Paper Trades / AMP / AMP — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

AMP Amp Paper Trade

AMP — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 20 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Amp (AMP) is a digital collateral token used by the Flexa payments network to instantly secure merchant transactions while settlement finalizes on-chain. Listed since 2020 with multi-cycle history, AMP price tends to track payments-narrative phases and Flexa partnership announcements. Liquidity is moderate and price action shows distinct mean-reversion patterns between catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AMP Signals →

AMP — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Amp (AMP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+50.4%
€10,000 →
€15,043
Win Rate
75.0%
15W / 5L
Trades
20
Sharpe
6.16
Alpha vs B&H
+72.98pp
Risk / Reward
21.28×
B&H Return
-22.55%
Max Drawdown
-2.37%
Avg Drawdown
-3.51%
Sharpe Trend
-11.66
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+50.43%
Win Rate
75.0%
Sharpe
6.16
Alpha vs B&H
+72.98pp
Max DD
-2.37%
Avg DD
-3.51%
Risk / Reward
21.28×
Trades
20
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+50.59%
▼ -0.16
Win Rate
52.0%
▲ +23.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +6.16
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +72.98
Max DD
-5.02%
▲ +2.65
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.51
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+40.43%
▲ +10.00
Win Rate
65.4%
▲ +9.60
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +6.16
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +72.98
Max DD
-1.12%
▼ -1.25
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.51
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
26
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AMP

AMP Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +91.2%
21t
 		+66.2%
14t
 		+50.4%
20t
 		+49.4%
14t
 		+98.5%
13t
 		+18.8%
12t
 		+42.3%
12t
 		+68.8%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +3,945.4%

All months for AMP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AMP — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
-0.1
4
+0.1
5
—
6
+1.4
7
-1.1
8
—
9
+11.5
10
+0.5
11
+3.8
12
—
13
+8.3
14
+4.0
15
+2.8
16
—
17
—
18
+3.0
19
—
20
+5.7
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
—
25
+2.0
26
+1.2
27
-0.2
28
+1.3
29
—
30
-0.1
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +50.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 75.0%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.4%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.56% on 17 trades, WR 82%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BEAR — avg -0.75% on 3 trades, WR 33%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 17 82.4% +2.56% +53.20% 16h
BEAR 3 33.3% -0.75% -2.25% 11h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 20 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% BEAR 2h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.12% BEAR 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.12% BEAR 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.38% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.07% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.30% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.88% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.80% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.16% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.01% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.04% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.00% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.67% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.98% SIDEWAYS 3.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.23% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.17% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.15% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AMP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Amp Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AMP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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75.0% Win Rate +50.4% Return -2.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees