TIA — TIA - Algozilla - Walk-forward validated algorithmic trading

Celestia (TIA) introduced the modular blockchain narrative — separating data availability from execution and settlement. Used by leading rollups and sovereign chains. Listed late-2023 with growing history; price reactive to L2 + modular-thesis narrative cycles.

KPIs Equity Curve Regimes Trade Log View TIA Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.

Sharpe Ratio

10.50

Sortino Ratio

11.23

Profit Factor

11.87

Calmar Ratio

3,883.87

Win Rate

82.6%

Max Drawdown

-22.3%

Avg Drawdown

-22.32%

Alpha vs B&H

+79,123,619.8pp

Total Trades

357

Exposure

35.8%

Beats B&H

1/1

Cycles

1

TIA Monthly Returns

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year Σ
2024	—	—	—	—	+92.1% 17t	+40.4% 16t	+203.4% 18t	+96.4% 17t	+188.4% 18t	+101.5% 21t	+257.9% 20t	+144.9% 25t	+81,721.0%
2025	+63.6% 20t	+121.3% 14t	+79.0% 13t	+30.3% 17t	+97.8% 14t	+18.3% 15t	+176.5% 21t	+90.9% 11t	+37.9% 12t	+115.5% 20t	+48.2% 13t	+31.5% 9t	+60,318.8%
2026	+65.3% 17t	+1.0% 1t	—	+49.5% 8t	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	+149.5%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights

↑ Exceptional return: +791.24K× — compound across the full walk-forward window.
↑ High win rate: 82.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
↓ Large drawdown: -22.3% — expect volatility on capital.
↑ Robust sample: 357 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.24% on 50 trades, WR 84%.

Regime Breakdown

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime	Trades	Win Rate	Avg PnL	Profit Factor	Avg Bars
BUBBLE	134	80.6%	+3.17%	11.26	12.3
BULL	50	84.0%	+5.24%	9.49	25.9
SIDEWAYS	171	83.6%	+4.65%	13.40	20.1
BEAR	2	100.0%	+0.68%	0.00	21.5

Trade Log

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026).

Compound Return

+323.0%

Win Rate

86.0%

43W / 7L

Max Drawdown

-5.7%

€10,000 Invested

€42,296

4.2x return

Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

Entry	Exit	Entry Price	Exit Price	PnL	Regime	Bars	Exit Reason
29 Apr 2026 16:00	30 Apr 2026 14:00	$0.35160	$0.35530	+0.64%	SIDEWAYS	23	short_signal
27 Apr 2026 17:00	29 Apr 2026 00:00	$0.34680	$0.36640	+5.22%	SIDEWAYS	32	short_signal
26 Apr 2026 01:00	27 Apr 2026 04:00	$0.34780	$0.36020	+3.14%	SIDEWAYS	28	short_signal
23 Apr 2026 19:00	24 Apr 2026 02:00	$0.35680	$0.36030	+0.57%	SIDEWAYS	8	short_signal
21 Apr 2026 13:00	22 Apr 2026 09:00	$0.37590	$0.38620	+2.32%	SIDEWAYS	21	short_signal
20 Apr 2026 00:00	20 Apr 2026 10:00	$0.37360	$0.38980	+3.91%	SIDEWAYS	11	short_signal
17 Apr 2026 11:00	17 Apr 2026 20:00	$0.39740	$0.42290	+5.98%	SIDEWAYS	10	exit_fp
16 Apr 2026 01:00	16 Apr 2026 22:00	$0.33260	$0.40300	+20.79%	SIDEWAYS	22	exit_fp
31 Jan 2026 14:00	01 Feb 2026 00:00	$0.36870	$0.37390	+0.99%	BEAR	11	regime_exit
30 Jan 2026 07:00	31 Jan 2026 01:00	$0.40700	$0.40480	-0.85%	SIDEWAYS	19	signal
28 Jan 2026 03:00	28 Jan 2026 14:00	$0.45170	$0.45370	+0.13%	SIDEWAYS	12	short_signal
25 Jan 2026 18:00	27 Jan 2026 13:00	$0.42850	$0.44040	+2.34%	SIDEWAYS	44	trail
24 Jan 2026 12:00	25 Jan 2026 02:00	$0.46460	$0.45550	-2.26%	SIDEWAYS	15	short_signal
22 Jan 2026 23:00	23 Jan 2026 18:00	$0.45740	$0.46780	+1.96%	SIDEWAYS	20	signal
21 Jan 2026 02:00	22 Jan 2026 10:00	$0.47600	$0.47350	-0.83%	SIDEWAYS	33	short_signal
19 Jan 2026 00:00	20 Jan 2026 01:00	$0.50080	$0.49250	-1.96%	SIDEWAYS	26	short_signal
16 Jan 2026 01:00	17 Jan 2026 11:00	$0.55990	$0.57820	+2.95%	SIDEWAYS	35	short_signal
12 Jan 2026 15:00	13 Jan 2026 22:00	$0.54370	$0.62070	+13.81%	SIDEWAYS	32	exit_fp
11 Jan 2026 22:00	12 Jan 2026 02:00	$0.54020	$0.56850	+4.91%	SIDEWAYS	5	exit_fp
09 Jan 2026 12:00	09 Jan 2026 15:00	$0.54770	$0.57370	+4.42%	SIDEWAYS	4	exit_fp
08 Jan 2026 14:00	08 Jan 2026 18:00	$0.54140	$0.54980	+1.24%	SIDEWAYS	5	short_signal
06 Jan 2026 18:00	06 Jan 2026 21:00	$0.57350	$0.59900	+4.12%	SIDEWAYS	4	exit_fp
05 Jan 2026 05:00	06 Jan 2026 05:00	$0.56460	$0.58780	+3.68%	SIDEWAYS	25	short_signal
04 Jan 2026 01:00	04 Jan 2026 13:00	$0.53160	$0.56220	+5.32%	SIDEWAYS	13	exit_fp
02 Jan 2026 16:00	03 Jan 2026 02:00	$0.50990	$0.53480	+4.45%	SIDEWAYS	11	short_signal
01 Jan 2026 00:00	02 Jan 2026 03:00	$0.45960	$0.50200	+8.78%	SIDEWAYS	28	take_profit
30 Dec 2025 01:00	31 Dec 2025 02:00	$0.45530	$0.46490	+1.69%	SIDEWAYS	26	short_signal
26 Dec 2025 02:00	27 Dec 2025 21:00	$0.46570	$0.47630	+1.86%	SIDEWAYS	44	exit_fp
24 Dec 2025 07:00	25 Dec 2025 13:00	$0.43310	$0.45490	+4.60%	SIDEWAYS	31	signal
15 Dec 2025 17:00	17 Dec 2025 00:00	$0.50400	$0.50800	+0.37%	BEAR	32	regime_exit
11 Dec 2025 04:00	12 Dec 2025 12:00	$0.58400	$0.60000	+2.42%	SIDEWAYS	33	short_signal
08 Dec 2025 06:00	09 Dec 2025 04:00	$0.59300	$0.57800	-2.83%	SIDEWAYS	23	short_signal
06 Dec 2025 11:00	07 Dec 2025 17:00	$0.56900	$0.58700	+2.84%	SIDEWAYS	31	exit_fp
03 Dec 2025 11:00	03 Dec 2025 22:00	$0.62300	$0.65900	+5.45%	SIDEWAYS	12	exit_fp
01 Dec 2025 03:00	02 Dec 2025 15:00	$0.57300	$0.64400	+12.04%	SIDEWAYS	37	exit_fp
29 Nov 2025 17:00	30 Nov 2025 09:00	$0.61100	$0.65600	+7.03%	SIDEWAYS	17	exit_fp
29 Nov 2025 01:00	29 Nov 2025 04:00	$0.62900	$0.64700	+2.60%	SIDEWAYS	4	exit_fp
14 Nov 2025 04:00	14 Nov 2025 14:00	$0.86400	$0.91100	+5.18%	SIDEWAYS	11	exit_fp
13 Nov 2025 05:00	13 Nov 2025 12:00	$0.94700	$0.96000	+1.12%	SIDEWAYS	8	exit_fp
12 Nov 2025 08:00	12 Nov 2025 16:00	$0.97400	$0.92140	-5.73%	SIDEWAYS	9	stop
10 Nov 2025 17:00	11 Nov 2025 00:00	$1.007	$1.031	+2.13%	SIDEWAYS	8	short_signal
09 Nov 2025 11:00	10 Nov 2025 00:00	$0.99600	$1.030	+3.16%	SIDEWAYS	14	signal
08 Nov 2025 16:00	08 Nov 2025 21:00	$0.98800	$1.049	+5.91%	SIDEWAYS	6	signal
07 Nov 2025 20:00	07 Nov 2025 21:00	$1.006	$1.070	+6.10%	SIDEWAYS	2	exit_fp
07 Nov 2025 03:00	07 Nov 2025 07:00	$0.82500	$0.85900	+3.86%	SIDEWAYS	5	exit_fp
04 Nov 2025 05:00	06 Nov 2025 05:00	$0.78100	$0.79910	+1.97%	SIDEWAYS	49	trail
02 Nov 2025 20:00	03 Nov 2025 00:00	$0.94000	$0.94600	+0.39%	SIDEWAYS	5	short_signal
01 Nov 2025 10:00	02 Nov 2025 06:00	$0.92700	$0.99400	+6.96%	SIDEWAYS	21	short_signal
30 Oct 2025 14:00	31 Oct 2025 14:00	$0.93000	$0.92400	-0.89%	SIDEWAYS	25	short_signal
29 Oct 2025 09:00	30 Oct 2025 00:00	$0.99900	$1.014	+1.25%	SIDEWAYS	16	short_signal

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82.6% Win Rate Sharpe 10.50 357 Trades -22.3% Max Drawdown

TIA (TIA) Backtest

Performance Overview

TIA Monthly Returns

Regime Breakdown

Trade Log

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