Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 19 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+175.7%
€10,000 →
€27,571
Win Rate
89.5%
17W / 2L
Trades
19
Sharpe
15.43
Alpha vs B&H
+193.45pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-17.74%
Max Drawdown
-1.45%
Avg Drawdown
-3.88%
Sharpe Trend
-3.12
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+175.71%
Win Rate
89.5%
Sharpe
15.43
Alpha vs B&H
+193.45pp
Max DD
-1.45%
Avg DD
-3.88%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
19
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+148.79%
▲ +26.92
Win Rate
60.0%
▲ +29.47
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.43
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +193.45
Max DD
-5.88%
▲ +4.43
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.88
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+76.36%
▲ +99.35
Win Rate
66.7%
▲ +22.77
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.43
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +193.45
Max DD
-0.93%
▼ -0.52
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.88
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
24
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AAVE

AAVE Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.2%
15t
 		+88.0%
13t
 		+175.7%
19t
 		+72.7%
9t
 		+194.1%
16t
 		+81.9%
14t
 		+52.2%
14t
 		+87.0%
10t
—
—
—
—
 +31,272.9%

All months for AAVE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+16.0
3
—
4
+24.8
5
+1.5
6
+6.2
7
-1.5
8
+4.3
9
—
10
+10.7
11
+3.2
12
-0.2
13
+3.2
14
+6.2
15
—
16
+1.0
17
+5.8
18
—
19
+7.7
20
—
21
+3.6
22
+3.3
23
+1.5
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
+4.3
28
—
29
+3.6
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +175.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 89.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +14.11% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 87.5% +3.94% +84.29% 15h
BEAR 3 100.0% +14.11% +46.99% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 19 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +16.00% BEAR 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +24.81% BEAR 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.53% BEAR 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.24% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.45% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.33% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.68% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.24% SIDEWAYS 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.81% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.67% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.61% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.32% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.30% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.57% SIDEWAYS 18h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AAVE Signals → View Plans →
89.5% Win Rate +175.7% Return -1.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees