DOTDOTPolkadot$0.959000-0.31%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.4M
Updated17:33 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 38 trades would have compounded to a final value of $31,492 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 38 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+214.9%
$10,000 →
$31,492
Win Rate
92.1%
35W / 3L
Trades
38
Sharpe
12.82
Alpha vs B&H
+241.30pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-26.38%
Max Drawdown
-1.02%
Avg Drawdown
-2.35%
Sharpe Trend
-4.19
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 38-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.52%
Avg Loss
-0.75%
Best Trade
+14.73%
Worst Trade
-1.02%
Avg Bars Held
18.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 20 (53%) Forward-pred: 12 (32%) Short signal: 4 (11%) Trailing stop: 2 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +214.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.49% on 10 trades, WR 90%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 22 95.5% +2.89% +84.97% 17h
BULL 10 90.0% +4.49% +54.68% 22h
SIDEWAYS 6 83.3% +2.04% +12.70% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 38 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2024 02:00 07 Apr 2024 13:00 $8.59 $8.70 +0.87% BUBBLE 12h
08 Apr 2024 02:00 08 Apr 2024 09:00 $8.61 $8.97 +3.87% BUBBLE 8h
11 Apr 2024 15:00 12 Apr 2024 01:00 $8.29 $8.45 +1.74% BUBBLE 11h
12 Apr 2024 19:00 12 Apr 2024 21:00 $6.92 $7.20 +3.82% BUBBLE 3h
13 Apr 2024 21:00 15 Apr 2024 06:00 $6.18 $7.11 +14.73% BUBBLE 1.4d
16 Apr 2024 02:00 16 Apr 2024 07:00 $6.68 $6.76 +1.14% BUBBLE 6h
16 Apr 2024 20:00 17 Apr 2024 01:00 $6.64 $6.70 +0.61% BUBBLE 6h
17 Apr 2024 16:00 18 Apr 2024 19:00 $6.40 $6.76 +5.39% BUBBLE 1.2d
25 Apr 2024 11:00 25 Apr 2024 16:00 $6.83 $6.92 +0.98% BUBBLE 6h
26 Apr 2024 12:00 26 Apr 2024 19:00 $6.86 $6.85 -0.48% BUBBLE 8h
27 Apr 2024 08:00 28 Apr 2024 00:00 $6.65 $6.85 +2.75% BUBBLE 17h
30 Apr 2024 13:00 01 May 2024 04:00 $6.19 $6.53 +5.11% BULL 16h
01 May 2024 17:00 02 May 2024 20:00 $6.57 $7.28 +10.53% BULL 1.2d
03 May 2024 09:00 04 May 2024 03:00 $7.07 $7.17 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 19h
05 May 2024 02:00 05 May 2024 21:00 $7.09 $7.36 +3.38% SIDEWAYS 20h
09 May 2024 10:00 10 May 2024 09:00 $6.79 $7.09 +4.08% BULL 24h
13 May 2024 02:00 13 May 2024 16:00 $6.51 $6.80 +4.16% BULL 15h
14 May 2024 07:00 16 May 2024 01:00 $6.61 $7.02 +5.95% BULL 1.8d
16 May 2024 15:00 17 May 2024 07:00 $6.93 $7.27 +4.80% BULL 17h
20 May 2024 01:00 21 May 2024 21:00 $6.92 $7.57 +8.88% BUBBLE 1.9d
23 May 2024 21:00 26 May 2024 21:00 $7.24 $7.56 +4.08% BUBBLE 3d
27 May 2024 10:00 27 May 2024 14:00 $7.48 $7.53 +0.32% BUBBLE 5h
31 May 2024 01:00 31 May 2024 08:00 $6.97 $7.00 +0.14% BUBBLE 8h
02 Jun 2024 10:00 02 Jun 2024 12:00 $7.03 $7.07 +0.10% BUBBLE 3h
03 Jun 2024 01:00 03 Jun 2024 12:00 $7.06 $7.17 +1.22% BUBBLE 12h
04 Jun 2024 01:00 05 Jun 2024 09:00 $7.02 $7.21 +2.48% BUBBLE 1.4d
07 Jun 2024 19:00 07 Jun 2024 23:00 $6.59 $6.66 +0.75% BUBBLE 5h
09 Jun 2024 03:00 09 Jun 2024 21:00 $6.43 $6.53 +1.38% BUBBLE 19h
11 Jun 2024 13:00 12 Jun 2024 20:00 $6.24 $6.80 +8.78% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Jun 2024 04:00 16 Jun 2024 18:00 $6.17 $6.33 +2.16% BUBBLE 15h
18 Jun 2024 02:00 18 Jun 2024 07:00 $5.73 $5.86 +2.02% BUBBLE 6h
18 Jun 2024 20:00 19 Jun 2024 10:00 $5.73 $5.99 +4.07% BUBBLE 15h
21 Jun 2024 01:00 21 Jun 2024 07:00 $5.69 $5.66 -0.74% BULL 7h
22 Jun 2024 01:00 22 Jun 2024 21:00 $5.58 $5.75 +2.90% BULL 21h
24 Jun 2024 03:00 26 Jun 2024 00:00 $5.69 $5.84 +2.37% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
26 Jun 2024 19:00 26 Jun 2024 21:00 $5.87 $5.83 -1.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Jun 2024 10:00 28 Jun 2024 08:00 $5.93 $6.30 +6.07% SIDEWAYS 23h
29 Jun 2024 17:00 29 Jun 2024 19:00 $6.09 $6.12 +0.38% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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92.1% Win Rate +214.9% Return -1.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees