Paper Trades / ATOM / ATOM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

ATOM Cosmos Paper Trade

ATOM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 18 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Cosmos (ATOM) powers the Cosmos ecosystem, enabling independent blockchains to communicate through the Inter-Blockchain Communication (IBC) protocol. ATOM is used for staking, governance, and securing the Cosmos Hub. Price movements are driven by ecosystem growth, new chain launches via the Cosmos SDK, and staking dynamics. Its mid-cap volatility provides consistent trading opportunities across market regimes.

ATOM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cosmos (ATOM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.17
Alpha vs B&H
+68.58pp
Risk / Reward
25.28×
B&H Return
-1.47%
Max Drawdown
-2.65%
Avg Drawdown
-3.34%
Sharpe Trend
-24.08
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+67.11%
Win Rate
77.8%
Sharpe
12.17
Alpha vs B&H
+68.58pp
Max DD
-2.65%
Avg DD
-3.34%
Risk / Reward
25.28×
Trades
18
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+60.18%
▲ +6.93
Win Rate
53.6%
▲ +24.18
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.17
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +68.58
Max DD
-7.02%
▲ +4.37
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.34
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+43.04%
▲ +24.07
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -7.92
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.17
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +68.58
Max DD
-0.26%
▼ -2.39
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.34
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ATOM

ATOM Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.5%
12t
+75.7%
11t
+67.1%
18t
+43.7%
9t
+73.2%
9t
+26.2%
10t
+62.1%
13t
+68.6%
14t
+3,996.9%

All months for ATOM under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ATOM — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
-2.3
3
4
-0.4
5
6
+5.6
7
+7.2
8
9
10
+3.5
11
+10.5
12
+1.9
13
14
+10.5
15
+5.2
16
+1.5
17
-0.7
18
19
20
+1.8
21
22
+8.2
23
24
+5.1
25
26
+3.1
27
28
29
30
31
-2.3
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +67.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 77.8%.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.7%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.81% on 16 trades, WR 88%.
  • Weakest regime: BEAR — avg -1.33% on 2 trades, WR 0%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 87.5% +3.81% +80.03% 17h
BEAR 2 0.0% -1.33% -2.65% 8h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% BEAR 13h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BEAR 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.56% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.22% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.50% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.48% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.87% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.49% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.18% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.67% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.21% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.80% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.05% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ATOM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cosmos Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ATOM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

77.8% Win Rate +67.1% Return -2.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees