Walk-forward validated backtest results for ARKM. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.
Arkham (ARKM) is the token of the Arkham Intelligence platform, which de-anonymizes blockchain activity by labeling wallet ownership. Traders use it to track whales, exchanges and smart-money flows. Listed mid-2023 with reasonable history; volatile around major industry events.
Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 |
—
|
—
|
—
|
+5.5%
1t
|
+207.0%
18t
|
+40.4%
16t
|
+95.6%
17t
|
+62.6%
25t
|
+158.3%
20t
|
+132.6%
18t
|
+202.5%
25t
|
+104.4%
19t
|
+53,613.7% |
| 2025 |
+105.1%
18t
|
+112.6%
21t
|
+151.5%
16t
|
+101.1%
17t
|
+155.8%
16t
|
+58.6%
13t
|
+136.1%
17t
|
+87.5%
14t
|
+54.7%
21t
|
+111.0%
22t
|
+37.5%
12t
|
+25.8%
16t
|
+223,731.6% |
| 2026 |
+40.0%
21t
|
—
|
-3.1%
3t
|
+22.5%
11t
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
+66.0% |
Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.
Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.
| Regime | Trades | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Profit Factor | Avg Bars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUBBLE | 111 | 87.4% | +3.85% | 16.38 | 13.0 |
| BULL | 56 | 89.3% | +6.43% | 14.55 | 22.3 |
| SIDEWAYS | 227 | 78.9% | +3.30% | 8.33 | 17.1 |
| BEAR | 3 | 0.0% | -1.67% | 0.00 | 12.7 |
Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Dec 2025 – Apr 2026).
| Entry | Exit | Entry Price | Exit Price | PnL | Regime | Bars | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 04:00 | 30 Apr 2026 20:00 | $0.10920 | $0.11100 | +1.14% | SIDEWAYS | 17 | trail |
| 28 Apr 2026 07:00 | 29 Apr 2026 15:00 | $0.11250 | $0.10990 | -2.85% | SIDEWAYS | 33 | stop |
| 27 Apr 2026 08:00 | 27 Apr 2026 12:00 | $0.11590 | $0.11500 | -1.18% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 26 Apr 2026 01:00 | 26 Apr 2026 12:00 | $0.11870 | $0.12060 | +1.08% | SIDEWAYS | 12 | trail |
| 23 Apr 2026 01:00 | 25 Apr 2026 02:00 | $0.11940 | $0.12570 | +4.85% | SIDEWAYS | 50 | short_signal |
| 21 Apr 2026 18:00 | 22 Apr 2026 04:00 | $0.12300 | $0.12740 | +3.15% | SIDEWAYS | 11 | short_signal |
| 19 Apr 2026 21:00 | 20 Apr 2026 20:00 | $0.13610 | $0.13630 | -0.26% | SIDEWAYS | 24 | exit_fp |
| 19 Apr 2026 02:00 | 19 Apr 2026 08:00 | $0.12670 | $0.13350 | +4.94% | SIDEWAYS | 7 | exit_fp |
| 17 Apr 2026 22:00 | 18 Apr 2026 13:00 | $0.12300 | $0.13140 | +6.39% | SIDEWAYS | 16 | exit_fp |
| 16 Apr 2026 16:00 | 16 Apr 2026 19:00 | $0.12490 | $0.12560 | +0.15% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 16 Apr 2026 01:00 | 16 Apr 2026 03:00 | $0.11110 | $0.11540 | +3.45% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | exit_fp |
| 21 Mar 2026 13:00 | 21 Mar 2026 15:00 | $0.10700 | $0.10800 | +0.52% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 20 Mar 2026 06:00 | 20 Mar 2026 13:00 | $0.11000 | $0.10700 | -3.23% | BEAR | 8 | regime_exit |
| 19 Mar 2026 13:00 | 19 Mar 2026 17:00 | $0.10800 | $0.10800 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 31 Jan 2026 09:00 | 31 Jan 2026 16:00 | $0.14600 | $0.13430 | -8.47% | SIDEWAYS | 8 | stop |
| 29 Jan 2026 23:00 | 30 Jan 2026 18:00 | $0.15500 | $0.15600 | +0.23% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | short_signal |
| 27 Jan 2026 09:00 | 28 Jan 2026 11:00 | $0.16400 | $0.17000 | +3.23% | SIDEWAYS | 27 | exit_fp |
| 26 Jan 2026 00:00 | 26 Jan 2026 19:00 | $0.16800 | $0.16700 | -1.00% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | short_signal |
| 25 Jan 2026 09:00 | 25 Jan 2026 11:00 | $0.17700 | $0.17800 | +0.15% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 24 Jan 2026 10:00 | 24 Jan 2026 14:00 | $0.17800 | $0.17800 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 22 Jan 2026 15:00 | 23 Jan 2026 17:00 | $0.17700 | $0.18200 | +2.40% | SIDEWAYS | 27 | short_signal |
| 21 Jan 2026 12:00 | 21 Jan 2026 14:00 | $0.17700 | $0.18300 | +2.97% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | exit_fp |
| 20 Jan 2026 12:00 | 20 Jan 2026 23:00 | $0.18200 | $0.17390 | -4.93% | SIDEWAYS | 12 | stop |
| 19 Jan 2026 05:00 | 19 Jan 2026 17:00 | $0.18500 | $0.18700 | +0.67% | SIDEWAYS | 13 | exit_fp |
| 18 Jan 2026 14:00 | 18 Jan 2026 16:00 | $0.20400 | $0.20500 | +0.08% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 15 Jan 2026 19:00 | 17 Jan 2026 08:00 | $0.20300 | $0.21700 | +6.46% | SIDEWAYS | 38 | exit_fp |
| 12 Jan 2026 21:00 | 13 Jan 2026 22:00 | $0.19500 | $0.22200 | +13.38% | SIDEWAYS | 26 | exit_fp |
| 11 Jan 2026 16:00 | 12 Jan 2026 02:00 | $0.20700 | $0.21100 | +1.52% | SIDEWAYS | 11 | exit_fp |
| 08 Jan 2026 09:00 | 09 Jan 2026 16:00 | $0.20500 | $0.21200 | +2.99% | SIDEWAYS | 32 | exit_fp |
| 07 Jan 2026 16:00 | 07 Jan 2026 20:00 | $0.21200 | $0.21300 | +0.06% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 06 Jan 2026 18:00 | 06 Jan 2026 21:00 | $0.22200 | $0.23000 | +3.18% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | exit_fp |
| 05 Jan 2026 20:00 | 06 Jan 2026 00:00 | $0.22500 | $0.22100 | -2.18% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 03 Jan 2026 16:00 | 05 Jan 2026 07:00 | $0.20400 | $0.21900 | +6.91% | SIDEWAYS | 40 | exit_fp |
| 02 Jan 2026 23:00 | 03 Jan 2026 03:00 | $0.20100 | $0.20100 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 01 Jan 2026 02:00 | 02 Jan 2026 10:00 | $0.17600 | $0.19300 | +9.21% | SIDEWAYS | 33 | take_profit |
| 31 Dec 2025 09:00 | 31 Dec 2025 13:00 | $0.18100 | $0.18100 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 29 Dec 2025 21:00 | 30 Dec 2025 01:00 | $0.18500 | $0.18200 | -2.02% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | short_signal |
| 26 Dec 2025 07:00 | 28 Dec 2025 04:00 | $0.18400 | $0.19100 | +3.38% | SIDEWAYS | 46 | short_signal |
| 24 Dec 2025 09:00 | 25 Dec 2025 18:00 | $0.18200 | $0.18500 | +1.23% | SIDEWAYS | 34 | short_signal |
| 15 Dec 2025 23:00 | 17 Dec 2025 00:00 | $0.19700 | $0.19600 | -1.02% | BEAR | 26 | regime_exit |
| 14 Dec 2025 22:00 | 15 Dec 2025 10:00 | $0.20500 | $0.21000 | +2.02% | SIDEWAYS | 13 | short_signal |
| 12 Dec 2025 21:00 | 13 Dec 2025 10:00 | $0.20900 | $0.21600 | +2.93% | SIDEWAYS | 14 | exit_fp |
| 11 Dec 2025 19:00 | 12 Dec 2025 08:00 | $0.21300 | $0.21800 | +1.93% | SIDEWAYS | 14 | signal |
| 11 Dec 2025 00:00 | 11 Dec 2025 06:00 | $0.21800 | $0.21300 | -2.69% | SIDEWAYS | 7 | short_signal |
| 09 Dec 2025 04:00 | 09 Dec 2025 15:00 | $0.22000 | $0.23200 | +5.02% | SIDEWAYS | 12 | exit_fp |
| 07 Dec 2025 14:00 | 08 Dec 2025 14:00 | $0.21300 | $0.22900 | +7.07% | SIDEWAYS | 25 | exit_fp |
| 05 Dec 2025 13:00 | 06 Dec 2025 17:00 | $0.22600 | $0.22700 | +0.03% | SIDEWAYS | 29 | exit_fp |
| 04 Dec 2025 15:00 | 04 Dec 2025 17:00 | $0.24200 | $0.23800 | -2.06% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 03 Dec 2025 05:00 | 03 Dec 2025 19:00 | $0.23900 | $0.23700 | -1.24% | SIDEWAYS | 15 | short_signal |
| 01 Dec 2025 22:00 | 02 Dec 2025 16:00 | $0.21600 | $0.23900 | +10.20% | SIDEWAYS | 19 | exit_fp |
These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time ARKM signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.
Institutional-grade AI trading signals for crypto traders. Our Omniscius v4.2 ensemble model is walk-forward validated across 87 coins and 31,411+ backtested trades. No curve-fitting, no hype — just data-driven signals delivered to your Telegram.
Prices delayed up to 5 minutes. Trading and investing involve significant risk of loss. All content on this site is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Decisions to buy, sell, or hold are best made with the advice of qualified financial professionals. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact of certain market factors, including lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.
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