Dec 2025 21:00 $2.08 $2.09 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Dec 2025 01:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $2.07 $2.17 +4.25% SIDEWAYS 16h
11 Dec 2025 04:00 11 Dec 2025 06:00 $2.00 $2.01 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 13:00 11 Dec 2025 21:00 $2.01 $2.04 +1.46% SIDEWAYS 9h
11 Dec 2025 23:00 12 Dec 2025 07:00 $2.03 $2.04 -0.05% SIDEWAYS 9h
12 Dec 2025 17:00 12 Dec 2025 19:00 $2.00 $2.00 +0.11% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Dec 2025 01:00 13 Dec 2025 14:00 $2.01 $2.04 +0.84% SIDEWAYS 14h
15 Dec 2025 21:00 17 Dec 2025 00:00 $1.88 $1.92 +1.65% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
19 Dec 2025 01:00 20 Dec 2025 09:00 $1.79 $1.95 +8.75% BEAR 1.4d
24 Dec 2025 03:00 25 Dec 2025 08:00 $1.85 $1.87 +0.97% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Dec 2025 01:00 26 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.84 $1.88 +1.90% SIDEWAYS 13h
26 Dec 2025 17:00 26 Dec 2025 19:00 $1.84 $1.85 -0.01% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Dec 2025 02:00 28 Dec 2025 06:00 $1.87 $1.88 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Dec 2025 10:00 28 Dec 2025 12:00 $1.87 $1.87 -0.52% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Dec 2025 19:00 29 Dec 2025 03:00 $1.86 $1.92 +2.59% SIDEWAYS 9h
29 Dec 2025 21:00 31 Dec 2025 01:00 $1.85 $1.88 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 1.2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XRP Signals → View Plans →
83.8% Win Rate +332.6% Return -0.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees