DOTDOTPolkadot$0.962000+0.00%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.5M
Updated17:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 36 trades would have compounded to a final value of $48,684 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 36 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+386.8%
$10,000 →
$48,684
Win Rate
91.7%
33W / 3L
Trades
36
Sharpe
10.85
Alpha vs B&H
+349.43pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+37.41%
Max Drawdown
-2.45%
Avg Drawdown
-3.96%
Sharpe Trend
-3.05
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — Q1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 36-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.35%
Avg Loss
-0.83%
Best Trade
+18.52%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Bars Held
25.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 15 (42%) Signal flip: 14 (39%) Trailing stop: 4 (11%) Short signal: 2 (6%) Stop-loss: 1 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +386.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +5.42% on 27 trades, WR 93%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 27 92.6% +5.42% +301.03% 24h
BULL 5 100.0% +4.30% +23.33% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 4 75.0% +1.58% +6.41% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 36 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jan 2024 01:00 08 Jan 2024 23:00 $6.82 $7.48 +9.35% BUBBLE 23h
09 Jan 2024 22:00 11 Jan 2024 11:00 $7.12 $8.40 +17.55% BUBBLE 1.6d
12 Jan 2024 21:00 13 Jan 2024 15:00 $7.64 $7.71 +0.56% BUBBLE 19h
15 Jan 2024 01:00 15 Jan 2024 09:00 $7.48 $7.64 +1.91% BUBBLE 9h
23 Jan 2024 01:00 23 Jan 2024 03:00 $6.38 $6.42 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Jan 2024 16:00 26 Jan 2024 06:00 $6.28 $6.40 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 2.6d
26 Jan 2024 19:00 27 Jan 2024 21:00 $6.68 $6.69 -0.01% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
28 Jan 2024 15:00 29 Jan 2024 04:00 $6.66 $6.99 +4.76% SIDEWAYS 14h
01 Feb 2024 01:00 02 Feb 2024 18:00 $6.58 $6.91 +4.86% BULL 1.8d
05 Feb 2024 01:00 05 Feb 2024 15:00 $6.67 $6.80 +1.37% BULL 15h
06 Feb 2024 04:00 08 Feb 2024 00:00 $6.74 $6.99 +3.37% BULL 1.9d
08 Feb 2024 13:00 10 Feb 2024 04:00 $6.93 $7.24 +4.17% BULL 1.7d
10 Feb 2024 17:00 11 Feb 2024 09:00 $7.15 $7.27 +1.42% BULL 17h
12 Feb 2024 01:00 13 Feb 2024 18:00 $7.14 $7.25 +1.25% BUBBLE 1.8d
14 Feb 2024 07:00 14 Feb 2024 20:00 $7.59 $7.66 +0.65% BUBBLE 14h
15 Feb 2024 22:00 16 Feb 2024 00:00 $7.73 $7.75 +0.07% BUBBLE 3h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 19 Feb 2024 22:00 $7.75 $8.09 +4.03% BUBBLE 1.9d
20 Feb 2024 16:00 20 Feb 2024 22:00 $7.50 $7.81 +3.73% BUBBLE 7h
21 Feb 2024 11:00 22 Feb 2024 17:00 $7.32 $7.60 +3.57% BUBBLE 1.3d
23 Feb 2024 09:00 25 Feb 2024 08:00 $7.34 $7.72 +4.82% BUBBLE 2d
25 Feb 2024 21:00 28 Feb 2024 01:00 $7.78 $8.35 +7.06% BUBBLE 2.2d
28 Feb 2024 19:00 29 Feb 2024 01:00 $8.12 $8.46 +3.90% BUBBLE 7h
29 Feb 2024 22:00 02 Mar 2024 23:00 $8.14 $9.46 +16.00% BUBBLE 2.1d
03 Mar 2024 07:00 04 Mar 2024 12:00 $8.94 $10.25 +14.14% BUBBLE 1.3d
05 Mar 2024 20:00 06 Mar 2024 23:00 $8.87 $10.54 +18.52% BULL 1.2d
08 Mar 2024 13:00 09 Mar 2024 09:00 $10.42 $10.86 +3.98% BUBBLE 21h
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 18:00 $10.26 $11.22 +9.10% BUBBLE 20h
12 Mar 2024 17:00 13 Mar 2024 08:00 $10.58 $11.18 +5.45% BUBBLE 16h
13 Mar 2024 21:00 14 Mar 2024 09:00 $11.01 $11.88 +7.75% BUBBLE 13h
15 Mar 2024 10:00 15 Mar 2024 18:00 $10.34 $10.74 +3.68% BUBBLE 9h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $9.79 $9.67 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 19:00 18 Mar 2024 05:00 $10.24 $10.20 -0.71% BUBBLE 11h
19 Mar 2024 09:00 19 Mar 2024 12:00 $9.07 $9.16 +0.81% BUBBLE 4h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 21 Mar 2024 01:00 $8.75 $9.48 +8.09% BUBBLE 1d
22 Mar 2024 22:00 25 Mar 2024 05:00 $8.80 $9.48 +7.45% BUBBLE 2.3d
28 Mar 2024 02:00 28 Mar 2024 13:00 $9.36 $9.53 +1.62% BUBBLE 12h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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91.7% Win Rate +386.8% Return -2.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees