Paper Trades / AMP / AMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

AMP Amp Paper Trade

AMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Amp (AMP) is a digital collateral token used by the Flexa payments network to instantly secure merchant transactions while settlement finalizes on-chain. Listed since 2020 with multi-cycle history, AMP price tends to track payments-narrative phases and Flexa partnership announcements. Liquidity is moderate and price action shows distinct mean-reversion patterns between catalysts.

AMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Amp (AMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.37%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+42.33%
▼ -7.78
Win Rate
91.7%
▼ -8.77
Sharpe
12.59
▼ -12.59
Alpha vs B&H
+37.24pp
▼ -37.24
Max DD
-0.29%
▼ -3.08
Avg DD
-2.61%
▲ +2.61
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+34.55%
Win Rate
82.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.37%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+39.70%
▼ -5.15
Win Rate
66.7%
▲ +16.20
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-1.36%
▼ -2.01
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AMP

AMP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +91.2%
21t
+66.2%
14t
+50.4%
20t
+49.4%
14t
+98.5%
13t
+18.8%
12t
+42.3%
12t
+68.8%
15t
+3,945.4%

All months for AMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AMP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+0.4
8
9
10
11
+12.9
12
-0.5
13
14
+4.3
15
16
17
+4.4
18
+4.1
19
20
+3.4
21
22
-0.3
23
24
25
+1.2
26
27
+3.0
28
29
30
31
+1.8
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +34.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 82.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.89% on 12 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 83.3% +2.89% +39.79% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 11:00 07 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.38% BUBBLE 14h
07 Jul 2025 21:00 11 Jul 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +12.89% BUBBLE 3.9d
12 Jul 2025 06:00 12 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.54% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 21:00 14 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.88% BUBBLE 1.3d
14 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.36% BUBBLE 3h
15 Jul 2025 11:00 17 Jul 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.40% BUBBLE 1.8d
17 Jul 2025 21:00 18 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.11% BUBBLE 17h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.44% BUBBLE 17h
22 Jul 2025 20:00 22 Jul 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.29% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 25 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.18% BUBBLE 19h
25 Jul 2025 15:00 27 Jul 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.99% BUBBLE 2.3d
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.84% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Amp Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

82.9% Win Rate +34.6% Return -3.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees